Part of: "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office

Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,166.

Categories: Movies, box office, Culture, Rewards 200, 4.5, 50

Notable Trades

Profitable serial box-office bettor

Profitable, highly active cross-market bettor re-entered Yes on a niche box-office market with strong same-day momentum.

  • This bettor has traded 456 related markets across 272 events and is up $67k lifetime.
  • They win 67% of resolved bets, though many have been on favorites.
  • The market has moved 20 points toward Yes today, and this entry at 76¢ is already slightly ahead.

$1,733 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%

Profitable serial box-office trader

Moderately interesting because a high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a long positive record is buying No, though the trade size is not especially large.

  • This bettor has a long track record: 1,250 resolved trades, 67% wins, and $67.5k profit.
  • They have traded across 452 markets and 268 events, suggesting a repeatable process rather than a one-off bet.
  • They bought No at 48¢, and the market has already moved toward their position to about 52¢.

$1,434 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 68175040, $17,344
  2. 0xb037...71f0 Outcome 68175040, $6,465 (52% win rate)
  3. 0x4a2b...af20 Outcome 68175040, $2,000 (42% win rate)
  4. 0x6973...b296 Outcome 68175040, $1,727
  5. 0x8575...87fe Outcome 68175040, $963
  6. 0x33f8...c5e4 Outcome 68175040, $405 (59% win rate)
  7. 0x00f7...4476 Outcome 68175040, $200
  8. 0x06db...5244 Outcome 68175040, $200
  9. 0xa99b...1211 Outcome 68175040, $151
  10. 0x6408...d5c6 Outcome 68175040, $148

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?

Resolved"Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office$3,166 tracked2 signalsMoviesbox officeCultureRewards 200, 4.5, 50

This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 15 - May 17) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Price History — “Yes
102¢
64¢
25¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?

3d ago

$1,733 on Yes at 76¢

Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?

3d ago

$1,434 on No at 48¢

Related Theses