Part of: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds

In the upcoming MLB game between the St. Louis Cardinals and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for August 19 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $26,315.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Profitable serial bettor backs Cincinnati

A highly experienced and profitable serial trader with a 65% win rate bought Cincinnati at 74%, and the price has since risen to 80%.

  • This bettor has won 65% of 6,532 resolved trades and is up $4.5 million.
  • They bought Cincinnati at 74%, with the market now pricing the team at 80%.
  • The wallet has traded across 769 events and more than $12.6 million in volume, providing meaningful evidence beyond a one-off bet.

$1,204 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 67%

Elite bettor scaling into Cardinals

A highly proven bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial existing Cardinals exposure added at 74¢ amid a 30-point price breakout.

  • This bettor has won 95% of 8,014 resolved positions and is up $1.68 million.
  • They added $3,272 to an existing $9,480 Cardinals position, signaling continued conviction.
  • The Cardinals price jumped 30 percentage points beyond its historical range, supporting the directional thesis.

$3,272 on St. Louis Cardinals | Wallet win rate: 95%

94% Win-Rate Bettor Buys Cardinals

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $5,000 Cardinals position despite the market pricing them at only 42%.

  • This bettor has won 162 of 173 resolved positions, with a $1.04M lifetime profit.
  • The wallet’s average entry odds are 45%, yet it wins 94% of the time—an unusually strong edge.
  • A fresh $5,000 buy at 44¢ backs St. Louis while the market currently implies only 42%.

$5,000 on St. Louis Cardinals | Wallet win rate: 91%

96% winner scaling into Cincinnati

A serial cross-market bettor with a 96% win rate and $393,000 profit added $10,262 to an existing Cincinnati Reds position.

  • This bettor has won 22 of 23 resolved positions and is up $393,090.
  • They added $10,262 to an existing Reds position, bringing total investment to about $27,656.
  • The Reds were bought at 59¢, while the market now prices them at 56%, creating a potentially favorable entry if the thesis remains valid.

$10,262 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 96%

81% winner backs Cincinnati

A highly experienced bettor with an 81% win rate and $141,261 profit is selling St. Louis at 41¢, implying a buy on Cincinnati at about 59¢.

  • This bettor has won 81% of 370 resolved trades and earned $141,261 in profit.
  • They have traded across 183 markets and 168 events, suggesting a broad, repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • Selling St. Louis at 41¢ is equivalent to buying Cincinnati at roughly 59¢, close to the market price.

$2,153 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 81%

99% win-rate serial bettor

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 99% win rate is making a fresh $4,425 purchase of Cincinnati at 59%.

  • This bettor has won 1,945 of 1,964 resolved positions and is up $17.4 million lifetime.
  • The wallet has traded across 1,091 events, suggesting a broad and highly established track record rather than a one-off result.
  • The fresh $4,425 Reds position was entered at 59%, close to the current 58% market price.

$4,425 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 99%

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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds$26,315 tracked6 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
St. Louis Cardinals
0¢
Cincinnati Reds
100¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the St. Louis Cardinals and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for August 19 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

STL
4
65-63
Final
CIN
5
61-66
STL +125CIN -134O/U 8.5Polymarket: 0¢
Venue
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
Attendance
16,097

Notable Trades

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds

2026-08-20 01:10 UTC

$1,204 on Cincinnati Reds at 74¢

74¢→100¢↑26¢

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds

2026-08-20 00:14 UTC

$3,272 on St. Louis Cardinals at 74¢

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds

2026-08-19 23:01 UTC

$5,000 on St. Louis Cardinals at 44¢

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds

2026-08-19 21:49 UTC

$10,262 on Cincinnati Reds at 59¢

59¢→100¢↑41¢

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds

2026-08-19 17:21 UTC

$2,153 on Cincinnati Reds at 59¢

59¢→100¢↑41¢

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds

2026-08-19 16:27 UTC

$4,425 on Cincinnati Reds at 59¢

59¢→100¢↑41¢

Related Theses