Part of: Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Houston Astros, scheduled for May 13 at 8:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

11 smart money signals detected, totaling $97,950.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Serial sports trader momentum

Surfaced because a highly active cross-market sports trader bought Houston before a large 37-point move to 100%, alongside a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 73% of 103 resolved bets and regularly trades across sports events.
  • Houston moved from the trader’s 77¢ entry to 100¢ after the bet, a 37-point market swing.
  • Volume spiked 19x versus the normal baseline, suggesting broader momentum behind the move.

$1,535 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 68%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market sports bettor bought Houston at 81¢ before a sharp move to 100¢, supported by a major volume spike and price impact.

  • This bettor has a long record: 67% wins across 1,552 resolved trades and $258K profit.
  • They bought Houston at 81¢ before the market moved to 100¢, showing the trade was early to a major move.
  • The market saw a 19x volume spike and a 37-point price jump in the same direction.

$3,209 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 61%

Five-wallet Astros push

High composite sports alert driven by coordinated Astros buying, a 55x volume spike, and a profitable serial cross-market trader despite the position currently trading below entry.

  • Five wallets bought the same side, totaling $14.2k on Houston.
  • This bettor has traded 92 events and is up about $24k lifetime.
  • Volume spiked 55x before the game, suggesting unusual pre-event attention.

$2,500 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 60%

Profitable serial sports trader

A profitable serial cross-market sports trader bought Houston at 78¢ before the move to 86¢, despite only modest signal strength.

  • This bettor has 700 resolved bets, wins 59%, and is up about $74k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 25 related events with nearly $70k in volume, suggesting a repeat sports-market strategy.
  • They bought Houston at 78¢ before the market moved to 86¢, giving the trade immediate confirmation.

$1,017 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 62%

Six-wallet Astros surge

Coordinated Astros buying is worth surfacing because six wallets put $16.2k behind the same side during a 30x volume spike and a 26-point price move, though opposing Mariners flow makes it less clean.

  • Six wallets bought $16.2k of Astros as the price jumped about 26 percentage points.
  • Market volume spiked 30x above normal before the game, suggesting a rush of positioning.
  • The flow includes experienced bettors, including one wallet up $258k lifetime with a 67% hit rate over 1,552 resolved bets.

$16,191 on Houston Astros

96% winner buying Houston

Elite sports bettor with a 96% resolved win rate and $5.38M lifetime profit bought $8.5K of Houston, with linked-wallet history adding conviction.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $5.38M lifetime.
  • They put $8.5K on Houston at 46¢, below the current 48% market price.
  • The wallet is part of an 8-wallet funded cluster seen in prior runs, adding conviction behind the position.

$8,481 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 96%

Sharp cluster buying dip

A high-scoring cluster of seven wallets bought $38.9k of Seattle despite a sharp price drop, including a massive sports trader with a 73% record and $8.4M lifetime profit.

  • Seven wallets put $38.9k on Seattle in the same window, creating a strong one-sided cluster.
  • One bettor in the flow has won 73% of 5,357 resolved trades and is up $8.4M lifetime.
  • Seattle fell about 16 points on the day, so this looks like coordinated dip-buying around 37¢.

$38,910 on Seattle Mariners

Profitable serial sports trader

A profitable serial cross-market sports trader made a $15.4k Mariners buy amid a major pre-game volume spike and sharp price move.

  • This bettor has won 62% of 77 resolved bets and is up $56k lifetime.
  • They put $15.4k on Seattle at 69¢ as the market jumped 17 percentage points in a day.
  • Volume is running 115x above normal, suggesting other money is moving the same way.

$15,431 on Seattle Mariners | Wallet win rate: 82%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Serial cross-market sports trader with a profitable 77-bet record bought Seattle at 64%, ahead of a move to 68%.

  • This bettor has a long record across 87 events and is up $56K lifetime.
  • They win 62% of resolved bets despite an average winning entry around 56¢.
  • They bought Seattle at 64¢ before the market moved to 68¢.

$1,663 on Seattle Mariners | Wallet win rate: 82%

89% winner buying Seattle

Sharp sports bettor with an 89% record and strong lifetime profit is buying Seattle, supported by a long history of successful cross-market trading.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $784,671 lifetime.
  • They have traded 119 related events with an 89% win rate, suggesting repeatable sports edge.
  • The $5,014 buy at 54¢ was over half the market’s recent volume at alert time.

$5,014 on Seattle Mariners | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2dc1...b33c — Seattle Mariners, $43,304 (82% win rate)
  2. 0xfe78...0319 — Seattle Mariners, $15,272 (64% win rate)
  3. 0x16bb...8492 — Seattle Mariners, $9,284 (95% win rate)
  4. 0x09af...9728 — Seattle Mariners, $1,653 (99% win rate)
  5. 0x27f7...44b0 — Seattle Mariners, $1,324 (88% win rate)
  6. 0xf5d1...cdc9 — Seattle Mariners, $1,028 (62% win rate)
  7. 0x1250...8f99 — Seattle Mariners, $770 (79% win rate)
  8. 0xda44...2b09 — Seattle Mariners, $600
  9. 0xdb71...10cd — Seattle Mariners, $548
  10. 0xbd38...99d4 — Seattle Mariners, $530 (76% win rate)

Related Theses

Dodgers beat Braves in high-scoring game

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Marlins win, runs stay low

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Yankees win in a high-scoring game

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Tigers win a high-scoring game

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Brewers win in a high-scoring game

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Diamondbacks win in a low-scoring game

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Tigers win a low-scoring game

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Panthers keep it close

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NATO and Russia avoid clash

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Rays win, total not eight

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Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros$97,950 tracked11 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
Seattle Mariners
0¢
Houston Astros
100¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Houston Astros, scheduled for May 13 at 8:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

SEA
3
21-23
Final
HOU
4
17-27
SEA -130HOU +108O/U 9Polymarket: 0¢
Venue
Daikin Park, Houston
Attendance
27,540

Notable Trades

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

2026-05-14 03:42 UTC

$1,535 on Houston Astros at 77¢

77¢→100¢↑23¢

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

2026-05-14 03:42 UTC

$3,209 on Houston Astros at 81¢

81¢→100¢↑19¢

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

2026-05-14 03:28 UTC

$2,500 on Houston Astros at 53¢

53¢→100¢↑47¢

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

2026-05-14 02:59 UTC

$1,017 on Houston Astros at 78¢

78¢→100¢↑22¢

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

2026-05-14 03:38 UTC

$16,191 on Houston Astros at 70¢

70¢→100¢↑30¢

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

2026-05-14 02:54 UTC

$8,481 on Houston Astros at 46¢

46¢→100¢↑54¢

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

2026-05-14 03:31 UTC

$38,910 on Seattle Mariners at 37¢

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

2026-05-14 01:01 UTC

$15,431 on Seattle Mariners at 69¢

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

2026-05-14 00:48 UTC

$1,663 on Seattle Mariners at 64¢

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

2026-05-13 14:49 UTC

$5,014 on Seattle Mariners at 54¢

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

2026-05-13 06:55 UTC

$4,000 on Houston Astros at 47¢

47¢→100¢↑53¢

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