Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down on April 5?

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 5?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,985.

Categories: Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Bitcoin, Up or Down, Today ๐Ÿš€, Daily, Daily-Close

Notable Trades

92% win-rate serial bettor

A serial cross-market bettor with a 92% win rate made another high-probability buy in a same-day BTC market, making this worth tracking despite the modest alert score.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades across 198 markets and has traded 141 events.
  • They bought Down at 90ยข in a market they likely specialize in, matching their usual high-probability style.
  • The market is active and liquid, so this looks like a deliberate repeatable edge rather than a random thin-market punt.

$1,985 on Down | Wallet win rate: 93%

Top Holders

  1. 0xd4aa...d40c โ€” Outcome 21613765, $13,935
  2. 0x8ff0...a0ed โ€” Outcome 21613765, $13,000
  3. 0x84c8...3ee8 โ€” Outcome 21613765, $9,281
  4. 0xdf59...5735 โ€” Outcome 21613765, $9,281
  5. 0xcea6...a07b โ€” Outcome 21613765, $4,648
  6. 0xeee9...7ecb โ€” Outcome 21613765, $1,756
  7. 0x76c7...fdf8 โ€” Outcome 21613765, $928
  8. 0x57c1...0273 โ€” Outcome 21613765, $227
  9. 0x0061...8fd6 โ€” Outcome 21613765, $200
  10. 0x87b4...2656 โ€” Outcome 21613765, $180

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

S&P 500 falls May 11

Covers 1 related market

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 5?

ResolvedBitcoin Up or Down on April 5?$1,985 tracked1 signalCryptoCrypto PricesRecurringHide From NewBitcoinUp or DownToday ๐Ÿš€DailyDaily-Close

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Apr 5 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Apr 5 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 5?

45d ago

$1,985 on Down at 90ยข

Related Theses