Part of: Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton
Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton
This Cincinnati Open prediction market covers the tennis match between Jaime Faria and Adam Walton, scheduled for August 18, 2026. The market resolves to the player who advances, with resolution scheduled for August 25, 2026; recent activity includes smart money signals backing both Faria and Walton.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $242,770.
Categories: Sports, Games, Tennis
Notable Trades
83% winner in 30-wallet cluster
A proven 83% bettor joined a 30-wallet linked cluster that put $166,537 on Adam Walton, although the position now appears to have lost and is no longer actionable.
- This bettor has won 83% of 619 resolved trades and is up $96,849 lifetime.
- Thirty linked wallets bought Adam Walton for a combined $166,537 during a 38.2x volume spike.
- The position is now marked at 0%, so this is useful as a study of coordinated conviction rather than a live copy opportunity.
$8,066 on Adam Walton | Wallet win rate: 83%
30-wallet linked cluster
A proven high-volume bettor joined a 30-wallet, linked-funder push on Adam Walton at 54%, though the position has since fallen to zero.
- Thirty wallets, including three sharing a funder, bought Adam Walton for a combined $166,537.
- This bettor has won 78% of 553 resolved trades and is up $457,842 lifetime.
- The position entered at 54%, but Adam Walton is now priced at 0%, making this a notable failed coordinated trade rather than a live entry.
$2,948 on Adam Walton | Wallet win rate: 77%
35-wallet coordinated Faria surge
A large coordinated group, including highly profitable bettors, accumulated Jaime Faria around 38-85 cents before the market moved to 100%.
- 35 wallets bought $169,381 of Jaime Faria, while another 16 wallets sold Adam Walton—equivalent to roughly $55,411 of additional Faria exposure.
- Several participants have exceptional records, including 93% and 90% win rates, with one profitable bettor entering at 58 cents.
- The market surged 42.4% in one day and now shows Faria at 100%, so the signal is highly informative but no longer offers the original entry value.
$224,792 on Jaime Faria
Proven serial sports bettor buys Faria
A proven sports bettor with a 75% win rate and $139,017 profit is making a fresh $1,897 purchase on Jaime Faria at 58%.
- This bettor has won 91 of 121 resolved trades and is up $139,017 lifetime.
- They have traded 90 different events, suggesting broad sports-market experience rather than a one-off position.
- The fresh $1,897 bet buys Jaime Faria at 58%, near the current market price and below a 68% copy ceiling.
$1,897 on Jaime Faria | Wallet win rate: 77%
99% win-rate tennis bettor backs Walton
An exceptionally proven bettor with a 99% win rate and 43% edge over average odds made a fresh $3,225 bet on Adam Walton.
- This bettor has won 1,917 of 1,936 resolved positions, with $17.35 million in reported profit.
- The wallet is buying Adam Walton at 43¢ despite the market pricing him near 42%, signaling strong conviction from a highly experienced trader.
- The $3,225 position is a focused bet in a liquid tennis market, and the bettor has traded across 1,064 events.
$3,225 on Adam Walton | Wallet win rate: 99%
Sharp serial bettor backs Walton
A highly experienced bettor with a 77% win rate and substantial edge is making a fresh $1,843 wager on Adam Walton at 42%.
- This bettor wins 77% of 210 resolved trades and is up $604,755 lifetime.
- Their results imply a 25% edge over the odds paid, with $12.7 million invested.
- The fresh $1,843 position backs Adam Walton at 42%, near the current market price.
$1,843 on Adam Walton | Wallet win rate: 78%
Top Holders
- 0x336b...1233 — Outcome 69795149, $39,179 (51% win rate)
- 0xf519...906b — Outcome 69795149, $15,000 (75% win rate)
- 0x45e4...7e20 — Outcome 69795149, $15,000 (52% win rate)
- 0x9015...281f — Outcome 69795149, $10,500 (78% win rate)
- 0x9d3e...986c — Outcome 69795149, $10,000 (82% win rate)
- 0xf377...4159 — Outcome 69795149, $8,000 (86% win rate)
- 0xbc43...96d3 — Outcome 69795149, $7,916 (78% win rate)
- 0xc3c3...eec8 — Outcome 69795149, $7,500 (99% win rate)
- 0x04e6...3914 — Outcome 69795149, $5,459 (77% win rate)
- 0x05e3...4b87 — Outcome 69795149, $5,349 (98% win rate)
Related Theses
Qatar Switzerland stays low scoring
Covers 4 related markets
Scoreless first half, late blowout
Covers 3 related markets
Yankees win low-scoring game
Covers 3 related markets
Lynx-Sky game goes over
Covers 2 related markets
Falkowska will defeat Akugue
Covers 1 related market
Mariners will beat Giants
Covers 1 related market
Bernet beats Dellien in Trieste
Covers 1 related market
