Part of: Norway vs. Senegal - More Markets
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $315,387.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Sharp cluster caught Over
High-conviction one-sided Over flow from multiple wallets, including major profitable bettors, caught a huge move from roughly 60¢ to 98¢, though the edge appears mostly gone now.
- 8 wallets put $41.9K behind Over, including bettors up $16.4M and $2.4M lifetime.
- The market moved hard after these buys, with Over now at 98¢ after entries mostly around 35–70¢.
- This looks like strong live-event flow, but the current 98¢ price leaves little room to chase.
$41,858 on Over
94% winner backing Under
Elite 94% win-rate wallet with $6.8M profit made a large effective Under bet alongside heavy one-sided flow, though the market has since moved sharply against the position.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $6.8M lifetime.
- They put $79k into the Under side, effectively buying around 44¢.
- 17 wallets have bet the same way for $150k total, with related-market positioning across the event.
$78,991 on Under | Wallet win rate: 94%
Sharp cluster faded late
Sharp 81% winner and 17-wallet one-sided flow bought Under, but the market has since moved sharply against the trade to 2%.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $38K lifetime.
- 17 wallets bought the same side, totaling about $150K on Under.
- The entry was 31¢, but Under is now around 2¢, so the market has moved heavily against them.
$1,500 on Under | Wallet win rate: 86%
94% whale led Under steam
Strong Under move led by a 94% win-rate whale with $6.8M profit, plus 11-wallet one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- A bettor who wins 94% of resolved positions and is up $6.8M led the Under side with large size.
- 11 wallets pushed $91.8k toward Under, while volume spiked 92x versus the market’s normal activity.
- The group entered around 39¢ and the market has already moved to 65¢, so the edge may be mostly gone at current prices.
$91,792 on Under
$16M winner buying Over
Highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Over at 59¢ alongside 11-wallet one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike, though the market has since moved against the entry.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 64% wins and $16.4M lifetime profit across 16,510 resolved bets.
- 11 wallets are all betting Over in the same window, totaling $42.8K in one-sided flow.
- Volume is 91.6x above normal, but Over has fallen from this bettor’s 59¢ entry to 35¢ now.
$1,186 on Over | Wallet win rate: 63%
Profitable new whale with Over cluster
High-scoring Over flow: a profitable 1-day-old repeat whale closed Under exposure as 8 wallets bought the same side amid a major pre-game volume and price surge.
- A 1-day-old wallet is already up $28.6k and has had $220k in flagged large bets.
- 8 wallets are all positioned toward Over, with $37.9k on the same side and 2 linked by funding.
- The market has seen a 44x volume spike and Over has jumped about 55 points in the last day.
$5,060 on Over | Wallet win rate: 50%
95% win-rate whale
Elite profitable sports wallet bought $22.5k of Over at 16¢, backed by a 95% win rate and heavy cross-market activity on this event.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $6.9M lifetime.
- They bought $22.5k of Over at 16¢, implying a high-risk but high-upside view versus the market’s low odds.
- This is part of a broader $122.5k position across 3 markets in the same event.
$22,500 on Over | Wallet win rate: 94%
95% whale buying Over
Elite 95% win-rate wallet with $6.9M lifetime profit is making a large, event-wide bet on Over despite the market now pricing it much lower.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $6.9M lifetime.
- They put $72.5K on Over here and $122.5K across 3 related markets in the same event.
- The market saw a 66x volume spike before the match, suggesting this is part of a broader informed move.
$72,500 on Over | Wallet win rate: 94%
Top Holders
- 0x224f...514a — Outcome 95940272, $15,000 (85% win rate)
- 0x8325...19cc — Outcome 95940272, $13,677 (61% win rate)
- 0xa4fd...748b — Outcome 95940272, $10,697 (88% win rate)
- 0x1171...98dc — Outcome 95940272, $8,850 (95% win rate)
- 0xd1ed...d7cb — Outcome 95940272, $5,615 (55% win rate)
- 0x896e...53f2 — Outcome 95940272, $4,839 (86% win rate)
- 0x0cf6...0e3b — Outcome 95940272, $3,998 (60% win rate)
- 0x160b...4296 — Outcome 95940272, $3,322 (76% win rate)
- 0x47ec...10a0 — Outcome 95940272, $3,000 (93% win rate)
- 0x4154...e7a8 — Outcome 95940272, $2,296 (85% win rate)
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