Part of: England vs. DR Congo - More Markets

Spread: England (-1.5)

27 smart money signals detected, totaling $624,286.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Seven-wallet England cluster

High-score 7-wallet cluster is buying England -1.5, supported by serial cross-market bettors despite recent price weakness.

  • Seven wallets put $25.7k on the same side, all effectively buying England -1.5.
  • One participant is a serial cross-market trader with a 75% win rate across 111 events.
  • The bet is contrarian to the 1-day move, with England down 34 percentage points but this cluster still buying.

$25,691 on England

97% winner in linked cluster

Elite 97% win-rate wallet bought England alongside a large 14-wallet linked cluster despite the market moving sharply against that side.

  • This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $611K lifetime.
  • 14 wallets are all buying England, totaling $273K on the same side.
  • The trade entered at 49¢, implying a strong view that England covers despite current odds near 24¢.

$24,500 on England | Wallet win rate: 98%

New profitable repeat bettor

Very new wallet with early profits and repeat large flagged bets is taking a $5.4k position on DR Congo shortly before kickoff.

  • This wallet is less than 1 day old but is already up $6.5k on $19.9k invested.
  • It has now made 5 flagged large bets totaling $12.3k, suggesting repeat conviction rather than a one-off punt.
  • The bettor bought DR Congo at 52¢, meaning they are backing England not to win by 2 or more.

$5,449 on DR Congo | Wallet win rate: 100%

88% winner fading favorite

Surface due to sharp-wallet override: this bettor has an 88% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L despite only a modest single bet in a liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $18,068 lifetime.
  • They bought DR Congo +1.5 at 52¢, fading England to win by 2+ goals.
  • Entry at 52¢ implies roughly a 1.9x payout if DR Congo covers.

$2,999 on DR Congo | Wallet win rate: 87%

New whale with perfect start

A 5-day-old repeat whale with an 8-0 resolved record is making another six-figure bet, buying DR Congo +1.5 at 52¢.

  • This new bettor is 8-for-8 on resolved bets and already up $3.6K.
  • They have now made 23 flagged large bets totaling $820K in under 5 days.
  • This $118K buy backs DR Congo +1.5 at 52¢ in a highly liquid World Cup spread market.

$118,178 on DR Congo | Wallet win rate: 97%

85% win-rate sports sharp

Sharp wallet with an 85% resolved win rate and strong cross-market history bought England -1.5 at 50¢.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up about $88K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 51 events with $1.6M in tracked volume.
  • Entry at 50¢ implies they see England winning by 2+ as better than a coin flip.

$1,500 on England | Wallet win rate: 45%

92% winner buying England spread

Surfaced because this is a proven sharp wallet with a 92% win rate and positive lifetime P&L buying England at even odds.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades, with 173 wins across 189 positions.
  • They are up $3,602 on $12,971 invested, suggesting a real edge rather than just lucky favorites.
  • Entry at 50¢ implies they see England -1.5 as better than a coin flip.

$1,015 on England | Wallet win rate: 92%

91% sports sharp

Sharp sports bettor with a 91% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying DR Congo at even odds on a liquid World Cup spread market.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $26.5K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 57 events and 79 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Entry at 50¢ gives an even-money copy point on DR Congo covering the +1.5 spread.

$5,000 on DR Congo | Wallet win rate: 93%

82% serial sports trader

High-composite sports alert from an 82% win-rate serial cross-market trader placing a $25k England -1.5 bet amid a major pre-event volume spike, though lifetime P&L is negative.

  • This bettor has won 31 of 38 resolved trades and regularly trades across related sports markets.
  • They bought $25k of England -1.5 at 50¢, a clear even-money position on a liquid market.
  • Market activity is 120x above its historical baseline, suggesting broader pre-game positioning.

$25,282 on England | Wallet win rate: 45%

Profitable repeat whale

A repeat large bettor with roughly $606k lifetime profit put $51k on DR Congo +1.5 amid a 43x pre-event volume spike.

  • This repeat whale is up about $606k lifetime on $5.5M traded.
  • They put $51k on DR Congo +1.5 at 51¢ in three quick fills.
  • Market volume is running 43x above normal ahead of the game.

$51,000 on DR Congo | Wallet win rate: 52%

Top Holders

  1. 0x7c1e...bab3 Outcome 10199993, $445,000 (98% win rate)
  2. 0x5c3a...020b Outcome 10199993, $200,000 (61% win rate)
  3. 0x7d2f...ef1a Outcome 10199993, $45,000 (57% win rate)
  4. 0x6d77...bcaf Outcome 10199993, $40,609 (100% win rate)
  5. 0x20d6...3856 Outcome 10199993, $30,000 (52% win rate)
  6. 0xfe1c...436c Outcome 10199993, $23,529 (67% win rate)
  7. 0xc128...2217 Outcome 10199993, $18,000 (91% win rate)
  8. 0x3d85...197f Outcome 10199993, $17,911 (83% win rate)
  9. 0x96a3...d944 Outcome 10199993, $14,000 (77% win rate)
  10. 0x02af...aaa9 Outcome 10199993, $13,556 (71% win rate)

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Iraq covers low-scoring match

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Croatia wins high-scoring blowout

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Spain routs Saudi Arabia

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Belgium fails to win

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England wins a high-scoring rout

Covers 5 related markets

Bosnia routs Qatar in shootout

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Brazil wins high-scoring blowout

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England routs Panama in goalfest

Covers 5 related markets

Spread: England (-1.5)

ResolvedEngland vs. DR Congo - More Markets$624,286 tracked27 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 1 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "England" if England win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "DR Congo". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Spread: England (-1.5)

53d ago

$25,691 on England at 19¢

Spread: England (-1.5)

53d ago

$24,500 on England at 49¢

Spread: England (-1.5)

53d ago

$5,449 on DR Congo at 52¢

Spread: England (-1.5)

53d ago

$2,999 on DR Congo at 52¢

Spread: England (-1.5)

53d ago

$118,178 on DR Congo at 52¢

Spread: England (-1.5)

53d ago

$1,500 on England at 50¢

Spread: England (-1.5)

53d ago

$1,015 on England at 50¢

Spread: England (-1.5)

53d ago

$5,000 on DR Congo at 50¢

Spread: England (-1.5)

53d ago

$25,282 on England at 50¢

Spread: England (-1.5)

53d ago

$51,000 on DR Congo at 51¢

Spread: England (-1.5)

53d ago

$5,000 on England at 50¢

Spread: England (-1.5)

53d ago

$1,000 on England at 50¢

Spread: England (-1.5)

53d ago

$17,850 on DR Congo at 49¢

Spread: England (-1.5)

53d ago

$1,542 on DR Congo at 50¢

Spread: England (-1.5)

53d ago

$1,320 on England at 51¢

Spread: England (-1.5)

53d ago

$16,097 on England at 49¢

Spread: England (-1.5)

53d ago

$5,884 on England at 51¢

Spread: England (-1.5)

53d ago

$1,000 on England at 50¢

Spread: England (-1.5)

54d ago

$8,100 on England at 50¢

Spread: England (-1.5)

54d ago

$3,000 on DR Congo at 50¢

Spread: England (-1.5)

54d ago

$1,176 on DR Congo at 49¢

Spread: England (-1.5)

54d ago

$1,485 on DR Congo at 49¢

Spread: England (-1.5)

53d ago

$292,356 on DR Congo at 52¢

Spread: England (-1.5)

54d ago

$3,361 on DR Congo at 49¢

Spread: England (-1.5)

54d ago

$1,681 on DR Congo at 49¢

Spread: England (-1.5)

55d ago

$1,368 on England at 53¢

Spread: England (-1.5)

56d ago

$1,450 on England at 53¢

Related Theses