Part of: Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winner

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $257,964.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

21-wallet Team Spirit conviction cluster

A 21-wallet, $217,000 one-sided Team Spirit flow and a massive $145,000 add create a strong coordinated-conviction signal, despite the lead wallet's mediocre win rate and adverse price movement.

  • Twenty-one wallets bought Team Spirit for a combined $217,000, indicating unusually concentrated directional conviction.
  • The lead bettor added $145,000 to an existing $1.3 million Team Spirit position, despite the price falling from 48¢ to 34¢.
  • Trading volume spiked to more than 1,100 times its historical average, although the lead wallet's 46% win rate is not independently compelling.

$145,401 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 47%

96% winner backs Team Spirit

A highly profitable esports bettor with a 96% win rate bought Team Spirit alongside 12 coordinated wallets during an extreme volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 96% of 891 resolved positions and earned $1.53M in profit.
  • Twelve wallets bought Team Spirit in the same direction, totaling $511,173.
  • The trade entered at 44¢ during a 3,262× historical volume spike, despite current odds falling to 32%.

$1,986 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 96%

Sharp bettor joins 12-wallet Spirit surge

A highly profitable, serial cross-market bettor bought Team Spirit alongside 11 other wallets during an extraordinary volume spike despite the market moving against them.

  • This bettor wins 80% of 1,301 resolved positions and is up $2.64 million.
  • Twelve wallets bought Team Spirit for a combined $511,173 during a 3,262x historical volume spike.
  • The trade entered at 39¢ while the market is now 32¢, offering a potentially attractive price if the coordinated thesis holds.

$2,265 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 80%

Coordinated sharp flow toward TEAM VISION

A large coordinated move toward TEAM VISION is reinforced by several highly profitable bettors, though many participants already held positions and some appear hedged.

  • 21 wallets committed $88,837 to TEAM VISION, with additional Team Spirit selling equivalent to more TEAM VISION exposure.
  • Several participants have exceptional records, including 89% over 963 resolved bets and 85% over 209 bets.
  • The market is already pricing TEAM VISION at 64%, while substantial prior positions and mixed hedges make this less clean than a purely fresh entry.

$92,312 on TEAM VISION

99% win-rate bettor backs TEAM VISION

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 99% win rate and $11.2M lifetime profit placed a fresh $16,000 position on TEAM VISION amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 657 of 667 resolved positions, with $11.2M in lifetime profit and a large edge over the prices paid.
  • They placed two fresh $8,000 buys on TEAM VISION at 61¢ and 62¢, rather than merely managing an existing position.
  • The trades coincided with an reported 857x volume spike in a relatively quiet market, signaling unusually strong conviction.

$16,000 on TEAM VISION | Wallet win rate: 99%

Top Holders

  1. 0x6d20...a165 Outcome 19978373, $1,300,000 (47% win rate)
  2. 0x2929...1dd0 Outcome 19978373, $53,252 (64% win rate)
  3. 0xed44...4f76 Outcome 19978373, $46,059 (62% win rate)
  4. 0x08c2...c023 Outcome 19978373, $28,743 (92% win rate)
  5. 0x8c0b...7aa5 Outcome 19978373, $25,471 (59% win rate)
  6. 0xe3cb...ac21 Outcome 19978373, $25,000 (65% win rate)
  7. 0x6f04...1fb0 Outcome 19978373, $18,455 (89% win rate)
  8. 0xc1de...21f5 Outcome 19978373, $15,000 (98% win rate)
  9. 0x12ec...41ae Outcome 19978373, $14,950 (58% win rate)
  10. 0x6304...e570 Outcome 19978373, $14,900 (49% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winner

ResolvedDota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs$257,964 tracked5 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Team Spirit and TEAM VISION in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win Game 1 against TEAM VISION. This market will resolve to "TEAM VISION" if TEAM VISION win Game 1 against Team Spirit. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 21, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “TEAM VISION
102¢
81¢
59¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winner

2d ago

$145,401 on Team Spirit at 48¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winner

2d ago

$1,986 on Team Spirit at 44¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winner

2d ago

$2,265 on Team Spirit at 39¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winner

2d ago

$92,312 on TEAM VISION at 64¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winner

2d ago

$16,000 on TEAM VISION at 62¢

Related Theses