Bitcoin Up or Down on April 5?
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Apr 5 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Apr 5 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,985.
Notable Trades
92% win-rate serial bettor
A serial cross-market bettor with a 92% win rate made another high-probability buy in a same-day BTC market, making this worth tracking despite the modest alert score.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades across 198 markets and has traded 141 events.
- They bought Down at 90¢ in a market they likely specialize in, matching their usual high-probability style.
- The market is active and liquid, so this looks like a deliberate repeatable edge rather than a random thin-market punt.
$1,985 on Down | Wallet win rate: 92%
Top Holders
- 0x9c97...b2f4 — Up, $86,673
- 0x4ad6...464c — Down, $47,671
- 0x751a...9ea1 — Down, $38,862 (99% win rate)
- 0xb77b...70a5 — Down, $27,998
- 0x71a7...6fcf — Up, $19,734 (45% win rate)
- 0x8ff0...a0ed — Up, $13,000
- 0x8ef6...babc — Down, $11,000
- 0xd26a...c5ea — Down, $10,117 (100% win rate)
- 0x6e1d...d0fa — Up, $10,052 (60% win rate)
- 0xe5f8...8d75 — Up, $9,086
