Part of: Norway vs. Senegal

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?

27 smart money signals detected, totaling $924,644.

Categories: Sports, Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable whale flips to No

Profitable high-volume wallet appears to have flipped from a small Yes position into a much larger No bet, with supporting one-sided No flow and pre-event volume spikes.

  • This bettor is up $327k over 937 resolved bets, with a 64% hit rate.
  • They appear to have flipped: after a small Yes buy, they put $14.3k into No at 66¢.
  • No also saw $84.8k from 5 wallets, while market volume spiked before the match.

$15,315 on No | Wallet win rate: 54%

7-wallet Yes surge

Surface because the strongest signal is coordinated one-sided Yes flow from 7 wallets plus a major pre-event volume spike, despite this wallet's poor long-term record and small hedge.

  • 7 wallets bought the same side, putting about $75K behind Senegal Yes.
  • Volume spiked up to 470x normal right before the match window.
  • This wallet is net long Yes despite a smaller No hedge, with the main entry at 33¢.

$52,062 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 46%

Sharp bettor joins 12-wallet push

Sharp profitable sports bettor with an 86% record joined a large 12-wallet one-sided move into Senegal Yes amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $63.5k lifetime.
  • 12 wallets bought the same side, totaling $214k on Senegal Yes.
  • Market volume spiked 40.6x, with Senegal's price already up 3 points today.

$6,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%

Sharp bettor joins 12-wallet push

Sharp profitable sports bettor with an 83% track record joined heavy one-sided Senegal buying from 12 wallets amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $232K lifetime.
  • 12 wallets bought the same side, totaling $214K on Senegal Yes.
  • Market volume spiked 40x while Senegal’s price moved up to 32¢.

$3,840 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%

Coordinated Senegal Yes flow

Coordinated Yes buying plus a large pre-event volume spike makes this Senegal position worth surfacing despite the individual wallet's negative lifetime P&L.

  • Four wallets bought the same side, putting $13.3k into Senegal Yes.
  • Trading volume is 31.6x above its normal pace ahead of the match.
  • Yes is already up 2 points today, so the flow is moving with recent momentum.

$1,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 63%

Elite winner joining No wave

A highly profitable 81% winner is buying No alongside a large one-sided cluster and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up about $798K lifetime.
  • Six wallets bought the same side for nearly $199K, showing strong one-way conviction.
  • Market volume is spiking 43x above normal ahead of the match.

$2,070 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

Sharp joins No cluster

A highly profitable 77% lifetime bettor is joining a large one-sided No cluster on a liquid Senegal match market.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up about $455k lifetime.
  • Six wallets have bought the same side, totaling about $199k on No.
  • Market volume is surging 43x above normal, reinforcing the one-sided move.

$2,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%

New whale joins No cluster

A 4-day-old repeat large bettor joined a 6-wallet, $199k one-sided move buying No, with a strong pre-event volume spike supporting the Senegal fade.

  • Six wallets are all buying No, totaling about $199k on the same side.
  • This 4-day-old wallet has already placed five flagged large bets and is up $8.7k on two resolved trades.
  • Market volume is running 43x above its historical pace, suggesting a strong pre-game positioning wave.

$35,954 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

One-sided sports whale flow

Large one-sided Yes flow worth surfacing because three wallets bought the same side for $141.6k amid a 132x pre-event volume spike, with one smaller participant showing a strong 95% historical win record.

  • Three wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $141.6k in a short burst.
  • Market volume is surging 132x above its historical average ahead of the game.
  • One smaller buyer has won 95% of resolved bets and is up $96k lifetime.

$141,599 on Yes

New profitable repeat bettor

A 1-day-old repeat large bettor with $55k early profit is buying Senegal Yes amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This 1-day-old wallet has already made 7 flagged large positions and is up $55k early.
  • The wallet has $84k total flagged exposure, suggesting this is part of a broader high-conviction betting run.
  • Market activity is surging, with volume running 20.6x above its historical average.

$10,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 57%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa4b1...5143 Outcome 41610575, $1,896,999 (100% win rate)
  2. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 42601592, $1,060,046
  3. 0xf031...c80c Outcome 41610575, $75,000 (91% win rate)
  4. 0xaa07...2125 Outcome 41610575, $66,473 (52% win rate)
  5. 0xee67...ef38 Outcome 41610575, $63,644 (71% win rate)
  6. 0x38de...f06c Outcome 41610575, $50,239
  7. 0x6b36...0d4b Outcome 41610575, $49,857 (41% win rate)
  8. 0xd095...dcd9 Outcome 41610575, $45,327 (57% win rate)
  9. 0xef1b...8697 Outcome 41610575, $37,802 (44% win rate)
  10. 0xdb85...152f Outcome 41610575, $30,000 (78% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Germany wins by six plus

Covers 3 related markets

Czechia won't beat Korea

Covers 3 related markets

Canada-Bosnia match canceled

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 6 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Spain wins comfortably

Covers 3 related markets

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?

ResolvedNorway vs. Senegal$924,644 tracked27 signalsSportsSoccerFIFA World CupGames

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 22, 2026 If Senegal wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “No
102¢
85¢
67¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?

9d ago

$15,315 on No at 66¢

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?

9d ago

$52,062 on Yes at 33¢

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?

9d ago

$6,000 on Yes at 32¢

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?

9d ago

$3,840 on Yes at 32¢

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?

9d ago

$1,000 on Yes at 32¢

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?

9d ago

$2,070 on No at 69¢

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?

9d ago

$2,000 on No at 69¢

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?

9d ago

$35,954 on No at 69¢

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?

9d ago

$141,599 on Yes at 32¢

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?

9d ago

$10,000 on Yes at 32¢

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?

9d ago

$3,193 on Yes at 32¢

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?

9d ago

$3,865 on Yes at 32¢

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?

9d ago

$9,600 on Yes at 32¢

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?

9d ago

$1,000 on Yes at 32¢

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?

9d ago

$1,295 on Yes at 32¢

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?

9d ago

$52,011 on No at 69¢

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?

9d ago

$147,375 on Yes at 30¢

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?

9d ago

$2,890 on No at 70¢

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?

9d ago

$257,613 on Yes at 31¢

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?

9d ago

$110,238 on Yes at 30¢

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?

9d ago

$10,976 on No at 71¢

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?

9d ago

$1,704 on No at 71¢

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?

9d ago

$2,272 on No at 71¢

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?

9d ago

$5,680 on No at 71¢

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?

9d ago

$1,988 on No at 71¢

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?

10d ago

$1,104 on Yes at 30¢

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?

10d ago

$42,000 on No at 70¢

Related Theses