Part of: Argentina vs. Austria
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?
In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 22, 2026 If Austria wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
19 smart money signals detected, totaling $361,885.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Sharp cluster buying underdog
High-scoring 8-wallet cluster is buying Austria Yes at 11–12¢, led by several profitable bettors including one with a 93% record and +$181k P&L.
- A bettor who wins 93% of resolved trades put $11k on Yes and is up $181k lifetime.
- 8 wallets all bought the same side, totaling $33.4k on an 11–12¢ underdog.
- Several wallets have strong records, including one up $2.47M lifetime and another with an 89% win record.
$33,423 on Yes
51-0 cross-market bettor
Sharp wallet with a 51-0 resolved record and positive lifetime P&L is buying Austria No at 90¢ amid a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won all 51 resolved trades and is up $13.8k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 32 events with a perfect resolved record.
- They bought No at 90¢, signaling confidence Austria does not win in regular time.
$4,050 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
91% winner buying longshot
Strong sharp-bettor signal: a 91% winner and serial cross-market trader bought $10.3k of Austria Yes at 11¢ amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and has played 43 markets across 28 events.
- They put $10.3k on Austria at 11¢, a low-probability price with large upside if their edge is real.
- Market volume is running 28x above its historical pace, supporting the idea that sharp money is arriving.
$10,258 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 61%
Fresh $25K favorite bettor
Brand-new wallet placed $25K on Austria not winning during a major pre-game volume spike, suggesting fresh high-conviction positioning despite no wallet track record.
- A brand-new wallet committed $25K to Austria not winning within 40 minutes of creation.
- The market saw a 47x pre-game volume spike, while Austria’s win odds have drifted down over the past day.
- Entry around 89¢ makes this a lower-upside, high-confidence position on the heavy favorite side.
$25,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
80% serial bettor
Sharp serial cross-market wallet with an 80% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought $9.3k of No into a major pre-game volume spike.
- This bettor has won 80% of 905 resolved trades and is up $27.9k lifetime.
- They are a major serial sports trader, active across 410 events with $2.7M traded.
- Market volume is surging 46.9x above normal, and this wallet is backing the 90¢ No side.
$9,340 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%
Profitable cross-market sports bettor
Highly profitable serial cross-market bettor is buying Austria Yes ahead of kickoff amid a major event-wide volume spike.
- This bettor is up $2.47M lifetime across 1,576 resolved trades.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $3.54M placed across 87 events.
- This event saw a 74x volume spike, and the wallet has $127K positioned across 3 related markets.
$1,326 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 70%
New wallet hammering No
A 23-hour-old wallet is making a concentrated $35k bet on No alongside a large pre-event volume spike, suggesting high-conviction positioning despite limited track record.
- A brand-new wallet put $35k on No in three trades, paying 89–90¢ just before the match window.
- This wallet has already triggered 4 large-bet alerts totaling about $38k in under a day.
- Market volume is surging at 74x its historical pace, reinforcing that money is piling into this side.
$35,190 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%
Event-wide whale backing No
High composite from a 74x pre-event volume spike plus a wallet with $538k positioned across three related event markets, despite no proven profitability edge.
- This bettor has placed $538k across 3 related markets, suggesting a broad event-level thesis.
- Market activity is 74x above normal ahead of the game, while Austria’s win odds have fallen 3 points today.
- This $13.3k buy backs No at 89¢, aligning with the market’s current strong lean against Austria winning.
$13,301 on No | Wallet win rate: 58%
83% winner backs No
Sharp wallet with an 83% tracked win rate and positive P&L bought Austria No amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 83% of tracked bets and is up $6.4k on $25.3k invested.
- They bought $2.35k of No at 89¢, backing the already heavily favored side.
- Market activity is surging, with volume running 74x above its historical average.
$2,352 on No | Wallet win rate: 84%
Large cross-market No bettor
Large cross-market position against Austria is notable because it combines an $89k No buy with a 50x pre-event volume spike, though the wallet’s long-term record is not strong.
- This wallet put $89k on Austria not winning, as part of $113k across 3 related markets.
- Market activity is surging, with volume running about 51x above its historical average before the game.
- The bettor is not a proven long-term winner, but the size and cross-market positioning make the trade worth watching.
$89,294 on No | Wallet win rate: 53%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $554,232
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — Yes, $456,481 (70% win rate)
- 0x5712...09a9 — Yes, $181,806 (100% win rate)
- 0x2e69...858d — Yes, $100,000 (94% win rate)
- 0x7c1e...bab3 — Yes, $93,738 (61% win rate)
- 0x0ec9...8001 — Yes, $41,667 (60% win rate)
- 0xa4fd...748b — Yes, $41,379 (87% win rate)
- 0xf56d...c3d9 — Yes, $23,789 (58% win rate)
- 0x59f4...c1f1 — Yes, $17,000 (63% win rate)
- 0x9703...69c2 — Yes, $16,650 (76% win rate)
Related Theses
France routs England in high-scoring match
Covers 9 related markets
Brazil wins low-scoring shutout
Covers 14 related markets
Paraguay fails to win
Covers 3 related markets
Austria routs Argentina after halftime
Covers 9 related markets
Spurs win by three
Covers 14 related markets
Netherlands Sweden ends scoreless
Covers 10 related markets
Côte d'Ivoire keeps Germany quiet
Covers 8 related markets
Spain routs in goalfest
Covers 9 related markets
Ecuador wins big to nil
Covers 7 related markets
