Part of: Belgium vs. Tunisia
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-06?
14 smart money signals detected, totaling $79,289.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Fifa Friendly
Notable Trades
Linked wallets fading favorite
Linked wallets sold $11.8k of Belgium Yes near 86–87¢ before the price fell, but the signal is tempered because these were mostly prior Yes positions being closed rather than fresh No buys.
- Three wallets from a larger linked network sold $11.8k of Belgium Yes at 86–87¢, equivalent to buying No around 14¢.
- The trade lined up with a 56x pre-event volume spike, and Belgium Yes has since dropped to 72%.
- This is more of a coordinated flow signal than a proven sharp bettor signal; the biggest wallet is down $325k lifetime.
$11,845 on No
88% winner fades favorite
Surface because a highly profitable 88% sports bettor is taking a contrarian No position on Belgium amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved bets and is up $1.38M lifetime.
- They are buying Belgium No at 25¢ while the market has Belgium favored around 76%.
- Market volume is surging 180x above normal, suggesting fresh attention before the match.
$1,301 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
Serial last-minute sports bettor
Surfacing because this is a repeat last-minute sports bettor placing $5.4k on Belgium less than a minute before resolution during a major volume spike, though the wallet’s long-term P&L is negative.
- This wallet has made 25 near-resolution bets across 10 markets, suggesting a repeat live-sports timing strategy.
- They put $5.4k on Belgium at 76¢ less than 1 minute before resolution.
- Market activity spiked 180x versus its usual pace, adding support that late money was moving in.
$5,437 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 53%
Profitable last-minute sports timer
A highly profitable serial timer bought $7k of Belgium Yes at 76¢ just before market close amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor is up about $1.0M lifetime and repeatedly places last-minute sports bets.
- They bought $7.0k of Belgium Yes at 76¢ in the final minutes before market close.
- Market volume spiked 95x versus its usual pace, with money moving toward Yes.
$7,047 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 45%
Elite sports bettor buying favorite
Elite sports bettor with an 87% win rate and $301,939 lifetime profit bought Belgium Yes amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $301,939 lifetime.
- They are a serial sports/event trader across 95 events with the same 87% win rate.
- Market volume spiked 60x versus its historical average before this Belgium bet.
$2,487 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%
Profitable serial sports trader
Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a large sample is making a $20k Belgium Yes buy amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 60% of 298 resolved bets and is up $255k lifetime.
- They put $20k on Belgium Yes at 76¢ shortly before the match market closes.
- Market activity spiked 60x above normal, suggesting fresh pre-game positioning.
$20,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 61%
New profitable sports bettor
New 11-day-old wallet with early profits is making a repeat sports bet, buying Belgium Yes at 74¢ despite an already liquid market.
- This 11-day-old bettor is already up $2,301 on $9,893 invested.
- They have won 5 of 6 resolved bets so far and are making a repeat flagged bet.
- Buying Belgium at 74¢ suggests they see value even with the market already pricing Belgium as favored.
$1,757 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%
Profitable serial bettor
Profitable high-volume wallet with a 68% win rate and $267k lifetime profit is buying Belgium Yes despite only moderate signal strength.
- This bettor wins 68% of resolved trades and is up $267k lifetime.
- They have traded across 148 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 73¢ implies they see Belgium as meaningfully more likely than the market price.
$1,521 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 68%
Sharp serial sports bettor
Surfacing because a highly proven sports bettor with 87% wins and $301k lifetime profit is buying Belgium despite only a modest bet size.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $301,807 lifetime.
- They have traded across 95 events, showing a strong repeatable sports edge.
- Entry at 73¢ suggests they still see value in Belgium despite the market already pricing it as likely.
$1,177 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%
Profitable serial bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a long 475-bet history is buying Belgium Yes, though the individual trade size is modest in a liquid market.
- This bettor has 475 resolved trades, wins 61% of them, and is up $82k lifetime.
- They have traded across 77 events, suggesting a repeat sports-betting process rather than a one-off punt.
- Entry at 74¢ implies a lower-upside favorite, so the signal is mainly the bettor’s track record.
$1,010 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 61%
Top Holders
- 0x5375...aeea — Outcome 31812940, $28,539 (45% win rate)
- 0x2d7b...e2ce — Outcome 45739360, $19,695 (77% win rate)
- 0x3f3a...e8fd — Outcome 45739360, $15,324 (88% win rate)
- 0x52d9...fb1a — Outcome 45739360, $14,476
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 45739360, $13,989
- 0x7ea5...de7b — Outcome 45739360, $11,855 (62% win rate)
- 0x507e...beae — Outcome 45739360, $10,646 (50% win rate)
- 0x08ca...7895 — Outcome 45739360, $6,165 (100% win rate)
- 0xd146...9bf0 — Outcome 45739360, $4,000 (37% win rate)
- 0x5213...6a35 — Outcome 45739360, $3,537 (83% win rate)
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