Part of: China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa

China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa

This market refers to the tennis match between Jelena Ostapenko and Paula Badosa in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jelena Ostapenko' if Jelena Ostapenko advances against Paula Badosa. This market will resolve to 'Paula Badosa' if Paula Badosa advances against Jelena Ostapenko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $59,750.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Proven bettor makes oversized Badosa bet

A highly profitable bettor with an 81% win rate made a $13,230 bet on Paula Badosa, more than twice the market’s 24-hour volume.

  • This bettor has won 81% of 477 resolved bets and earned about $1.46 million.
  • The $13,230 Badosa position is over twice the market’s 24-hour volume.
  • They entered at 66¢, close to the current 64% market odds.

$5,120 on Paula Badosa | Wallet win rate: 81%

Profitable whales stack Ostapenko

Four wallets, including several highly profitable high-volume bettors, bought $29.9K of Ostapenko, though similarly sized Badosa buying makes the market strongly contested and the Ostapenko entries are now underwater.

  • Four wallets bought nearly $30K of Ostapenko; two have lifetime profits of about $3.0M and $5.0M.
  • The largest buyer entered at 64¢, while Ostapenko is now 56¢; the position has moved against the cluster so far.
  • The signal is contested: another four-wallet cluster bought $37K of Badosa.

$9,394 on Jelena Ostapenko

Four-wallet Badosa buying cluster

Four wallets committed $33.2K to Paula Badosa, including a highly profitable trader, alongside a 61x volume spike.

  • Four wallets put $33,151 behind Paula Badosa, with two large buys placed within seconds of each other.
  • One of the largest buyers has a 64% win rate and is up $52.1M lifetime.
  • The alert coincided with a reported 61x volume spike; the cluster’s weighted entry was about 45¢.

$10,568 on Paula Badosa

Profitable bettor adds to $71K position

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader added to a substantial Ostapenko position, though this individual buy was small and the market price has since fallen.

  • This bettor is up nearly $5.0M across 261 resolved markets, with a 65% win rate.
  • They already had about $71K invested in Ostapenko and added another $1,011 at 60¢.
  • Ostapenko is now priced around 42¢, well below the trader’s entry.

$1,011 on Jelena Ostapenko | Wallet win rate: 65%

Proven bettor makes oversized Badosa bet

A highly profitable bettor with an 81% win rate made a $13,230 bet on Paula Badosa, more than twice the market’s 24-hour volume.

  • This bettor has won 81% of 477 resolved bets and earned about $1.46 million.
  • The $13,230 Badosa position is over twice the market’s 24-hour volume.
  • They entered at 66¢, close to the current 64% market odds.

$3,598 on Paula Badosa | Wallet win rate: 81%

Proven bettor adds to Badosa position

A highly profitable bettor with 477 resolved trades is adding $16.8K to an existing Paula Badosa position, despite the outcome trading at 80%.

  • This bettor has won 81% of 477 resolved trades and is up $1.46M lifetime.
  • They added $16.8K to an existing $32K Badosa position, buying at an average near 67¢.
  • The wallet has traded across 393 events, and Badosa is now priced at 80¢.

$16,829 on Paula Badosa | Wallet win rate: 81%

Proven bettor makes oversized Badosa bet

A highly profitable bettor with an 81% win rate made a $13,230 bet on Paula Badosa, more than twice the market’s 24-hour volume.

  • This bettor has won 81% of 477 resolved bets and earned about $1.46 million.
  • The $13,230 Badosa position is over twice the market’s 24-hour volume.
  • They entered at 66¢, close to the current 64% market odds.

$13,230 on Paula Badosa | Wallet win rate: 81%

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China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa

China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa$59,750 tracked7 signalsTennisSportsGames
Jelena Ostapenko
100¢
Paula Badosa
0¢

This market refers to the tennis match between Jelena Ostapenko and Paula Badosa in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jelena Ostapenko' if Jelena Ostapenko advances against Paula Badosa. This market will resolve to 'Paula Badosa' if Paula Badosa advances against Jelena Ostapenko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa

2026-10-03 06:38 UTC

$5,120 on Paula Badosa at 66¢

China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa

2026-10-03 07:11 UTC

$9,394 on Jelena Ostapenko at 62¢

62¢→100¢↑38¢

China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa

2026-10-03 07:13 UTC

$10,568 on Paula Badosa at 45¢

China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa

2026-10-03 06:15 UTC

$1,011 on Jelena Ostapenko at 60¢

60¢→100¢↑40¢

China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa

2026-10-03 05:53 UTC

$3,598 on Paula Badosa at 66¢

China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa

2026-10-03 05:44 UTC

$16,829 on Paula Badosa at 67¢

China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa

2026-10-03 05:42 UTC

$13,230 on Paula Badosa at 66¢

Related Theses