Part of: Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
This Polymarket market covers the Roland Garros ATP match between Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Thiago Agustin Tirante, scheduled for May 27, 2026. It resolves based on which player advances, with final resolution expected by June 3, 2026; PolySpotter is tracking $1,730 in smart money and 1 signal on this market.
22 smart money signals detected, totaling $168,381.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp serial sports bettor
Proven profitable sports bettor bought Tirante at 86¢ and the market has already moved to 100¢, backed by a strong 868-bet track record.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved bets and is up $438K lifetime.
- They have traded across 93 events with a long-term winning record, suggesting repeatable sports edge.
- Entry at 86¢ already moved to 100¢, so this looks like a sharp read that was quickly confirmed.
$1,730 on Thiago Agustin Tirante | Wallet win rate: 77%
70% serial sports bettor
A profitable high-volume bettor is fading the Tirante move, effectively buying Davidovich Fokina at 21¢ after a 15-point price swing.
- This bettor has won 70% of 28,988 resolved bets and is up $248k lifetime.
- They are fading a 15-point move on Tirante, effectively buying Davidovich Fokina at 21¢.
- The wallet has traded across 365 events, suggesting a repeat sports strategy rather than a one-off bet.
$2,914 on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Wallet win rate: 69%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader with a 139-bet track record is taking a contrarian underdog position on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina.
- This bettor is up $129K across 139 resolved bets, with a 66% win rate.
- They have traded across 73 events, suggesting a repeat sports-betting process rather than a one-off punt.
- They bought Alejandro at 25¢ despite the market moving toward Thiago, making this a contrarian underdog bet.
$2,000 on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Wallet win rate: 67%
87% tennis sharp
Sharp tennis bettor with an 87% record and positive P&L bought Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at 53%, ahead of a move to 64%.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $11.8K lifetime.
- They bought Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at 53%, before the market moved to 64%.
- The market has already moved 17.5 points in the past day, matching their direction.
$1,073 on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Wallet win rate: 51%
83% winner backing underdog
Sharp wallet override: this bettor has an 83% resolved win rate and +$48.6k P&L, though the Tirante position has moved against their 50¢ entry.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $48.6k lifetime.
- They bought Tirante at 50¢, taking a contrarian underdog position.
- The market is now around 36¢, so the same side is available cheaper than their entry.
$1,972 on Thiago Agustin Tirante | Wallet win rate: 87%
85% win-rate sports regular
Sharp serial sports trader with an 85% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Davidovich Fokina despite the market now trading lower.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $66k lifetime.
- They are a high-volume sports regular, trading 530 markets across 497 events.
- Bought Davidovich Fokina at 60¢, above the current 54¢ market price.
$2,561 on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Wallet win rate: 85%
86% win-rate tennis sharp
Sharp sports bettor with an 86% win rate and $54.6k lifetime profit bought Alejandro Davidovich Fokina despite only a modest trade size.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved bets and is up $54.6k lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 169 events with nearly $694k invested.
- Bought Fokina at 64¢; the market is now around 60¢, offering a better price than their entry.
$1,384 on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Wallet win rate: 85%
Proven serial sports winner
Proven high-volume sports trader with a 74% win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at 60¢.
- This bettor has won 74% of 718 resolved bets and is up about $380k lifetime.
- They have traded across 465 events, suggesting a consistent sports-betting process rather than a one-off punt.
- Entry at 60¢ implies they see Davidovich Fokina as meaningfully better than the market price.
$1,100 on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Wallet win rate: 75%
Four sharp tennis wallets
Four profitable serial sports traders, including a 92% winner up $2.5M, clustered into Alejandro Davidovich Fokina with $12.9k of one-sided buying during a pre-event volume spike.
- Four proven bettors all bought Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, totaling $12.9k on one side.
- The largest wallet wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $2.5M lifetime.
- Market volume spiked 12.6x before the match, supporting the sharp one-sided move.
$12,910 on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
92% serial sports sharp
Sharp 92% winner with strong lifetime profit bought Davidovich Fokina despite a now-better market price, supported by serial cross-market success and a major pre-match volume spike.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $34K lifetime.
- They have a long pattern across 40 events with the same 92% win rate.
- They bought at 69¢, while the market is now around 62¢, giving followers a cheaper entry than the sharp paid.
$1,980 on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Wallet win rate: 92%
Top Holders
- 0xe166...8f14 — Outcome 47360825, $25,753 (85% win rate)
- 0x21f3...35e3 — Outcome 47360825, $22,082 (74% win rate)
- 0x1137...e601 — Outcome 47360825, $19,198 (79% win rate)
- 0x187a...a22b — Outcome 47360825, $17,033 (100% win rate)
- 0x9c76...c926 — Outcome 47360825, $15,000 (90% win rate)
- 0x01c7...e995 — Outcome 47360825, $10,082 (63% win rate)
- 0x479e...91c3 — Outcome 47360825, $9,963 (81% win rate)
- 0xd123...d341 — Outcome 47360825, $9,000 (71% win rate)
- 0x4df3...788f — Outcome 47360825, $8,814 (70% win rate)
- 0xa5eb...93bf — Outcome 47360825, $8,159 (67% win rate)
Related Theses
No deal by May
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