Part of: Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Luciano Darderi in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Luciano Darderi. This market will resolve to 'Luciano Darderi' if Luciano Darderi advances against Rafael Jodar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
41 smart money signals detected, totaling $218,312.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
93% winner caught move
Sharp tennis bettor with a 93% win rate and strong cross-market history bought Luciano Darderi at 78% before the market moved to 96%.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $490k lifetime.
- They have a deep cross-market record: 53 events, 66 markets, and $575k traded with the same 93% win rate.
- They bought Luciano Darderi at 78%, and the price has already moved to 96%.
$2,338 on Luciano Darderi | Wallet win rate: 79%
Proven cross-market sharp
A proven serial cross-market bettor with a 78% win rate bought Rafael Jodar amid strong one-sided coordinated flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 78% of 505 resolved bets and is up about $87,946 lifetime.
- 11 wallets bought the same side, totaling nearly $49,000 on Rafael Jodar.
- Market activity spiked 25x before the match, suggesting unusually strong attention around this side.
$1,388 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 82%
11-wallet Jodar flow
Surface because this is part of strong one-sided Rafael Jodar flow with 11 wallets and a major pre-event volume spike, despite this wallet's negative lifetime P&L and the price moving against the entry.
- 11 wallets bought Rafael Jodar in the same window, totaling about $49K of one-sided flow.
- This bettor put $13K on Jodar at 65¢ after closing a Darderi position, suggesting a clear flip in view.
- Market volume spiked 25x, but Jodar has since fallen from this entry to 56¢.
$13,000 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 65%
Profitable serial bettor joins cluster
A profitable serial cross-market tennis bettor joined an 11-wallet same-direction move on Rafael Jodar amid a major pre-event volume spike and sharp price volatility.
- This bettor has a strong 223-bet history, winning 65% and earning about $17.5K lifetime profit.
- 11 wallets bought Rafael Jodar in the same window, totaling nearly $49K of one-sided flow.
- The market saw a 25x volume spike and a sharp price move, suggesting a major pre-match repricing.
$5,741 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 77%
Profitable serial trader joins cluster
Profitable high-volume tennis trader joined a 5-wallet one-sided move into Luciano Darderi, with the price moving strongly in their favor after entry.
- This bettor is up $2.36M lifetime across more than 28,000 resolved trades.
- Five wallets bought Luciano Darderi in the same window for $13,858 total.
- They entered at 51¢ and the market has already moved to 62¢, suggesting fast confirmation of the bet.
$1,494 on Luciano Darderi | Wallet win rate: 58%
93% win-rate tennis sharp
Sharp tennis bettor with a 93% historical win rate and strong cross-market record bought Luciano Darderi amid a major volume spike and rapid price move.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $466K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 52 events with the same 93% hit rate.
- The market saw a 13x volume spike and a fast 15-point move, adding momentum to the bet.
$1,440 on Luciano Darderi | Wallet win rate: 79%
Elite sports sharp buys dip
Elite profitable sports trader bought Rafael Jodar after a sharp selloff, with a long cross-market track record and $8.38M lifetime profit despite this being a small add relative to prior activity.
- This bettor has 5,265 resolved trades, wins 73% of them, and is up $8.38M lifetime.
- They have traded across 1,585 events with $14.1M in detected cross-market volume, suggesting a serious sports model or workflow.
- Rafael Jodar fell 38 points in 3 minutes, and this buy at 36¢ looks like a dip entry after a major move.
$2,199 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 64%
79% winner buying dip
Sharp serial cross-market trader with a 79% historical win rate is buying Rafael Jodar after a sharp price drop, suggesting a potential dip-buying edge despite prior position history.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $146K lifetime across 112 resolved bets.
- They are a heavy serial cross-market trader, active across 99 events with $1.24M total tracked volume.
- They bought Rafael Jodar at 37¢ after a rapid 38-point price drop, suggesting they may see the selloff as overdone.
$1,831 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 80%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Darderi into a major pre-match volume spike and rapid price move, creating a credible buy-the-dip signal despite modest size.
- This bettor has 223 resolved trades and is up $18.5K lifetime.
- The market saw a 33x volume spike with Darderi moving 15 points in under two minutes.
- They bought Darderi at 83¢ after the sharp move, signaling confidence in the favorite despite volatility.
$1,700 on Luciano Darderi | Wallet win rate: 77%
Serial sports trader on favorite
Serial cross-market sports trader bought Darderi before a major volume spike and price move, though lifetime P&L is negative so conviction is moderate.
- This wallet has traded 42 events and wins 63% of resolved bets, showing meaningful sports-market experience.
- They bought Darderi at 89¢ before the price moved to 94¢, with the market seeing a 38x volume spike.
- The bet is small relative to liquidity, but the timing lined up with strong one-way momentum.
$1,200 on Luciano Darderi | Wallet win rate: 70%
Top Holders
- 0xbfe6...fcc9 — Rafael Jodar, $36,899 (69% win rate)
- 0xab82...abe5 — Rafael Jodar, $32,848 (62% win rate)
- 0x0979...8d9b — Rafael Jodar, $30,823 (77% win rate)
- 0x82cb...a4ee — Rafael Jodar, $26,608 (91% win rate)
- 0xb1c2...5db2 — Rafael Jodar, $24,000 (29% win rate)
- 0xc117...de2f — Rafael Jodar, $18,161 (95% win rate)
- 0x479e...91c3 — Rafael Jodar, $12,077 (85% win rate)
- 0xe166...8f14 — Rafael Jodar, $11,513 (88% win rate)
- 0x6f2e...9d0b — Rafael Jodar, $8,568 (77% win rate)
- 0x1da3...2f94 — Rafael Jodar, $8,003 (86% win rate)
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