Part of: Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-23?

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $55,594.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, La Liga

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports trader

A massively profitable serial sports trader bought Yes at 90¢ before the market moved to 100¢, though the copy window is likely gone.

  • This bettor is up nearly $3.0M lifetime across more than 34,000 resolved trades.
  • They bought Yes at 90¢ before the market moved to 100¢.
  • This wallet has traded across 1,717 events, suggesting a broad repeatable sports-betting process.

$1,249 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 55%

93% winner sports sharp

A proven sharp sports bettor with a 93% win rate and $854k lifetime profit bought No, and the market has already moved in their direction.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $854k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 359 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Bought No at 81¢ and it has already moved to 86¢, backing the market’s drop in Rayo’s win odds.

$1,482 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%

Profitable 83% bettor

Sharp-wallet override: despite a weak alert score, this wallet has won 10 of 12 resolved bets and is meaningfully profitable, making its Rayo Yes position worth tracking.

  • This bettor has won 10 of 12 resolved bets and is up $28K lifetime.
  • They bought Rayo at 20¢, well above the current 8¢ market price.
  • The wallet has been flagged 9 times before, suggesting repeated large-conviction activity.

$1,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%

87% winner buying No

Surfaced despite a low composite score because the buyer is an extremely profitable sharp wallet adding a $3k No position on a liquid soccer market.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved bets and is up $2.56M lifetime.
  • They bought $3.0k of No at 68¢, and the market has already moved to 72¢.
  • The market saw a 27.7x pre-event volume spike, suggesting fresh attention before kickoff.

$3,035 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

Profitable five-wallet NO cluster

Five wallets, including several highly profitable bettors, put $24.6k on No amid a 70.9x pre-event volume spike.

  • Five wallets are all betting Rayo will not win, totaling $24.6k on No.
  • One bettor wins 87% of resolved bets and is up $2.56M lifetime.
  • Market volume spiked 70.9x, with No moving from 67–68¢ entries to about 70¢ now.

$24,647 on No

86% winner buys NO

Surface because a highly profitable 86% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history bought No on this soccer market.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up about $495K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 135 events with the same 86% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • The $2.1K No buy is fresh conviction at 67¢ on a liquid market.

$2,144 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%

95% winner buying No

Elite sports bettor with a 95% record and nearly $498k profit is buying No on Rayo Vallecano at 67¢.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved bets and is up about $498k lifetime.
  • They have a long cross-market track record: 113 events and $274k traded with a 95% hit rate.
  • Buying No at 67¢ means they are backing Rayo not to win, despite recent Yes price momentum.

$1,608 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%

Three-wallet Yes buy wave

Three wallets bought $11.4k of Yes into a 40x pre-event volume spike, with two profitable high-volume wallets participating.

  • Three wallets bought $11.4k of Yes within 11 minutes before the match window.
  • Market activity is 40x above its historical pace, and Yes is up 8.5 points over the past week.
  • Two of the three wallets are lifetime profitable, with about $740k combined profit across large betting histories.

$11,441 on Yes

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a large sample is buying Rayo Yes at 31¢, though the stake is modest relative to market liquidity.

  • This bettor wins 64% of resolved trades and is up $3.7M lifetime.
  • They have traded 608 markets across 395 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process.
  • Entry at 31¢ implies a roughly 3.2x payout if Rayo wins.

$1,858 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 64%

Elite 97% sports sharp

Elite profitable sports bettor with a 97% win record and extensive cross-market history bought $7.1k of No against Rayo winning.

  • This bettor wins 97% of resolved bets and is up $5.3M lifetime.
  • They have traded 202 events with $4.1M in cross-market volume, showing a long track record in related markets.
  • A $7.1k buy on No at 68¢ backs the view that Rayo is unlikely to win.

$7,129 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%

Top Holders

  1. 0x83d2...d196 Outcome 55643884, $50,000 (97% win rate)
  2. 0x60c1...0438 Outcome 55643884, $12,800 (100% win rate)
  3. 0xf68a...5b1b Outcome 92502067, $12,500 (51% win rate)
  4. 0x27f7...44b0 Outcome 55643884, $8,255 (88% win rate)
  5. 0x3d91...a5fd Outcome 55643884, $6,089 (100% win rate)
  6. 0x81aa...c075 Outcome 55643884, $3,549 (95% win rate)
  7. 0x7236...ea53 Outcome 55643884, $3,200 (86% win rate)
  8. 0x374a...03ed Outcome 55643884, $2,400 (95% win rate)
  9. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 55643884, $1,846
  10. 0x161a...4103 Outcome 55643884, $1,830 (93% win rate)

Related Theses

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Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-23?

ResolvedDeportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid$55,594 tracked10 signalsSportsGamesSoccerLa Liga

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 23, 2026 If Rayo Vallecano de Madrid wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “No
77¢
70¢
64¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-23?

18h ago

$1,249 on Yes at 90¢

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-23?

18h ago

$1,482 on No at 81¢

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-23?

19h ago

$1,000 on Yes at 20¢

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-23?

21h ago

$3,035 on No at 68¢

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-23?

21h ago

$24,647 on No at 69¢

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-23?

21h ago

$2,144 on No at 67¢

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-23?

21h ago

$1,608 on No at 67¢

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-23?

22h ago

$11,441 on Yes at 34¢

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-23?

1d ago

$1,858 on Yes at 31¢

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-23?

1d ago

$7,129 on No at 68¢

Related Theses