Part of: Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between FURIA and Aurora Gaming in the ESL Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win the match against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against FURIA. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 6, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $235,083.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Eight-wallet Aurora buying surge

Eight wallets put $60.5K into Aurora amid a 13.4× volume spike, though simultaneous FURIA buying and Aurora’s high trade prices make the signal mixed and risky to copy.

  • Eight wallets bought $60.5K of Aurora, alongside a 13.4× increase in market activity.
  • One participant is up $1.65M across 645 resolved bets, with a 75% win rate—but the standout Aurora purchase was at 80¢.
  • The flow is not unanimous: wallets also bought $15.4K of FURIA, and Aurora is currently priced at 56¢.

$60,548 on Aurora Gaming

91%-win bettor adding to FURIA

A highly profitable bettor with a strong record added $55,431 to FURIA amid a six-wallet coordinated buy and a sharp volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 20 of 22 resolved positions and is up $332,689.
  • They added $55,431 to an existing FURIA position as six wallets bought the same outcome, totaling $91,522.
  • A 30× volume spike accompanied the buying; the entry was 54¢ with FURIA currently at 54%.

$55,431 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 94%

13-wallet FURIA buying cluster

A 13-wallet, $51,152 FURIA buying cluster coincided with a 12.4x volume spike, though the market has since moved sharply against those entries.

  • 13 wallets put a combined $51,152 behind FURIA, alongside a 12.4x volume spike.
  • One participating wallet has a 99% record across 581 resolved positions, though the cluster’s entries were mostly 55–74¢ and FURIA is now 34¢.
  • The current market price is far below the cluster’s entries, so the move against them is a meaningful risk.

$51,152 on FURIA

95% winner adding to Aurora

A highly successful bettor with 60 wins in 63 resolved positions is adding to an Aurora position at 46¢.

  • This bettor has won 60 of 63 resolved positions and is up $48,368 overall.
  • They added $1,450 to an existing Aurora position at 46¢, showing continued conviction.

$1,450 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 73%

95% winner adding to Aurora position

A highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate and a long record across hundreds of events added $37,617 to an existing Aurora position at 46¢.

  • This bettor has won 347 of 366 resolved positions and is up $4.54M.
  • They added $37,617 to Aurora at 46¢, on top of an existing $81,777 position.
  • The wallet has traded across 434 events, with a reported 95% win rate.

$37,617 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 95%

94% bettor adding to FURIA

A highly profitable bettor with a 94% record is adding $26,185 to an existing FURIA position at 54¢.

  • This bettor has won 15 of 16 resolved positions and is up $569,831.
  • They added $26,185 to FURIA at 54¢, building on an existing $48,690 position.
  • Their 94% win rate is well above their 60¢ average entry odds.

$26,185 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 95%

Proven 77% winner backs FURIA

A highly profitable bettor with 421 resolved positions and a 77% win rate is making a $2,700 fresh buy on FURIA.

  • This bettor has won 77% of 421 resolved bets and is up $266,280.
  • They put $2,700 on FURIA at 54¢, while their historical win rate substantially exceeds the odds they typically pay.
  • The wallet has traded across 51 events, suggesting a broad and sustained track record rather than a one-off bet.

$2,700 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 78%

Related Theses

BetBoom wins Games 2 and 3, series

Covers 3 related markets

Spain-Argentina stays under 1.5 goals

Covers 3 related markets

Team Spirit completes reverse sweep

Covers 4 related markets

MOUZ will beat Spirit in series

Covers 4 related markets

Aurora sweeps FURIA

Covers 3 related markets

Liquid wins in three

Covers 4 related markets

Vici Gaming sweeps 1win

Covers 3 related markets

Team Liquid wins every game

Covers 3 related markets

LGD Gaming Sweeps Team Yandex

Covers 3 related markets

Team Spirit sweeps Iron Wing

Covers 3 related markets

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage$235,083 tracked7 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
FURIA
0¢
Aurora Gaming
100¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between FURIA and Aurora Gaming in the ESL Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win the match against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against FURIA. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 6, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage

2026-10-06 18:36 UTC

$60,548 on Aurora Gaming at 80¢

80¢→100¢↑20¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage

2026-10-06 17:59 UTC

$55,431 on FURIA at 54¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage

2026-10-06 18:18 UTC

$51,152 on FURIA at 34¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage

2026-10-06 14:23 UTC

$1,450 on Aurora Gaming at 46¢

46¢→100¢↑54¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage

2026-10-06 10:51 UTC

$37,617 on Aurora Gaming at 46¢

46¢→100¢↑54¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage

2026-10-06 04:51 UTC

$26,185 on FURIA at 54¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage

2026-10-06 04:41 UTC

$2,700 on FURIA at 54¢

Related Theses

BetBoom wins Games 2 and 3, series
Wallet_0x79ae0 trades 3 related markets
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVI…Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVI…Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVI…
Spain-Argentina stays under 1.5 goals
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Spain vs. Argentina: Both Team…Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5
Team Spirit completes reverse sweep
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Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Sp…Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Sp…Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Sp…
MOUZ will beat Spirit in series
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Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ…Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ…Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOU…
Aurora sweeps FURIA
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Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming …Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming …Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming …
Liquid wins in three
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Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Li…Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Te…Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Li…
Vici Gaming sweeps 1win
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Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - …Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (B…Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - …
Team Liquid wins every game
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Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team L…Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team L…Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team L…
LGD Gaming Sweeps Team Yandex
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Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yan…Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yan…Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yan…
Team Spirit sweeps Iron Wing
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Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spir…Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spir…Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spir…