Part of: Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1
Map Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (+1.5)
13 smart money signals detected, totaling $87,540.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
91% sharp on esports
A highly profitable sharp bettor with a 91% resolved win rate bought FlyQuest at 54% and the market has already moved to 62%.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up about $117K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 34 events with the same 91% hit rate.
- Entry at 54¢ has already moved to 62¢, showing the market followed their side.
$2,185 on FlyQuest | Wallet win rate: 92%
91% winner on FlyQuest
Sharp esports bettor with a 91% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying FlyQuest at 48¢.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up about $117k lifetime.
- They are a proven cross-market trader, active across 33 events with a 91% hit rate.
- Entry at 48¢ implies they see FlyQuest’s handicap price as meaningfully underpriced.
$2,160 on FlyQuest | Wallet win rate: 92%
Sharp bettor buying underdog handicap
Surface due to sharp-wallet override: this bettor has a 75% record over 20 resolved bets with positive lifetime P&L and is buying FlyQuest at 48¢.
- This bettor has won 75% of resolved trades and is up $26.5K lifetime.
- Their past bets beat market odds by about 25 percentage points on average.
- Entry at 48¢ implies they see FlyQuest handicap as mispriced near even odds.
$2,440 on FlyQuest | Wallet win rate: 84%
94% winner backs FlyQuest
Sharp esports bettor with a 94% win rate and strong lifetime profit bought $9.5k of FlyQuest at 48¢.
- This bettor has won 33 of 35 resolved bets and is up $49k lifetime.
- They put $9.5k on FlyQuest at 48¢, despite the market pricing it near a coin flip.
- Their past wins came at 60¢ average odds, suggesting a strong record beyond just picking heavy favorites.
$9,520 on FlyQuest | Wallet win rate: 94%
Profitable serial esports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 65% resolved win rate and $283K lifetime profit is taking an $8K position on THUNDER dOWNUNDER +1.5.
- This bettor is up $283K across 165 resolved bets with a 65% hit rate.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 103 events and $764K of tracked volume.
- The $7,950 buy at 53¢ backs THUNDER dOWNUNDER to keep the match within the handicap.
$7,950 on THUNDER dOWNUNDER | Wallet win rate: 53%
95% winner buying FlyQuest
Elite bettor with a 95% resolved win rate and $532k profit is buying FlyQuest at 46¢ in a liquid esports handicap market.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $532k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 200 events and a 95% hit rate.
- Entry at 46¢ implies they see FlyQuest as meaningfully underpriced.
$4,111 on FlyQuest | Wallet win rate: 95%
Proven sharp flipped sides
Sharp esports bettor with a 77% long-run win rate and $1.33M profit is buying THUNDER dOWNUNDER after previously closing a FlyQuest position.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $1.33M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 253 events with nearly $1.9M deployed.
- They previously closed a FlyQuest position and are now buying THUNDER dOWNUNDER at 54¢.
$2,995 on THUNDER dOWNUNDER | Wallet win rate: 79%
93% winner buying handicap
Sharp-wallet override: a bettor with a 93% resolved win rate and $1.22M lifetime profit bought FlyQuest at 49¢ despite only a weak automated signal firing.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $1.22M lifetime.
- They have 215 resolved bets, so the track record is large enough to matter.
- Entry at 49¢ implies they see FlyQuest as mispriced in a nearly even market.
$5,444 on FlyQuest | Wallet win rate: 96%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 75% win rate and $2.47M lifetime profit bought $5.2k of THUNDER dOWNUNDER at 52¢.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $2.47M lifetime.
- They are a major cross-market trader with $4.0M in flagged event volume across 451 events.
- Entry at 52¢ suggests they see THUNDER dOWNUNDER as mispriced despite a liquid order book.
$5,200 on THUNDER dOWNUNDER | Wallet win rate: 80%
Million-dollar sharp exits FlyQuest
A highly profitable serial esports/sports bettor with a 77% resolved win rate and +$1.33M P&L is exiting FlyQuest, which converts to a Thunder dOWNUNDER buy at 51¢.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $1.33M lifetime.
- They are a major cross-market trader with $1.88M tracked across 253 events.
- Selling FlyQuest at 49¢ effectively backs THUNDER dOWNUNDER at 51¢.
$9,410 on THUNDER dOWNUNDER | Wallet win rate: 79%
Top Holders
- 0x1341...0853 — Outcome 34206397, $65,000 (85% win rate)
- 0x44c5...8d45 — Outcome 34206397, $18,864 (79% win rate)
- 0xcf60...a6f5 — Outcome 34206397, $10,000 (80% win rate)
- 0xf02f...1ed8 — Outcome 34206397, $7,883 (82% win rate)
- 0xa2e4...bf9d — Outcome 34206397, $5,000 (60% win rate)
- 0xa6fd...30f0 — Outcome 34206397, $2,912 (48% win rate)
- 0x64c4...1018 — Outcome 34206397, $2,000 (99% win rate)
- 0xfdd2...0abf — Outcome 34206397, $1,174 (100% win rate)
- 0xbf3b...0375 — Outcome 34206397, $1,100 (87% win rate)
- 0xaf6a...925f — Outcome 34206397, $1,034 (100% win rate)
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