Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the listed division during the 2025-26 NHL regular season. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win its division (e.g., mathematical elimination before season end), the relevant market will resolve immediately to “No.” If the 2025-26 NHL season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $69,001.
Categories: Sports, Hockey, NHL
Notable Trades
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?
A single wallet made two large buys of Tampa Bay Yes into a thin NHL division market, driving a major volume spike and taking meaningful size at 43-44¢ in a low-liquidity book.
- This wallet put $15.3k into Tampa Bay Yes at 44¢ in a market with only $3.7k of 24h volume.
- The order was bigger than the book liquidity, which suggests strong conviction rather than routine trading.
- Market volume suddenly spiked far above normal activity, and this wallet was the main driver of that move.
$15,317 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?
A nearly $12k buy on Tampa Bay in a thin division market created a major volume spike and dwarfed recent trading, making it a notable conviction bet despite limited wallet history.
- A single bettor put nearly $12k into Tampa Bay, more than 3x this market’s entire 24-hour volume.
- The buy hit a thin book with only about $2.5k of liquidity, which suggests strong conviction rather than routine trading.
- Market activity spiked far above normal right as this trade came in, pointing to a fresh directional view on Tampa Bay.
$11,955 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?
Three wallets piled $36.7k into NO on a thin Lightning division market, creating an extreme volume spike that stands out even though the wallets' track records are still limited.
- Three wallets all bought NO within minutes, totaling $36.7k on the same side
- Their bets were 10x the market's listed liquidity and more than 4x the past 24h volume
- They paid 57¢ for NO, implying they think Tampa Bay is meaningfully overpriced at 43% to win the division
$36,745 on No
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?
A nearly $5k buy made up more than the entire market’s 24h volume and hit during an extreme volume spike in a thin NHL division market, suggesting real conviction despite limited wallet history.
- A single $5.0k buy was 136% of the market’s 24-hour volume in a market with only $2.5k liquidity
- Trading hit a huge volume spike, with activity running over 3,300x the recent baseline
- The bettor entered at 43¢, a clear directional bet that Tampa Bay is undervalued versus the market
$4,983 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%
Top Holders
- 0x42b5...b5b6 — No, $10,699
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $8,966
- 0x53ec...df91 — Yes, $4,548 (49% win rate)
- 0xd77b...24ab — Yes, $3,503
- 0xde04...fa37 — Yes, $2,966 (55% win rate)
- 0xdd58...18f9 — Yes, $2,258
- 0x231a...a82f — Yes, $1,233
- 0x0362...449e — Yes, $1,000
- 0x9ccc...e7e8 — No, $1,000
- 0x30ee...a587 — Yes, $944