Part of: Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-15?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $1,040,453.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, La Liga

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor joins five-wallet Yes cluster

A proven serial trader is selling No into a five-wallet Yes cluster and an extreme volume spike, creating a strong coordinated directional signal toward Yes.

  • This bettor has won 74% of 687 resolved trades and earned about $450,000 in profit.
  • Five wallets have bought Yes for a combined $621,144, alongside a 6,678x historical volume spike.
  • The $4,030 No sale is equivalent to buying Yes around 38¢, suggesting a shift toward Sevilla winning despite the existing No position.

$4,030 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%

Whale scaling into coordinated Yes buying

A large existing holder added $421,000 to Yes while four other wallets also bought Yes, coinciding with an extreme pre-event volume surge.

  • This wallet added $421,000 to Yes at 37–38¢ despite already having $1.6 million invested.
  • Five wallets bought Yes for a combined $621,000, creating strong one-sided conviction.
  • Trading volume surged to more than 6,600 times its historical average while Yes remains priced at just 38¢.

$421,101 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Five-wallet cluster scaling into Yes

A massive five-wallet Yes cluster bought over $612,000 in a relatively thin market, including a profitable 74% win-rate bettor and substantial position additions.

  • Five wallets concentrated more than $612,000 on Yes, over 15 times the reported 24-hour volume.
  • A bettor with a 74% win rate and $449,780 lifetime profit is reducing No exposure, equivalent to buying Yes around 38¢.
  • The largest wallet is adding to an existing $1.58 million Yes position despite recent odds falling 4% in one day.

$612,222 on Yes

Massive volume spike backs No

A massive pre-event volume spike and falling price support this $3,100 No position, though the wallet's modest win rate offers limited additional edge.

  • Trading surged to 5,807 times its historical average across 38 trades.
  • The market has fallen 4% in one day and 5.5% in a week as this bettor bought No at 62¢.
  • The wallet is highly active and profitable overall, but its 56% win rate is not especially predictive.

$3,100 on No | Wallet win rate: 56%

Top Holders

  1. 0xc41d...74fd Outcome 77562105, $210,000 (97% win rate)
  2. 0x709e...66f5 Outcome 77562105, $95,856 (49% win rate)
  3. 0x56b9...79a2 Outcome 77562105, $69,000 (92% win rate)
  4. 0x9f15...bdb3 Outcome 77562105, $64,004 (75% win rate)
  5. 0xc96e...f1f9 Outcome 77562105, $47,000 (76% win rate)
  6. 0xc0fd...a0a9 Outcome 77562105, $46,170 (84% win rate)
  7. 0x9c1c...7980 Outcome 77562105, $39,690 (74% win rate)
  8. 0xc974...b33b Outcome 77562105, $24,861 (88% win rate)
  9. 0x7ea5...de7b Outcome 77562105, $19,473 (62% win rate)
  10. 0x8c81...dcd3 Outcome 77562105, $17,500 (79% win rate)

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Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-15?

ResolvedSevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid$1,040,453 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesSoccerLa Liga

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 15, 2026 If Sevilla FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Yes
97¢
57¢
17¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-15?

8d ago

$4,030 on Yes at 38¢

Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-15?

8d ago

$421,101 on Yes at 38¢

Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-15?

8d ago

$612,222 on Yes at 38¢

Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-15?

8d ago

$3,100 on No at 62¢

Related Theses