Part of: UFC Fight Night: Marcus McGhee vs. John Yannis (Bantamweight, Prelims)

O/U 2.5 Rounds

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $19,469.

Categories: Sports, UFC, Games

Notable Trades

Perfect-record fight bettor

Sharp sports bettor with a perfect 25-0 resolved record and strong profit is buying Under 2.5 rounds at 52¢.

  • This bettor has won 25 of 25 resolved bets and is up $32,122 lifetime.
  • Their average winning entry was 49¢, so this record is not just from heavy favorites.
  • Buying Under at 52¢ suggests they see value in the fight ending before midway through Round 3.

$2,562 on Under | Wallet win rate: 100%

95% win-rate UFC sharp

Elite 95% win-rate bettor with $751k lifetime profit is buying Under 2.5 rounds in a UFC fight market.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $751k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 94 events with $1.34M in tracked volume.
  • Entry at 51¢ suggests they see Under 2.5 rounds as mispriced despite the market sitting near 50/50.

$3,261 on Under | Wallet win rate: 95%

Sharp UFC bettor cluster

Strong one-sided Under cluster led by a highly profitable 90% winner putting $11.1k into a previously inactive UFC rounds market.

  • A bettor who wins 90% of resolved positions and is up $2.68M backed this side.
  • Three wallets bought the same Under outcome for $11.1k at 52¢ in a market with almost no recent volume.
  • This is part of a massive cross-market sports pattern: 720 events, 945 markets, and $4.7M traded.

$11,121 on Under

$1.4M-profit bettor in thin market

A highly profitable sports bettor placed a meaningful Over bet in an otherwise nearly inactive UFC rounds market, triggering both low-activity and volume-spike signals.

  • This bettor is up $1.4M lifetime across $51.5M wagered.
  • They bought $2.5K of Over in a market with only $4 traded in the last 24 hours.
  • Entry at 48¢ implies they see Over as close to a coin flip with upside.

$2,525 on Over | Wallet win rate: 53%

Top Holders

  1. 0xd696...8a49 Outcome 11420980, $12,699 (89% win rate)
  2. 0xd81e...e3d0 Outcome 11420980, $7,457 (95% win rate)
  3. 0xfed2...4671 Outcome 11420980, $5,908 (100% win rate)
  4. 0x99d7...6435 Outcome 11420980, $1,500 (89% win rate)
  5. 0xe8c4...395d Outcome 11420980, $1,154 (96% win rate)
  6. 0x9b66...336a Outcome 11420980, $1,154
  7. 0x815f...1eef Outcome 11420980, $1,091 (86% win rate)
  8. 0xaa24...a75c Outcome 11420980, $423
  9. 0x3f63...89f3 Outcome 11420980, $378
  10. 0x54d1...13f4 Outcome 11420980, $368 (80% win rate)

Related Theses

Spurs cover, game stays under

Covers 3 related markets

Dodgers White Sox go over

Covers 1 related market

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Covers 4 related markets

Guardians beat the Tigers

Covers 1 related market

White Sox beat Braves

Covers 1 related market

Kia Tigers defeat LG Twins

Covers 1 related market

Hurricanes beat Golden Knights

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Both teams won't score early

Covers 1 related market

Athletics beat the Brewers

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O/U 2.5 Rounds

Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Marcus McGhee and John Yannis at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. "Under 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond June 20, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Notable Trades

O/U 2.5 Rounds

25d ago

$2,562 on Under at 52¢

O/U 2.5 Rounds

25d ago

$3,261 on Under at 51¢

O/U 2.5 Rounds

26d ago

$11,121 on Under at 52¢

O/U 2.5 Rounds

26d ago

$2,525 on Over at 48¢

Related Theses