This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up about $117K lifetime. They are a serial cross-market trader across 34 events with the same 91% hit rate. Entry at 54¢ has already moved to 62¢, showing the market followed their side.

Part of: Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Map Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (+1.5)

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between THUNDER dOWNUNDER and FlyQuest in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 1, initially scheduled for June 4 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest wins 2 or more maps than THUNDER dOWNUNDER in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "THUNDER dOWNUNDER". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

13 smart money signals detected, totaling $87,540.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

91% sharp on esports

A highly profitable sharp bettor with a 91% resolved win rate bought FlyQuest at 54% and the market has already moved to 62%.

This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up about $117K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 34 events with the same 91% hit rate.
Entry at 54¢ has already moved to 62¢, showing the market followed their side.

$2,185 on FlyQuest | Wallet win rate: 90%

91% winner on FlyQuest

Sharp esports bettor with a 91% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying FlyQuest at 48¢.

This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up about $117k lifetime.
They are a proven cross-market trader, active across 33 events with a 91% hit rate.
Entry at 48¢ implies they see FlyQuest’s handicap price as meaningfully underpriced.

$2,160 on FlyQuest | Wallet win rate: 90%

Sharp bettor buying underdog handicap

Surface due to sharp-wallet override: this bettor has a 75% record over 20 resolved bets with positive lifetime P&L and is buying FlyQuest at 48¢.

This bettor has won 75% of resolved trades and is up $26.5K lifetime.
Their past bets beat market odds by about 25 percentage points on average.
Entry at 48¢ implies they see FlyQuest handicap as mispriced near even odds.

$2,440 on FlyQuest | Wallet win rate: 84%

94% winner backs FlyQuest

Sharp esports bettor with a 94% win rate and strong lifetime profit bought $9.5k of FlyQuest at 48¢.

This bettor has won 33 of 35 resolved bets and is up $49k lifetime.
They put $9.5k on FlyQuest at 48¢, despite the market pricing it near a coin flip.
Their past wins came at 60¢ average odds, suggesting a strong record beyond just picking heavy favorites.

$9,520 on FlyQuest | Wallet win rate: 94%

Profitable serial esports bettor

Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 65% resolved win rate and $283K lifetime profit is taking an $8K position on THUNDER dOWNUNDER +1.5.

This bettor is up $283K across 165 resolved bets with a 65% hit rate.
They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 103 events and $764K of tracked volume.
The $7,950 buy at 53¢ backs THUNDER dOWNUNDER to keep the match within the handicap.

$7,950 on THUNDER dOWNUNDER | Wallet win rate: 53%

95% winner buying FlyQuest

Elite bettor with a 95% resolved win rate and $532k profit is buying FlyQuest at 46¢ in a liquid esports handicap market.

This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $532k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 200 events and a 95% hit rate.
Entry at 46¢ implies they see FlyQuest as meaningfully underpriced.

$4,111 on FlyQuest | Wallet win rate: 92%

Proven sharp flipped sides

Sharp esports bettor with a 77% long-run win rate and $1.33M profit is buying THUNDER dOWNUNDER after previously closing a FlyQuest position.

This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $1.33M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 253 events with nearly $1.9M deployed.
They previously closed a FlyQuest position and are now buying THUNDER dOWNUNDER at 54¢.

$2,995 on THUNDER dOWNUNDER | Wallet win rate: 78%

93% winner buying handicap

Sharp-wallet override: a bettor with a 93% resolved win rate and $1.22M lifetime profit bought FlyQuest at 49¢ despite only a weak automated signal firing.

This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $1.22M lifetime.
They have 215 resolved bets, so the track record is large enough to matter.
Entry at 49¢ implies they see FlyQuest as mispriced in a nearly even market.

$5,444 on FlyQuest | Wallet win rate: 76%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 75% win rate and $2.47M lifetime profit bought $5.2k of THUNDER dOWNUNDER at 52¢.

This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $2.47M lifetime.
They are a major cross-market trader with $4.0M in flagged event volume across 451 events.
Entry at 52¢ suggests they see THUNDER dOWNUNDER as mispriced despite a liquid order book.

$5,200 on THUNDER dOWNUNDER | Wallet win rate: 84%

Million-dollar sharp exits FlyQuest

A highly profitable serial esports/sports bettor with a 77% resolved win rate and +$1.33M P&L is exiting FlyQuest, which converts to a Thunder dOWNUNDER buy at 51¢.