Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-04?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 4, 2026 If ACF Fiorentina wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $27,375.

Notable Trades

73% win-rate sports bettor

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a 73% win rate bought No at 16¢ before the market moved to 0%, suggesting a strong read despite this being a very liquid match market.

  • This bettor has won 227 of 312 resolved trades and is up about $199k overall
  • They bought No at 16¢, and the market is now at 0¢, so the position is already marked strongly in their favor
  • This wallet has traded 375 markets across 339 events, which suggests a repeatable event-trading process rather than a one-off bet

$3,119 on No | Wallet win rate: 73%

81% win-rate sports bettor

A high-win-rate sports bettor bought into a sharp volume-and-price breakout in Fiorentina before odds moved from 84¢ to 88¢.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades across 486 bets and is up over $12k lifetime
  • The market saw a 127x volume spike and a 34-point breakout, which suggests strong one-way conviction
  • They bought Yes at 84¢ and the price is already 88¢, showing immediate follow-through

$1,087 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%

Sharp cluster buying upset

Three wallets piled into the upset side during a huge late volume surge and sharp price move, led by one trader with a strong 73% win rate across 300+ resolved bets.

  • One proven bettor wins 73% of 312 resolved bets and is up about $199k lifetime.
  • Three wallets all bought the underdog side as market volume spiked 45x and the price swung hard.
  • They entered No around 12¢-16¢, a cheap upset bet in a market that had just repriced sharply.

$9,612 on No

Serial timer cluster buys Yes

A proven serial live-sports bettor with a 96% win rate and $6.2M profit led a coordinated 3-wallet late buy on Fiorentina minutes before resolution, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the price already moving lower.

  • One wallet wins 96% of its bets and is up $6.2M, with a long record of last-minute entries that hit
  • Three wallets bought Yes within minutes of resolution for $13.6k total, showing coordinated conviction in live play
  • They entered around 46-50¢ while the market now sits near 44¢, suggesting they saw Fiorentina as materially undervalued late

$13,557 on Yes

Top Holders

  1. 0x2a2c...9bc1 No, $96,963 (52% win rate)
  2. 0x204f...5e14 No, $84,930 (54% win rate)
  3. 0x1333...173b No, $20,982
  4. 0x92d8...9762 No, $19,496 (73% win rate)
  5. 0xfe78...0319 No, $19,262 (77% win rate)
  6. 0x8cdc...b83f No, $12,959 (47% win rate)
  7. 0xf68a...5b1b No, $4,933 (51% win rate)
  8. 0xe911...3d4e No, $4,927
  9. 0x1624...bf63 No, $4,438
  10. 0xbe87...6fc0 No, $3,242 (100% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-04?

Resolved$27,375 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesSoccersea
Yes
100¢
No
0¢

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 4, 2026 If ACF Fiorentina wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Notable Trades

Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-04?

1d ago

$3,119 on No at 16¢

Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-04?

1d ago

$1,087 on Yes at 84¢

84¢100¢16¢

Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-04?

1d ago

$9,612 on No at 16¢

Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-04?

1d ago

$13,557 on Yes at 47¢

47¢100¢53¢

Related Theses

Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-04? | PolySpotter