Part of: Argentina vs. Iceland
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09?
12 smart money signals detected, totaling $29,512.
Categories: Sports, Soccer, Fifa Friendly, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports trader
A massively profitable serial cross-market trader bought Argentina Yes amid a 31.5x pre-event volume spike, making this a follow-worthy favorite-side position.
- This bettor has won 67% of 13,186 resolved bets and is up $15.2M lifetime.
- They are a serious cross-market trader, with activity across 2,676 markets and $20.9M tracked volume.
- The market saw a 31.5x pre-event volume spike, supporting the idea that sharp money is moving in.
$3,309 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 63%
$15M-profit serial trader
Profitable high-volume serial trader bought Argentina Yes as the market saw a 45x pre-event volume spike and continued upward momentum.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 13,172 resolved bets and $15.2M in lifetime profit.
- They bought Argentina Yes at 81¢, and the market has already moved to 84¢.
- The market is seeing a 45x pre-event volume spike, with Yes up strongly over the past week.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 63%
88% winner buying favorite
Elite sports bettor with an 88% long-term win rate and $3.1M profit bought Argentina Yes at 83¢, backed by a strong serial cross-market track record.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $3.1M lifetime.
- They are a major serial sports trader, with $7.8M bet across 1,035 markets.
- They bought Argentina at 83¢ after a 25-point weekly move, suggesting continued confidence despite the favorite price.
$4,084 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
Sharp sports bettor buying favorite
Sharp sports bettor with a 79% record and strong positive P&L is buying Argentina at 84¢ despite a liquid market.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $14.3K lifetime.
- Their wins came at 47¢ average odds, suggesting a strong track record beyond just backing favorites.
- A $3.3K buy at 84¢ shows confidence that Argentina is still underpriced.
$3,255 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly active profitable cross-market sports bettor is fading Argentina by selling Yes, equivalent to buying No at 17¢.
- This bettor has won 73% of 712 resolved trades and is up $38,420 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with $372,020 deployed across 176 events.
- Selling Argentina Yes at 83¢ is equivalent to buying No at 17¢, a contrarian fade of the heavy favorite.
$1,976 on No | Wallet win rate: 74%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a long history is buying Argentina Yes, though the market is liquid and the edge signal is moderate.
- This bettor is up $93.7K lifetime across 485 resolved trades.
- They have traded across 83 events, suggesting a repeat sports-market strategy rather than a one-off bet.
- The entry is 84¢ on a liquid market, so this is more of a steady favorite bet than a high-upside mispricing.
$4,200 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 66%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume serial cross-market bettor bought Argentina Yes at 84¢, with a 73% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L.
- This bettor has won 73% of 711 resolved trades and is up $38K lifetime.
- They have a long serial cross-market history: 173 events and $366K tracked in this pattern.
- Argentina has already moved up 25.5 points this week, and they still added at 84¢.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%
87% win-rate sharp
A highly profitable 87% win-rate bettor with extensive cross-market history bought Argentina Yes at 85¢.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $403K lifetime.
- They have traded across 132 events with the same 87% hit rate, suggesting repeatable sports-market edge.
- Buying at 85¢ backs a heavy favorite in a liquid market that has already moved +38 points this week.
$1,700 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%
Profitable serial bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 69% record is taking a fresh $2k position on Argentina at 85¢.
- This bettor has won 69% of 117 resolved bets and is up $19.7k lifetime.
- They have traded across 59 events with $210.6k in similar activity, suggesting a repeatable process.
- They are buying Argentina at 85¢ after the market moved sharply higher this week.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 70%
98% serial sports trader
A highly proven serial cross-market trader with a 98% resolved-bet win rate is buying Argentina Yes at 85¢.
- This bettor has won 98% of 1,124 resolved bets and is up $22.7K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 162 events and $3.16M in flagged volume.
- Buying at 85¢ suggests they still see value despite Argentina already being a heavy favorite.
$1,955 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%
Top Holders
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 54037942, $19,904 (65% win rate)
- 0xa557...6e77 — Outcome 54037942, $5,445 (57% win rate)
- 0x9d94...017d — Outcome 54037942, $3,302
- 0x90ba...63f3 — Outcome 54037942, $3,150 (80% win rate)
- 0x7ea5...de7b — Outcome 54037942, $3,149 (61% win rate)
- 0x8e8d...acc4 — Outcome 54037942, $1,846
- 0x52d9...fb1a — Outcome 54037942, $1,508 (71% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 54037942, $1,401
- 0x0b2f...fe3f — Outcome 54037942, $1,217
- 0x02d4...d26c — Outcome 54037942, $1,000 (52% win rate)
Related Theses
Saudi Uruguay stays low scoring
Covers 3 related markets
