Part of: Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

28 smart money signals detected, totaling $425,923.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

7-wallet pile-in on FURIA

A proven high-volume sports trader joined a 7-wallet one-sided move into FURIA as the market collapsed against Natus Vincere, signaling strong consensus despite only moderate individual edge.

  • 7 wallets put $14.3k on the same side, a strong coordinated vote for FURIA
  • This bettor has 640 resolved trades and is up nearly $40k lifetime
  • They effectively bought FURIA at 22¢ by selling Natus Vincere at 78¢, and that side is now trading around 92¢

$2,642 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 60%

5-wallet fade of heavy favorite

Five wallets coordinated into FURIA by selling heavily favored Natus Vincere at 74-89¢, including one high-volume bettor with a 76% win rate and several profitable serial cross-market traders.

  • Five wallets lined up on the same side for about $10k, fading a team priced as a 92% favorite.
  • One of the wallets wins 76% of resolved bets across 846 markets, and several others are profitable over hundreds to thousands of trades.
  • Most entries came at 74-80¢ on Natus Vincere, which translates to buying FURIA at 20-26¢ versus 8¢ now.

$10,279 on FURIA

76% win-rate cross-market bettor

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a 76% win rate sold the favorite after a sharp move, which translates into a buy on FURIA around 11¢.

  • This bettor has won 640 of 846 resolved trades and is up $35k across 124 events.
  • They sold the 89¢ favorite after a fast 14-point price jump, which is equivalent to buying FURIA at about 11¢.
  • The market is deep and active, so this looks more like a sharp opinion than a random move in a thin book.

$1,403 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 72%

79% win-rate sports bettor

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a 79% win rate bought Natus Vincere as the price was breaking higher, making this a credible momentum-following sharp sports trade.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades across 175 events and has deployed over $1.17M
  • They bought Natus Vincere at 88¢ as the market was moving up quickly, a sign of conviction behind the favorite
  • The market is deep and active, so this looks more like a sharp bettor backing a strong edge than a random thin-market punt

$3,325 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 80%

Sharp trader fading favorite

A high-volume serial sports trader with a 73% win rate sold Natus Vincere at 82¢ before the market moved sharply against that side, making the equivalent FURIA buy notable despite the small stake.

  • This bettor has a 73% win rate across 1,225 resolved markets and has traded 433 markets in 257 events
  • They sold the heavy favorite at 82¢, which is equivalent to buying FURIA at 18¢ before FURIA collapsed to 6¢
  • The trade came during a fast 14-point move, suggesting they were taking a clear contrarian view into active price action

$1,065 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 73%

Sharp bettor in 6-wallet wave

A proven high-volume sports trader with a 73% win rate bought Natus Vincere at 54¢ before a coordinated 6-wallet move and a 29-point price jump to 86¢.

  • This bettor has won 1,033 of 1,418 resolved trades and is up $47k overall
  • Six wallets piled into Natus Vincere for $57k total, and the price jumped from 54¢ to 86¢
  • Entry at 54¢ gave a much better price than the current 86¢ market, showing strong early conviction

$1,065 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 73%

96% win-rate bettor

A highly profitable sharp bettor with a 96% win rate bought FURIA at 48¢ while six wallets piled into the same side for nearly $24k, making this a strong follow signal despite the price moving against them since entry.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $32k across 106 bets
  • Six wallets all bought FURIA in the same burst, totaling $23.9k of one-sided flow
  • They entered at 48¢, well above the current 37¢ price, offering a cheaper follow entry now

$1,477 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 96%

96% win-rate cluster bettor

A proven elite bettor with a 96% win rate joined a 7-wallet one-sided cluster backing Natus Vincere, adding strong signal despite the market being liquid.

  • This bettor wins 96% of their trades across 719 resolved markets and is up $23.7M lifetime
  • Seven wallets piled into Natus Vincere in the same window for $42.7k total, with 2 wallets sharing a funder
  • This trade sold FURIA at 48¢, which is equivalent to buying Natus Vincere at 52¢

$4,305 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 96%

7-wallet NaVi cluster

A proven high-volume sports trader with a 73% win rate joined a 7-wallet, partially linked cluster buying Natus Vincere during a major one-sided flow spike.

  • This bettor has won 73% of 1,225 resolved markets and has traded $436k across 257 events
  • Seven wallets all lined up on Natus Vincere for $42.7k total, with 2 wallets sharing a funder
  • The trade converts to buying Natus Vincere at 52¢, close to the current ask in a deep market

$1,856 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 73%

7-wallet sharp cluster

A profitable high-volume bettor joined a 7-wallet one-sided cluster buying Natus Vincere during a major pre-match volume spike, signaling coordinated conviction rather than routine activity.

  • 7 wallets put $42.7k on Natus Vincere in the same direction, and 2 of them share a funder
  • This bettor has won 63% of 837 resolved markets and is up $564k lifetime
  • The buy came at 53¢ during a 17.6x pre-match volume surge, suggesting strong conviction before the match starts

$15,676 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 62%

Top Holders

  1. 0x3993...cded Outcome 54155307, $44,000 (70% win rate)
  2. 0x1341...0853 Outcome 54155307, $40,000 (86% win rate)
  3. 0xd38a...8d26 Outcome 54155307, $21,696 (80% win rate)
  4. 0x52ec...a6f3 Outcome 54155307, $10,958 (74% win rate)
  5. 0xf917...bde0 Outcome 54155307, $10,794 (98% win rate)
  6. 0x1d5c...4f26 Outcome 54155307, $8,571 (68% win rate)
  7. 0x7d11...99ca Outcome 54155307, $8,325 (89% win rate)
  8. 0xd572...c829 Outcome 54155307, $7,106 (40% win rate)
  9. 0x063a...8382 Outcome 54155307, $3,945 (72% win rate)
  10. 0xf559...f462 Outcome 54155307, $3,524 (89% win rate)

Related Theses

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Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

ResolvedCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B$425,923 tracked28 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Natus Vincere and FURIA in the IEM Rio Group B, initially scheduled for April 14 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against FURIA. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win the match against Natus Vincere. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

38d ago

$2,642 on FURIA at 22¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

38d ago

$10,279 on FURIA at 23¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

38d ago

$1,403 on FURIA at 11¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

38d ago

$3,325 on Natus Vincere at 88¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

38d ago

$1,065 on FURIA at 18¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

38d ago

$1,065 on Natus Vincere at 54¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

38d ago

$1,477 on FURIA at 48¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

38d ago

$4,305 on Natus Vincere at 52¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

38d ago

$1,856 on Natus Vincere at 52¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

38d ago

$15,676 on Natus Vincere at 53¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

38d ago

$3,069 on FURIA at 49¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

38d ago

$1,779 on FURIA at 46¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

38d ago

$1,586 on FURIA at 29¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

39d ago

$1,686 on Natus Vincere at 72¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

39d ago

$3,250 on Natus Vincere at 54¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

39d ago

$1,065 on Natus Vincere at 54¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

39d ago

$15,976 on Natus Vincere at 54¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

39d ago

$26,572 on FURIA at 47¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

39d ago

$87,418 on FURIA at 47¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

39d ago

$12,554 on FURIA at 46¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

39d ago

$2,429 on FURIA at 47¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

38d ago

$11,026 on FURIA at 49¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

39d ago

$1,972 on Natus Vincere at 54¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

39d ago

$2,351 on FURIA at 47¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

39d ago

$112,010 on FURIA at 46¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

38d ago

$54,404 on Natus Vincere at 54¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

39d ago

$41,434 on FURIA at 45¢

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

39d ago

$2,250 on FURIA at 44¢

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