Part of: Germany vs. Curaçao - More Markets
Spread: Germany (-2.5)
This prediction market tracks whether Germany will beat Curaçao by 3 or more goals in their FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 14 at 1:00 PM ET. If Germany wins by at least three, the market resolves to Germany; any other final score resolves to Curaçao. PolySpotter currently tracks $3,444 in smart money and 1 smart money signal on this market.
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 14 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Germany" if Germany win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Curaçao". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $10,028.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
New profitable whale repeats
A 3-day-old repeat large bettor with positive early P&L is making another $3.4k Germany spread buy, suggesting fresh conviction despite limited history.
- This 3-day-old wallet has already been flagged 3 times for large bets and is up $2.4k early.
- They put $3.4k on Germany -2.5 at 72¢, adding another meaningful position quickly.
- The market is liquid, so the signal is mainly the wallet’s repeat size and early profitability.
$3,444 on Germany | Wallet win rate: 33%
17-wallet event cluster
Strong linked-wallet and cross-market event positioning from a highly profitable wallet now buying Curaçao after closing a Germany spread position.
- 17 linked wallets share a funder and are active on this event, with $314k across 11 related markets.
- This wallet is up $1.54M over 78k resolved trades, despite betting huge volume.
- They closed a Germany position and bought Curaçao at 30¢, suggesting a shift against Germany covering the spread.
$3,813 on Curaçao | Wallet win rate: 54%
Elite sports bettor buying favorite
A highly proven sports bettor with an 86% win rate and $427k lifetime profit is buying Germany to cover despite only modest market movement.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $427k lifetime.
- They have traded across 162 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-market edge.
- Entry at 70¢ implies they still see value in Germany covering by 3+ goals.
$1,400 on Germany | Wallet win rate: 86%
17-wallet event cluster
Strong linked-wallet and cross-market event positioning from a highly profitable wallet now buying Curaçao after closing a Germany spread position.
- 17 linked wallets share a funder and are active on this event, with $314k across 11 related markets.
- This wallet is up $1.54M over 78k resolved trades, despite betting huge volume.
- They closed a Germany position and bought Curaçao at 30¢, suggesting a shift against Germany covering the spread.
$1,371 on Curaçao | Wallet win rate: 54%
Top Holders
- 0x204f...5e14 — Curaçao, $109,685 (54% win rate)
- 0x0346...52a5 — Germany, $50,388 (53% win rate)
- 0x2117...5c26 — Germany, $10,296 (47% win rate)
- 0x032e...2a9e — Germany, $7,270 (76% win rate)
- 0x84cf...2f63 — Germany, $5,537 (49% win rate)
- 0xdd5e...9040 — Germany, $4,975 (86% win rate)
- 0x04ce...8ccf — Germany, $4,783 (33% win rate)
- 0xf7f0...912c — Curaçao, $4,397 (82% win rate)
- 0x99f0...9495 — Curaçao, $3,597 (49% win rate)
- 0xfc23...8283 — Germany, $3,163 (54% win rate)
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