Part of: England vs. DR Congo - More Markets
Spread: England (-1.5)
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 1 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "England" if England win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "DR Congo". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
27 smart money signals detected, totaling $624,286.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Seven-wallet England cluster
High-score 7-wallet cluster is buying England -1.5, supported by serial cross-market bettors despite recent price weakness.
- Seven wallets put $25.7k on the same side, all effectively buying England -1.5.
- One participant is a serial cross-market trader with a 75% win rate across 111 events.
- The bet is contrarian to the 1-day move, with England down 34 percentage points but this cluster still buying.
$25,691 on England
97% winner in linked cluster
Elite 97% win-rate wallet bought England alongside a large 14-wallet linked cluster despite the market moving sharply against that side.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $611K lifetime.
- 14 wallets are all buying England, totaling $273K on the same side.
- The trade entered at 49¢, implying a strong view that England covers despite current odds near 24¢.
$24,500 on England | Wallet win rate: 61%
New profitable repeat bettor
Very new wallet with early profits and repeat large flagged bets is taking a $5.4k position on DR Congo shortly before kickoff.
- This wallet is less than 1 day old but is already up $6.5k on $19.9k invested.
- It has now made 5 flagged large bets totaling $12.3k, suggesting repeat conviction rather than a one-off punt.
- The bettor bought DR Congo at 52¢, meaning they are backing England not to win by 2 or more.
$5,449 on DR Congo | Wallet win rate: 100%
88% winner fading favorite
Surface due to sharp-wallet override: this bettor has an 88% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L despite only a modest single bet in a liquid market.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $18,068 lifetime.
- They bought DR Congo +1.5 at 52¢, fading England to win by 2+ goals.
- Entry at 52¢ implies roughly a 1.9x payout if DR Congo covers.
$2,999 on DR Congo | Wallet win rate: 87%
New whale with perfect start
A 5-day-old repeat whale with an 8-0 resolved record is making another six-figure bet, buying DR Congo +1.5 at 52¢.
- This new bettor is 8-for-8 on resolved bets and already up $3.6K.
- They have now made 23 flagged large bets totaling $820K in under 5 days.
- This $118K buy backs DR Congo +1.5 at 52¢ in a highly liquid World Cup spread market.
$118,178 on DR Congo | Wallet win rate: 95%
85% win-rate sports sharp
Sharp wallet with an 85% resolved win rate and strong cross-market history bought England -1.5 at 50¢.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up about $88K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 51 events with $1.6M in tracked volume.
- Entry at 50¢ implies they see England winning by 2+ as better than a coin flip.
$1,500 on England | Wallet win rate: 45%
92% winner buying England spread
Surfaced because this is a proven sharp wallet with a 92% win rate and positive lifetime P&L buying England at even odds.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades, with 173 wins across 189 positions.
- They are up $3,602 on $12,971 invested, suggesting a real edge rather than just lucky favorites.
- Entry at 50¢ implies they see England -1.5 as better than a coin flip.
$1,015 on England | Wallet win rate: 92%
91% sports sharp
Sharp sports bettor with a 91% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying DR Congo at even odds on a liquid World Cup spread market.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $26.5K lifetime.
- They have traded across 57 events and 79 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Entry at 50¢ gives an even-money copy point on DR Congo covering the +1.5 spread.
$5,000 on DR Congo | Wallet win rate: 93%
82% serial sports trader
High-composite sports alert from an 82% win-rate serial cross-market trader placing a $25k England -1.5 bet amid a major pre-event volume spike, though lifetime P&L is negative.
- This bettor has won 31 of 38 resolved trades and regularly trades across related sports markets.
- They bought $25k of England -1.5 at 50¢, a clear even-money position on a liquid market.
- Market activity is 120x above its historical baseline, suggesting broader pre-game positioning.
$25,282 on England | Wallet win rate: 45%
Profitable repeat whale
A repeat large bettor with roughly $606k lifetime profit put $51k on DR Congo +1.5 amid a 43x pre-event volume spike.
- This repeat whale is up about $606k lifetime on $5.5M traded.
- They put $51k on DR Congo +1.5 at 51¢ in three quick fills.
- Market volume is running 43x above normal ahead of the game.
$51,000 on DR Congo | Wallet win rate: 54%
Top Holders
- 0x7c1e...bab3 — England, $445,000 (61% win rate)
- 0x7d2f...ef1a — England, $45,000 (58% win rate)
- 0x6d77...bcaf — England, $40,609 (100% win rate)
- 0x20d6...3856 — England, $30,000 (55% win rate)
- 0xfe1c...436c — England, $23,529 (67% win rate)
- 0xc128...2217 — England, $18,000 (91% win rate)
- 0x3d85...197f — England, $17,911 (83% win rate)
- 0x96a3...d944 — England, $14,000 (77% win rate)
- 0x02af...aaa9 — England, $13,556 (71% win rate)
- 0xe7b4...213a — England, $11,538 (88% win rate)
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