Part of: Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics

Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $31,972.

Categories: Sports, MLB, baseball, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable new wallet cluster

Surface: a profitable repeat new wallet and a serial cross-market sports trader joined a 3-wallet one-sided Cleveland buy cluster that has already moved in their favor.

A repeat new bettor with $29k profit is part of this Cleveland buy cluster.
Three wallets bought $8.4k on the same side, with entries from 42¢ to 49¢ now marked at 52¢.
One wallet has traded across 62 events with a 63% record, suggesting this may be a sports-sharp position.

$8,417 on Cleveland Guardians

89% winner buying Cleveland

Proven sharp MLB bettor with an 89% record and $454k profit is buying Cleveland at 54¢.

This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $454k lifetime.
Their average winning entry is 48¢, showing a strong record of finding mispriced games.
They bought Cleveland at 54¢, implying room above the current near-even market price.

$1,350 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 90%

84% sports sharp on Guardians

Strong copy-trade candidate: a proven 84% winner with $446k profit is making a $16k MLB bet at near-even odds.

This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $446,863 lifetime.
They put $15,959 on Cleveland at 53¢, implying a near-even game they think is mispriced.
This wallet has traded across 81 events with the same 84% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.

$15,959 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 92%

Sharp MLB bettor: 88% wins

A proven profitable sports bettor with an 88% resolved win rate is buying Cleveland at 53¢, though the bet size is modest in a liquid market.

This bettor has won 88% of 84 resolved bets and is up $34.8K lifetime.
Their average winning entry was 60¢, so buying Cleveland at 53¢ fits a proven plus-edge pattern.
Entry at 53¢ implies they see Cleveland as better than a slight favorite.

$1,114 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 88%

94% winner backs slight dog

Despite only a weak low-activity signal, the bettor’s 94% resolved win record and nearly $500k profit make this Athletics buy worth surfacing.

This bettor has won 15 of 16 resolved bets and is up about $494k lifetime.
They bought Athletics at 48¢, implying they see the market as better than a coin flip.
The $4.1k bet was larger than recent quiet-market volume, showing real conviction.

$4,122 on Athletics | Wallet win rate: 97%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly experienced, profitable sports bettor with a 66% record and $914k lifetime profit is taking Cleveland at 52¢, though the stake is modest.

This bettor has won 66% of 2,852 resolved markets and is up about $915k lifetime.
They are a heavy cross-market trader, active across 1,400 events with over $6.1M in flagged volume.
Entry at 52¢ is close to a coin flip, so they appear to see Cleveland as slightly underpriced.

$1,010 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 69%

Top Holders

0xa8e0...ad50 — Outcome 53982477, $72,502 (55% win rate)
0x16bb...8492 — Outcome 53982477, $30,111 (92% win rate)
0x6498...8910 — Outcome 53982477, $20,001 (66% win rate)
0xd48a...6e90 — Outcome 53982477, $14,074 (69% win rate)
0x5482...b6ee — Outcome 53982477, $4,800
0x9c76...c926 — Outcome 53982477, $2,500 (90% win rate)
0xe216...7448 — Outcome 53982477, $2,127 (61% win rate)
0x1d98...4d2d — Outcome 53982477, $2,102 (88% win rate)
0xcacf...35ff — Outcome 53982477, $2,000
0x3354...5042 — Outcome 53982477, $1,887 (70% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Royals beat Tigers tonight

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Sabres cover against Canadiens

Covers 1 related market

Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics

ResolvedCleveland Guardians vs. Athletics$31,972 tracked6 signalsSportsMLBbaseballGames

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Athletics, scheduled for May 3 at 4:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

CLE

18-17

Final

ATH

18-16

CLE -126ATH +104O/U 9

Venue

Sutter Health Park, Sacramento

Attendance

12,194