Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 9?
11 smart money signals detected, totaling $53,245.
Categories: Bitcoin, Weekly, Multi Strikes, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring
Notable Trades
90% winner, late BTC call
A high-win-rate wallet sold No just 8.7 minutes before resolution into a huge volume spike and sharp move, effectively making a late BUY Yes call with strong timing.
- This bettor wins 90% of their resolved trades and is up $4.2k across 20 settled markets
- They sold No at 25¢ just 8.7 minutes before resolution, which is equivalent to buying Yes at 75¢
- The market saw a 38.9x volume spike and a 28.6-point move right before expiry, backing the timing signal
$1,629 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%
Sharp last-minute BTC bettor
A proven profitable bettor with a 79% win rate bought into a fast-moving BTC binary 11 minutes before resolution as the market repriced sharply upward.
- This bettor wins 79% of their trades and is up $129k across 210 resolved bets.
- They bought 11 minutes before resolution as Yes jumped 17 points and market volume ran nearly 39x normal.
- Their effective entry was around 88¢ on Yes, showing conviction even late in a fast-moving market.
$2,101 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%
Late sharp timer buys Yes
A high-win-rate wallet made a late binary sell that converts to a buy on Yes just before resolution, aligning with heavy volume and a sharp market move.
- This bettor wins 78% of 244 resolved trades, which stands out even if lifetime profit is roughly flat.
- The trade came 18 minutes before resolution as volume ran 38.9x normal and the market swung hard.
- Selling No at 53¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 47¢, a much better entry than the now-settled 100¢ market.
$1,325 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%
Sharp timer joins No cluster
Mixed-quality wallets aside, a proven 81% winner joined a coordinated late move into No about 11 minutes before resolution while the market was surging, making this cluster worth watching.
- One wallet in this group wins 81% of its bets and is up $75.5k, with a history across 95 related markets.
- The cluster effectively bought No around 16¢ to 45¢ equivalent prices about 11 minutes before resolution as this market swung hard.
- Three wallets aligned on the same side for $14.9k during a 30x volume spike, even as the crowd was pushing Yes higher.
$14,856 on No
Serial timer joins 8-wallet surge
A profitable serial near-resolution trader bought Yes at 30¢ about 26 minutes before expiry alongside 8 wallets piling into the same side, and the market has since doubled to 70%.
- This wallet has made 560 resolved bets, is up $134k, and has a pattern of betting late in markets that hit.
- They bought Yes at 30¢ about 26 minutes before resolution, and the price has since jumped to 70%.
- Eight wallets piled into the same side for $16.6k total as volume ran 30x normal.
$3,590 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%
8-wallet late Yes pile-in
Eight wallets piled into the same side shortly before resolution during a major volume spike, and this wallet’s sell of No converts to a sizable Yes buy around 32¢.
- 8 wallets bet the same way on this market, putting in $16.6k shortly before resolution.
- This trade was placed 26 minutes before the market closed during a 30x volume spike and a sharp 33-point move toward Yes.
- Selling No at 68¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 32¢, a much cheaper entry than the current 70¢ market price.
$5,911 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 58%
Sharp timer joins 8-wallet surge
A high-win-rate wallet joined an 8-wallet coordinated late push into Yes shortly before resolution, aligning with a major volume spike despite the market already being liquid.
- This bettor wins 79% of their trades and is up $129k across 210 resolved bets
- 8 wallets piled into the same side for $16.6k about 13 minutes before resolution
- This trade effectively bought Yes at 65¢, below the current 70¢ price after a big late volume surge
$1,080 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%
6-wallet BTC timer cluster
A 6-wallet cluster piled into Yes about 26 minutes before resolution and helped drive a 28-point move in a high-volume BTC market, with at least one proven serial timer and profitable large-scale traders involved.
- Six wallets lined up on Yes within minutes, totaling about $14.1k and helping push the market from 30¢ to 63¢
- One wallet has a pattern of near-resolution bets across 4 markets and is up about $134k overall
- Several trades got in at 30¢, so they were pricing this outcome like a roughly 2x setup before the late move
$14,080 on Yes
Sharp BTC timer buying No
A proven sharp BTC event trader with an 81% win rate sold Yes 25 minutes before resolution, which translates to buying No at 41¢ alongside coordinated one-sided flow from 4 wallets.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $75.5k, with strong results at low average entry prices.
- The trade came 25 minutes before resolution, a window where timing edge matters much more in Bitcoin intraday markets.
- Selling Yes at 59¢ equals buying No at 41¢, and 4 wallets put $13.8k on the same side.
$1,173 on No | Wallet win rate: 84%
4-wallet late NO cluster
A repeat new wallet joined a 4-wallet one-sided cluster with a $5.5k sell of Yes 24 minutes before resolution amid a 90x volume spike, making this coordinated late flow worth watching despite the weak personal track record.
- Four wallets all piled into No for $13.8k total, which is a strong one-way signal this close to resolution.
- This wallet is only 29 days old but has already triggered five large-bet alerts, including this $5.5k trade 24 minutes before expiry.
- Market activity exploded to 90x normal volume right before settlement, suggesting traders were reacting to a fast-moving setup.
$5,520 on No | Wallet win rate: 50%
Top Holders
- 0x1f6b...267e — Outcome 97247885, $103,130
- 0x4fc2...7800 — Outcome 97247885, $41,763
- 0x8970...36b5 — Outcome 97247885, $19,267 (30% win rate)
- 0xb869...8a34 — Outcome 97247885, $18,561
- 0x979b...e47c — Outcome 97247885, $17,102 (50% win rate)
- 0x5772...864e — Outcome 97247885, $10,209
- 0xff5f...44a4 — Outcome 97247885, $8,390 (100% win rate)
- 0x7232...ce94 — Outcome 97247885, $5,322
- 0xd4aa...d40c — Outcome 97247885, $4,028
- 0xe996...bc6b — Outcome 64884604, $2,609
