Part of: Antalya 4: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Leyre Romero Gormaz
Antalya 4: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Leyre Romero Gormaz
This Polymarket tennis market tracks whether Alevtina Ibragimova or Leyre Romero Gormaz advances in their Antalya 4 match, scheduled for September 9, 2026. Live odds and smart money activity can indicate how traders are evaluating each player; the market is set to resolve by September 16, 2026, under its stated rules.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,479.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Serial trader ahead of major volume surge
A serial cross-market trader with extensive history bought the favorite before a 53.7x volume surge and 44-point daily price move, though the track record does not show clear odds-adjusted edge.
- This trader has participated in 3,767 markets and is up $6.9 million across 69,650 resolved bets.
- The $1,016 purchase preceded a 53.7x volume spike and a sharp move from roughly 44¢ to 88¢ for Alevtina Ibragimova.
- The 70% win rate is substantial, but below the trader’s 75¢ average winning entry, so the edge is suggestive rather than proven here.
$1,016 on Alevtina Ibragimova | Wallet win rate: 70%
Sharp bettor scaling into Leyre
A highly profitable serial bettor with an 82% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding $3,634 to an existing Leyre Romero Gormaz position in a relatively quiet market.
- This bettor wins 82% of 198 resolved trades and is up $418,463 lifetime.
- They added $3,634 to an existing Leyre Romero Gormaz position despite the market falling to 58%.
- The trade represented roughly 77% of the reported 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in a thin market.
$3,634 on Leyre Romero Gormaz | Wallet win rate: 82%
97% winner backs Alevtina
An exceptionally profitable serial bettor with a 97% win rate and 47-point edge bought Alevtina at 50%, making this a strong sharp-bettor signal despite the subsequent price decline.
- This bettor has won 263 of 270 resolved positions and is up $365,048 lifetime.
- The wallet bought Alevtina at 50%, implying meaningful value against the roughly 46% current price.
- The position is part of a 242-market cross-event track record, not an isolated wager.
$1,829 on Alevtina Ibragimova | Wallet win rate: 97%
Top Holders
- 0x3f98...0aa1 — Outcome 81693173, $16,890 (82% win rate)
- 0xf83b...44a2 — Outcome 81693173, $4,017 (87% win rate)
- 0x796f...00f6 — Outcome 81693173, $2,133 (64% win rate)
- 0x6ddd...8011 — Outcome 81693173, $800
- 0xc4fe...601f — Outcome 81693173, $781
- 0xd868...7f60 — Outcome 81693173, $697 (33% win rate)
- 0xc98f...a13f — Outcome 81693173, $484
- 0x6a80...d472 — Outcome 81693173, $447
- 0x6b06...c9f9 — Outcome 81693173, $343
- 0xe689...aae5 — Outcome 81693173, $337
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