Part of: Ecuador vs. Germany - More Markets

Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 4.5

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $108,562.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable high-volume sports bettor bought Under at 88¢ and immediately got strong closing-line movement to 96¢.

  • This bettor has a huge track record, winning 69% of 2,515 resolved bets and earning $130k profit.
  • They bought Under at 88¢ before the market moved to 96¢, showing strong immediate price confirmation.
  • This wallet is a serial cross-market trader, with $1.2M deployed across 225 markets.

$3,100 on Under | Wallet win rate: 70%

Fresh wallet caught Under move

A 7-hour-old repeat wallet bought Under at 83¢ before a fast move to 94¢, alongside a pre-event volume spike and sharp price impact.

  • A brand-new wallet is making repeated sizable bets, with $3.3K flagged across two trades.
  • This Under buy at 83¢ quickly moved to 94¢, suggesting the bettor caught a strong late price shift.
  • Market volume spiked 12.7x while the price moved sharply in the same direction.

$1,660 on Under | Wallet win rate: 100%

Cross-market event bettor

High-volume bettor is expressing a cross-market Germany/Ecuador thesis, with $5.2k buying Under 4.5 before the price moved sharply higher.

  • This bettor put $36.7k across six related markets in the same Germany/Ecuador event.
  • They bought $5.2k of Under 4.5 at 78–79¢, and it has already moved to 84¢.
  • The wallet is very active with 16,753 resolved bets, though its lifetime results are roughly breakeven to slightly negative.

$7,381 on Under | Wallet win rate: 53%

Perfect-record bettor on Under

A proven sharp sports bettor with a perfect 30-for-30 resolved record bought Under, alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor is 30-for-30 on resolved bets and is up $24,876 lifetime.
  • Four wallets bought the same side for about $21,000 total, adding confirmation to the Under move.
  • They entered at 66¢ and the market has already moved to 74¢, suggesting strong early validation.

$1,101 on Under | Wallet win rate: 95%

Sharp Under cluster

High-conviction Under flow: 11 wallets bought the same side for $45k amid a 99x volume spike, including a bettor with a 92% record and $393k profit.

  • 11 wallets put $45k on Under, with two wallets linked by the same funder.
  • A proven bettor joined this side and wins 92% of resolved bets, up $393k lifetime.
  • Volume jumped 99x before the match, suggesting a sudden wave of conviction on Under.

$45,063 on Under

Sharp cluster backing Under

High-conviction Under cluster with $50k one-sided flow, a major pre-event volume spike, and participation from highly profitable wallets.

  • A bettor who wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $391k is effectively buying Under around 66¢.
  • Six wallets put $50k on the same Under side as volume spiked 66x above normal.
  • Under entries in the mid-to-high 60s have already moved to 74¢, showing strong market follow-through.

$50,257 on Under

Top Holders

  1. 0x224a...a3d5 Outcome 16084879, $47,186 (62% win rate)
  2. 0xa700...102b Outcome 16084879, $10,148 (55% win rate)
  3. 0x5b6e...f544 Outcome 16084879, $7,580 (90% win rate)
  4. 0x4f29...7a7e Outcome 16084879, $7,239 (54% win rate)
  5. 0xd1ed...d7cb Outcome 16084879, $5,743 (55% win rate)
  6. 0x39fc...e2f2 Outcome 16084879, $5,304 (54% win rate)
  7. 0xc41e...e2e9 Outcome 16084879, $3,000
  8. 0x8dee...412b Outcome 16084879, $1,579 (97% win rate)
  9. 0x551c...fe91 Outcome 16084879, $1,546 (72% win rate)
  10. 0x2843...0ac5 Outcome 16084879, $1,111 (84% win rate)

Related Theses

Knicks win high-scoring game

Covers 4 related markets

Iraq covers low-scoring game

Covers 7 related markets

Thunder win high-scoring shootout

Covers 8 related markets

Thunder win high-scoring shootout

Covers 5 related markets

Germany will beat Ecuador

Covers 3 related markets

New Zealand Belgium stays low-scoring

Covers 3 related markets

Brazil-Haiti finishes with three or five-plus

Covers 3 related markets

Knicks win a high-scoring game

Covers 8 related markets

Thunder win high-scoring game

Covers 6 related markets

DR Congo won't lose

Covers 3 related markets

Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 4.5

ResolvedEcuador vs. Germany - More Markets$108,562 tracked6 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Ecuador and Germany, scheduled for June 25 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Ecuador and Germany combine to score 5 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 4.5

6d ago

$3,100 on Under at 88¢

Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 4.5

6d ago

$1,660 on Under at 83¢

Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 4.5

6d ago

$7,381 on Under at 79¢

Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 4.5

6d ago

$1,101 on Under at 66¢

Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 4.5

6d ago

$45,063 on Under at 66¢

Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 4.5

6d ago

$50,257 on Under at 67¢

Related Theses

Knicks win high-scoring game
Wallet_0x1d603 trades 4 related markets
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5Spurs vs. KnicksSpurs vs. Knicks: O/U 202.5
Iraq covers low-scoring game
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Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 5.5Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5
Thunder win high-scoring shootout
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Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5
Thunder win high-scoring shootout
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Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5
Germany will beat Ecuador
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Will Ecuador vs. Germany end i…Will Germany win on 2026-06-25…Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25…
New Zealand Belgium stays low-scoring
Wallet_0x1d603 trades 3 related markets
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 5…New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3…New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 4…
Brazil-Haiti finishes with three or five-plus
Wallet_0x1d603 trades 3 related markets
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5
Knicks win a high-scoring game
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Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.…Knicks vs. CavaliersKnicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.…
Thunder win high-scoring game
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Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Thunder vs. Spurs
DR Congo won't lose
Wallet_0x0346a trades 3 related markets
Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan e…Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06…Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-2…