Part of: Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jessica Pegula vs Anastasia Potapova
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jessica Pegula vs Anastasia Potapova
This prediction market covers the Internazionali BNL d'Italia tennis match between Jessica Pegula and Anastasia Potapova, scheduled for May 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by May 18, 2026 if the match is completed within the allowed window. PolySpotter is tracking $4,688 in smart money across 1 signal, with recent alerts noting activity on both Pegula and Potapova.
12 smart money signals detected, totaling $78,668.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Contrarian Potapova cluster
Three wallets made a coordinated contrarian Potapova bet during a volume spike, including one profitable high-volume wallet, though the market has since moved sharply against them.
- Three wallets all backed Potapova, putting $4.7K on the same upset side before the market moved away from them.
- One bettor is up $583K lifetime across very high volume, making this contrarian buy more worth tracking.
- The entry was around 14–15¢, but Potapova is now only 5¢, so this is a high-risk underdog thesis.
$4,688 on Anastasia Potapova
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Pegula amid a major pre-event volume spike and a 26-point price move.
- This bettor has a long track record: 205 resolved trades, 73% wins, and nearly $14k in profit.
- Pegula has seen a 120x pre-event volume spike, with 17 trades pushing the price up 26 points.
- The market is liquid, but the combined track record and strong price momentum make this worth following.
$2,000 on Jessica Pegula | Wallet win rate: 74%
Profitable tennis volume surge
Profitable high-volume tennis trader bought Pegula amid a 120x pre-match volume spike and a 26-point price move in the same direction.
- This bettor is up $2.1M lifetime across more than 26,000 resolved trades.
- Pegula has surged 26 points, with market volume running 120x above its normal pace.
- The $7K buy came at 83¢ on a liquid market, backing the same direction as the sharp price move.
$7,021 on Jessica Pegula | Wallet win rate: 55%
Coordinated Potapova steam
Four wallets put $26.8k on Potapova amid a major pre-match volume spike and sharp price move, including one profitable high-volume sports trader.
- Four wallets all moved the same way, putting $26.8k behind Potapova through buys and equivalent Pegula sells.
- The market saw a 120x pre-event volume spike, suggesting a wave of positioning before the match.
- One participating bettor has won 73% of 205 resolved bets and is up about $14k lifetime.
$26,779 on Anastasia Potapova
Profitable serial sports bettor
Strong alert: a profitable serial cross-market sports bettor is buying Pegula alongside one-sided flow and a large pre-match volume spike.
- This bettor has won 72% of resolved bets and is up about $180K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 33 events with nearly $879K deployed.
- Three wallets bought Pegula the same way during a 49x pre-match volume spike.
$1,647 on Jessica Pegula | Wallet win rate: 72%
3-wallet Pegula push
Coordinated one-sided buying and a major pre-event volume spike make this Pegula position worth surfacing despite the wallet's poor lifetime P&L.
- Three wallets bought the same side, totaling about $22K on Jessica Pegula.
- Market volume spiked 60x above its historical average before the match.
- Entry at 61¢ implies the group sees Pegula as meaningfully underpriced versus current odds.
$4,567 on Jessica Pegula | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable bettors on Pegula
Three wallets are pushing Pegula in a high-volume tennis market, including two highly profitable sports bettors and one serial cross-market trader with an 80% win rate.
- Two profitable bettors are aligned on Pegula, including one with an 80% record across 344 resolved bets and $95.6k profit.
- One wallet has traded across 32 events with a 72% win rate and $876.9k in total volume, adding credibility to the direction.
- Pegula buying came during a 72x pre-event volume spike, with $7.5k of one-sided flow around a 61¢ entry.
$7,469 on Jessica Pegula
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Potapova alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 73% wins across 4,773 resolved bets and $7.8M in profit.
- Three wallets are all buying Anastasia Potapova, totaling $7,152 on the same side.
- Volume is running 72x above its historical pace before the match, suggesting fresh positioning.
$1,572 on Anastasia Potapova | Wallet win rate: 73%
1-day profitable whale
A 1-day-old wallet with a perfect 6-0 resolved record and $56k profit is making another large $15k bet on Jessica Pegula.
- This new bettor is 6-for-6 on resolved bets and is up $56k so far.
- They have now been flagged 11 times, with nearly $79k in notable bets already.
- A $15k entry at 66¢ implies strong confidence in Jessica Pegula despite a fairly active market.
$15,000 on Jessica Pegula | Wallet win rate: 100%
85% serial sports bettor
Serial cross-market sports bettor with an 85% resolved win rate bought Jessica Pegula at 66%, making the wallet track record the main signal despite modest size and negative lifetime P&L.
- This bettor has won 85% of 274 resolved bets across 253 events.
- They are highly active in similar markets, with over $1.07M traded across cross-market positions.
- Buying Pegula at 66¢ suggests a straightforward favorite-backed tennis position rather than a thin-market long shot.
$1,622 on Jessica Pegula | Wallet win rate: 85%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 54955171, $25,429 (73% win rate)
- 0x10ff...5088 — Outcome 54955171, $10,356 (55% win rate)
- 0x2a2c...9bc1 — Outcome 54955171, $8,343 (53% win rate)
- 0x51e1...5ec9 — Outcome 54955171, $7,299 (44% win rate)
- 0x9c76...c926 — Outcome 54955171, $6,630 (89% win rate)
- 0x8f3c...2f57 — Outcome 54955171, $5,470 (48% win rate)
- 0xba81...dc35 — Outcome 54955171, $5,195 (94% win rate)
- 0x1da3...2f94 — Outcome 54955171, $4,803 (86% win rate)
- 0x4379...2e16 — Outcome 54955171, $3,000 (69% win rate)
- 0x1c1b...de56 — Outcome 54955171, $2,724 (49% win rate)
