When does the Berrettini vs Arnaldi market resolve?

The match was originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET, and the market has a listed resolution date of June 10, 2026 at 09:00 UTC. If the match is delayed too long or canceled under the market rules, it may resolve according to the stated fallback conditions.

What are smart money signals showing for Berrettini vs Arnaldi?

PolySpotter is tracking $8,976 in smart money across 3 signals for this market. Recent alert headlines show multiple sharp bettors and high win-rate traders backing Matteo Arnaldi.

How does this Polymarket tennis market settle if the match is canceled?

If the match is not played at all, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner, the market resolves according to its cancellation and delay rules rather than simply picking a player.

Where can I track Berrettini vs Arnaldi Polymarket odds?

You can track the live prediction market, odds movement, and smart money activity for Berrettini vs Arnaldi on PolySpotter’s market page.

Part of: Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi

Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi

Q: What is the Berrettini vs Arnaldi prediction market about?

This market asks which player will advance in the Roland Garros ATP match between Matteo Berrettini and Matteo Arnaldi. It resolves to Berrettini if he advances, or to Arnaldi if he advances.

This prediction market covers the Roland Garros ATP match between Matteo Berrettini and Matteo Arnaldi, scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with a final resolution deadline of June 10, 2026; PolySpotter is tracking $8,976 in smart money and 3 signals, with recent sharp activity favoring Arnaldi.

30 smart money signals detected, totaling $244,303.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Brand-new whale backing Arnaldi

A brand-new repeat whale is effectively buying Arnaldi with $4.1k, alongside a sharp Berrettini price drop and pre-event volume spike.

A 3-hour-old wallet has now made 7 large flagged bets totaling $22.7k.
This trade effectively bought Arnaldi at 73¢, and the market has already moved to 78¢.
Berrettini fell 12 points in under 5 minutes during an 11.9x volume spike.

$4,090 on Matteo Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable high-volume sports bettor bought Arnaldi amid a sharp pre-match price move and volume spike.

This bettor has a huge track record: 33,465 resolved bets, 69% wins, and $332k in profit.
They bought Arnaldi at 74¢, and the market has already moved to 78¢ after a fast 12-point rise.
Volume is nearly 12x normal ahead of the match, supporting the same Arnaldi direction.

$2,829 on Matteo Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 69%

80% winner backing Arnaldi

Sharp sports bettor with an 80% win rate and $110k profit bought Arnaldi before an 8-point move, supported by cross-market history and volume/price momentum.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $110k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market sports trader across 32 events with the same 80% win rate.
They bought Arnaldi at 70¢ before the market moved to 78¢ amid a 12x volume spike.

$2,057 on Matteo Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 80%

93% winner buying dip

A highly profitable 93% win-rate sports bettor bought Berrettini at 32¢ despite heavy market movement against him, making the wallet track record the key signal.

This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $1.06M lifetime.
They have traded 66 related sports events with a 93% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
Berrettini is down 30% today, so buying at 32¢ looks like a confident contrarian entry.

$1,949 on Matteo Berrettini | Wallet win rate: 93%

Elite 80% tennis bettor

A highly profitable 80% lifetime bettor with extensive cross-market history bought nearly $12k of Arnaldi despite the price later retracing.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up nearly $4.0M lifetime.
They have traded 273 related events with an 80% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
The $12k buy pushed Arnaldi upward quickly, though the market has since pulled back below their 80¢ entry.

$11,995 on Matteo Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 80%

Profitable serial sports trader

A highly profitable serial cross-market sports trader bought Arnaldi amid a pre-match volume spike and rapid price move.

This bettor wins 60% of resolved trades and is up $8.8M lifetime.
They have traded 356 events with over $15.4M in cross-market volume, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
Arnaldi saw a 10.6x volume spike and a fast 12-point move around this buy.

$3,691 on Matteo Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 60%

80% winner fading favorite

A highly profitable 80% winner is effectively fading Arnaldi, with a small same-direction cluster also leaning Berrettini, though this was an exit from an existing Arnaldi position rather than a fresh long.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved bets and is up nearly $4.0M lifetime.
They sold Arnaldi at 67¢, which is equivalent to backing Berrettini around 33¢.
Four wallets moved the same way for $6.3k, but this was a position exit rather than a fresh all-in bet.

$1,952 on Matteo Berrettini | Wallet win rate: 80%

88% winner backs Arnaldi

A highly profitable 88% winner is effectively buying Arnaldi, with six wallets aligned the same way and recent price movement against Berrettini.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up about $2.0M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 150 events with $2.4M in tracked activity.
Six wallets are on the same side, while Berrettini’s price has dropped 16 percentage points.

$1,036 on Matteo Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 88%

89% winner joining cluster

A highly profitable 89% lifetime bettor bought Arnaldi, backed by one-sided cluster flow and a rapid price move despite the market later pulling back.

This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $193k lifetime across 2,225 bets.
Six wallets bought the same side, totaling $8.5k on Arnaldi in the scan window.
Arnaldi was bought at 61¢ after a quick 12-point move, while the current market is cheaper at about 52¢.

$1,122 on Matteo Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 89%

Profitable serial trader flips sides

A profitable serial cross-market sports trader flipped into Arnaldi alongside one-sided cluster flow, though the market has since moved below his entry.

This bettor has won 74% of 242 resolved bets and is up $65k lifetime.
Six wallets bought Arnaldi in the same window, totaling $8.5k on one side.
He closed a Berrettini position and bought Arnaldi at 68¢, while the market is now cheaper at 52¢.

$1,313 on Matteo Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 74%

Top Holders

0x5bec...b215 — Outcome 19023674, $159,999 (59% win rate)
0x2805...76ed — Outcome 19023674, $124,166 (42% win rate)
0xf883...cd1f — Outcome 19023674, $119,095 (86% win rate)
0xa8e0...ad50 — Outcome 19023674, $100,000 (55% win rate)
0x16bb...8492 — Outcome 19023674, $40,904 (92% win rate)
0xac0a...f89e — Outcome 19023674, $39,929 (74% win rate)
0x336b...1233 — Outcome 11832139, $35,000 (46% win rate)
0x0dcf...c556 — Outcome 11832139, $32,828 (94% win rate)
0x1eaf...9bf0 — Outcome 19023674, $30,000 (69% win rate)
0xf284...b9f9 — Outcome 19023674, $26,789 (88% win rate)

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Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi

6dRoland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi$244,303 tracked30 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Berrettini and Matteo Arnaldi in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Berrettini' if Matteo Berrettini advances against Matteo Arnaldi. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Matteo Berrettini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Matteo Arnaldi”