Part of: Mavericks vs. Suns

Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 230.5

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $39,464.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

82% win-rate dip buyer

A proven high-volume bettor with an 82% win rate bought Over after a sharp 27.6-point collapse, suggesting they view the move as an overreaction.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $245.7k across more than 1,100 bets.
  • They trade across 680 markets and 345 events, so this looks like a seasoned operator rather than a one-off bet.
  • They bought Over at 25¢ after the market broke far below its prior range, implying they see the selloff as too extreme.

$1,994 on Over | Wallet win rate: 80%

91% win-rate sports bettor

A proven sharp sports bettor with a 91% win rate and $2.68M profit just bought Over in a market seeing an extreme pregame volume surge.

  • This bettor wins 91% of their trades and is up $2.68M across 288 resolved positions
  • They bought Over at 56¢, suggesting they see the true odds as meaningfully higher than the market price
  • This market is seeing a 551x surge in activity before the game, which adds weight to the move

$6,268 on Over | Wallet win rate: 70%

8-wallet linked Over cluster

Eight linked wallets piled $24.3k into Over at 55¢ in a burst, and several of the wallets are large serial traders with strong long-run results, making this coordinated sports flow worth following.

  • Eight wallets bet the same side within about 2 minutes, and five share a funder.
  • The biggest wallet wins 74% of resolved bets and is up about $2.5M lifetime.
  • They bought Over at 55¢ while market-wide volume spiked 848x, showing fast coordinated conviction.

$24,347 on Over

71% win-rate sports grinder

A high-volume serial sports trader with a strong 71% win rate and $186.5k profit is buying Over at 55¢, making this a reasonable follow despite the otherwise routine market conditions.

  • This bettor wins 71% of 543 resolved markets and is up $186.5k lifetime
  • They have traded 61 markets across 53 events, showing a repeatable cross-market betting pattern
  • Bought Over at 55¢, a moderate price that leaves room to follow near the current ask

$1,375 on Over | Wallet win rate: 68%

97% win-rate bettor

A bettor with an exceptional 97% win rate and strong profitability just bought Over at 53¢, making this a sharp single-wallet sports signal worth surfacing.

  • This bettor wins 77 of 79 resolved markets and is up $134.7k overall
  • They bought Over at 53¢, close to a coin flip price, which suggests a real edge rather than chasing heavy favorites
  • The bet is meaningful at $3.3k, even in a fairly liquid market with a tight 1¢ spread

$3,253 on Over | Wallet win rate: 97%

99% win-rate bettor

A serial cross-market wallet with an extraordinary 99% resolved win rate just bought Under at 50¢, making this a sharp bettor signal worth surfacing despite the otherwise routine market conditions.

  • This bettor has won 372 of 376 resolved markets, an exceptional 99% hit rate
  • They've traded 181 markets across 159 events, showing a repeatable pattern rather than a one-off bet
  • They bought Under at 50¢, a cheap even-money entry if their track record reflects real edge

$2,228 on Under | Wallet win rate: 99%

Top Holders

  1. 0x4df3...788f Outcome 11369455, $16,065 (71% win rate)
  2. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 11369455, $12,072 (73% win rate)
  3. 0xb3cf...0ebd Outcome 11369455, $7,976 (80% win rate)
  4. 0xd106...c79c Outcome 11369455, $7,948 (53% win rate)
  5. 0x1ea2...9ad4 Outcome 11369455, $6,185 (97% win rate)
  6. 0x6323...9fee Outcome 11369455, $3,586 (97% win rate)
  7. 0xd4aa...d40c Outcome 11369455, $1,744
  8. 0x3242...0e0b Outcome 11369455, $1,282
  9. 0x01c7...e995 Outcome 11369455, $614 (64% win rate)
  10. 0x6c1d...1f8f Outcome 11369455, $428

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

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Covers 2 related markets

Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 230.5

ResolvedMavericks vs. Suns$39,464 tracked6 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 8 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Mavericks and Suns combine to score 231 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 231, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

DAL
25-55
Mortgage Matchup Center
PHX
44-36
Draft Kings
Spread: PHX -12.5O/U: 234.5ML: +500/-700
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 230.5

36d ago

$1,994 on Over at 25¢

Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 230.5

36d ago

$6,268 on Over at 56¢

Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 230.5

36d ago

$24,347 on Over at 55¢

Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 230.5

36d ago

$1,375 on Over at 55¢

Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 230.5

37d ago

$3,253 on Over at 53¢

Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 230.5

37d ago

$2,228 on Under at 50¢

Related Theses