Part of: IK Sirius vs. BK Hacken
Will IK Sirius win on 2026-08-21?
This Polymarket soccer market asks whether IK Sirius will win its Sweden Allsvenskan match on August 21, 2026. It resolves Yes only if Sirius wins within the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time; the market currently tracks $8,444 in smart money and one signal.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 21, 2026 If IK Sirius wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $42,412.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Sweden Allsvenskan
Notable Trades
Large bettor scaling into No
A profitable serial trader is adding a substantial No position amid an extreme pre-event volume spike, though the track record shows only modest edge over entry prices.
- This trader added $5,666 to No and already holds roughly $30,000 in the same position.
- The market saw a 4,137x surge versus its historical trading activity, suggesting unusually strong interest before the match.
- The wallet is up $6.3 million across 22,259 resolved bets, though its 65% win rate indicates only modest edge at its typical prices.
$5,666 on No | Wallet win rate: 65%
92% win-rate bettor adds to Yes
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 92% win rate and substantial historical edge added $8,444 to an existing Yes position.
- This bettor has won 92% of 791 resolved positions and is up $682,206 lifetime.
- They added $8,444 to an existing IK Sirius Yes position at 55–56¢, signaling increased conviction.
- The entry price implies the bettor sees meaningful value despite Yes already trading near 56%.
$8,444 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
Serial bettor scaling into No
A highly experienced serial trader with a meaningful long-term edge is adding nearly $6,000 to an already large No position amid an extreme volume spike.
- This bettor has won 65% of 1,701 resolved trades and is up $669,156 lifetime.
- The wallet added nearly $6,000 to No while already holding $27,618, signaling increased conviction rather than routine position management.
- Trading activity was 934.6 times the historical average, making this a notable directional move despite the market's deep liquidity.
$5,084 on No | Wallet win rate: 65%
Serial bettor scaling into No
A highly experienced serial trader with a meaningful long-term edge is adding nearly $6,000 to an already large No position amid an extreme volume spike.
- This bettor has won 65% of 1,701 resolved trades and is up $669,156 lifetime.
- The wallet added nearly $6,000 to No while already holding $27,618, signaling increased conviction rather than routine position management.
- Trading activity was 934.6 times the historical average, making this a notable directional move despite the market's deep liquidity.
$8,065 on No | Wallet win rate: 65%
Serial bettor scaling into No
A highly experienced serial trader with a meaningful long-term edge is adding nearly $6,000 to an already large No position amid an extreme volume spike.
- This bettor has won 65% of 1,701 resolved trades and is up $669,156 lifetime.
- The wallet added nearly $6,000 to No while already holding $27,618, signaling increased conviction rather than routine position management.
- Trading activity was 934.6 times the historical average, making this a notable directional move despite the market's deep liquidity.
$5,979 on No | Wallet win rate: 65%
Profitable serial bettor backs Sirius No
A highly experienced bettor with 1,701 resolved positions and $669k in profit made a concentrated $3,000 bet against the market favorite.
- This bettor has won 65% of 1,701 resolved trades and earned about $669,000 in profit.
- They placed nearly $3,000 on No at 44¢, a meaningful position in a relatively quiet market.
- The bet opposes the 56% Yes price, suggesting the bettor sees Sirius as modestly overpriced.
$2,997 on No | Wallet win rate: 65%
Sharp bettor scaling into Yes
A proven bettor with a 78% win rate and substantial positive edge added $3,474 to an existing Yes position at 54¢ in a low-volume market.
- This bettor has won 78% of 218 resolved trades and is up $623,000 lifetime.
- They added $3,474 to an existing Yes position at 54¢, over three times the market’s 24-hour volume.
- The wallet has traded across 162 events, suggesting broad and sustained betting expertise rather than a one-off wager.
$2,703 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%
Sharp bettor scaling into Yes
A proven bettor with a 78% win rate and substantial positive edge added $3,474 to an existing Yes position at 54¢ in a low-volume market.
- This bettor has won 78% of 218 resolved trades and is up $623,000 lifetime.
- They added $3,474 to an existing Yes position at 54¢, over three times the market’s 24-hour volume.
- The wallet has traded across 162 events, suggesting broad and sustained betting expertise rather than a one-off wager.
$3,474 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%
Top Holders
- 0xbc43...96d3 — Yes, $86,604 (78% win rate)
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — No, $45,101 (72% win rate)
- 0x076d...8d4c — No, $29,957 (65% win rate)
- 0x3f3a...e8fd — No, $27,881 (65% win rate)
- 0x162c...6c47 — Yes, $15,309 (92% win rate)
- 0xe6bf...8380 — Yes, $13,273 (95% win rate)
- 0x6d3c...d294 — Yes, $5,885 (57% win rate)
- 0x204f...5e14 — No, $5,687 (55% win rate)
- 0xa7dc...21b9 — Yes, $5,000 (88% win rate)
- 0xdb83...1e50 — No, $4,989 (63% win rate)
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