11 wallets put $40.9k on No, a coordinated bet that Netherlands vs. Japan will not end in a draw. The trade wave came with an 18.6x pre-game volume spike and pushed No up about 18 points. Several wallets have profitable histories, including one up $178k with a 72% win rate.

Part of: Netherlands vs. Japan

Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $109,894.

Categories: Games, FIFA World Cup, Sports, Soccer

Notable Trades

36-wallet linked draw push

Strong coordinated Yes-side flow from 36 wallets, including linked funding, makes this worth surfacing despite the individual wallet’s poor long-term record.

36 wallets bought the draw side in the same window, totaling about $163k.
Four wallets share a funder, suggesting one coordinated actor may be building the same position.
Volume spiked up to 22x normal, and Yes briefly moved sharply before settling back near 18¢.

$8,995 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 47%

11-wallet No surge

High-scoring coordinated No flow: 11 wallets put $40.9k against the draw alongside a major pre-game volume spike and sharp price move.

11 wallets put $40.9k on No, a coordinated bet that Netherlands vs. Japan will not end in a draw.
The trade wave came with an 18.6x pre-game volume spike and pushed No up about 18 points.
Several wallets have profitable histories, including one up $178k with a 72% win rate.

$40,935 on No

Sharp cluster buying draw

Six wallets put $20.1k on the draw, including two highly profitable bettors and a repeat new wallet, amid a 12.5x volume spike and rising price.

Six wallets are all backing the draw, putting $20.1k on Yes within the same window.
Two strong bettors are in the flow: one wins 95% of bets and is up $47.8k, another wins 84% and is up $424.5k.
Market volume spiked 12.5x and the draw price is up 8 points, confirming broader momentum.

$51,580 on Yes

94% winner buying draw

Sharp wallet with a 94% resolved win rate and positive P&L bought the draw at 28¢, making this a copy-worthy sports position despite modest size.

This bettor has won 17 of 18 resolved bets and is up $2,889 lifetime.
They bought the draw at 28¢, implying a potential 3.6x payout if correct.
The market is liquid, so this looks more like a track-record signal than a thin-market move.

$1,004 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%

Proven sharp buying draw

Surface this because a highly profitable serial sports bettor with a 76% win rate is taking a fresh $7.4k position on the draw at 27¢.

This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up about $260k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 108 events with a strong long-term record.
A $7.4k buy at 27¢ suggests they see the draw as underpriced versus current odds.

$7,380 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 10866335, $422,594
0x4f29...7a7e — Outcome 10866335, $57,648 (55% win rate)
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 10866335, $53,707 (63% win rate)
0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 10866335, $23,218 (58% win rate)
0x7a88...41cc — Outcome 10866335, $20,000 (63% win rate)
0x6550...8451 — Outcome 10866335, $19,313 (51% win rate)
0x2005...75ea — Outcome 10866335, $14,773 (55% win rate)
0x2ec5...fd53 — Outcome 10866335, $11,374 (64% win rate)
0xdaef...54e9 — Outcome 10866335, $5,000 (65% win rate)
0x551c...fe91 — Outcome 10866335, $4,468 (72% win rate)

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Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?

ResolvedNetherlands vs. Japan$109,894 tracked5 signalsGamesFIFA World CupSportsSoccer

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 14, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.