Part of: Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B
28 smart money signals detected, totaling $425,923.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
7-wallet pile-in on FURIA
A proven high-volume sports trader joined a 7-wallet one-sided move into FURIA as the market collapsed against Natus Vincere, signaling strong consensus despite only moderate individual edge.
- 7 wallets put $14.3k on the same side, a strong coordinated vote for FURIA
- This bettor has 640 resolved trades and is up nearly $40k lifetime
- They effectively bought FURIA at 22¢ by selling Natus Vincere at 78¢, and that side is now trading around 92¢
$2,642 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 60%
5-wallet fade of heavy favorite
Five wallets coordinated into FURIA by selling heavily favored Natus Vincere at 74-89¢, including one high-volume bettor with a 76% win rate and several profitable serial cross-market traders.
- Five wallets lined up on the same side for about $10k, fading a team priced as a 92% favorite.
- One of the wallets wins 76% of resolved bets across 846 markets, and several others are profitable over hundreds to thousands of trades.
- Most entries came at 74-80¢ on Natus Vincere, which translates to buying FURIA at 20-26¢ versus 8¢ now.
$10,279 on FURIA
76% win-rate cross-market bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a 76% win rate sold the favorite after a sharp move, which translates into a buy on FURIA around 11¢.
- This bettor has won 640 of 846 resolved trades and is up $35k across 124 events.
- They sold the 89¢ favorite after a fast 14-point price jump, which is equivalent to buying FURIA at about 11¢.
- The market is deep and active, so this looks more like a sharp opinion than a random move in a thin book.
$1,403 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 72%
79% win-rate sports bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a 79% win rate bought Natus Vincere as the price was breaking higher, making this a credible momentum-following sharp sports trade.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades across 175 events and has deployed over $1.17M
- They bought Natus Vincere at 88¢ as the market was moving up quickly, a sign of conviction behind the favorite
- The market is deep and active, so this looks more like a sharp bettor backing a strong edge than a random thin-market punt
$3,325 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 80%
Sharp trader fading favorite
A high-volume serial sports trader with a 73% win rate sold Natus Vincere at 82¢ before the market moved sharply against that side, making the equivalent FURIA buy notable despite the small stake.
- This bettor has a 73% win rate across 1,225 resolved markets and has traded 433 markets in 257 events
- They sold the heavy favorite at 82¢, which is equivalent to buying FURIA at 18¢ before FURIA collapsed to 6¢
- The trade came during a fast 14-point move, suggesting they were taking a clear contrarian view into active price action
$1,065 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 73%
Sharp bettor in 6-wallet wave
A proven high-volume sports trader with a 73% win rate bought Natus Vincere at 54¢ before a coordinated 6-wallet move and a 29-point price jump to 86¢.
- This bettor has won 1,033 of 1,418 resolved trades and is up $47k overall
- Six wallets piled into Natus Vincere for $57k total, and the price jumped from 54¢ to 86¢
- Entry at 54¢ gave a much better price than the current 86¢ market, showing strong early conviction
$1,065 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 73%
96% win-rate bettor
A highly profitable sharp bettor with a 96% win rate bought FURIA at 48¢ while six wallets piled into the same side for nearly $24k, making this a strong follow signal despite the price moving against them since entry.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $32k across 106 bets
- Six wallets all bought FURIA in the same burst, totaling $23.9k of one-sided flow
- They entered at 48¢, well above the current 37¢ price, offering a cheaper follow entry now
$1,477 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 96%
96% win-rate cluster bettor
A proven elite bettor with a 96% win rate joined a 7-wallet one-sided cluster backing Natus Vincere, adding strong signal despite the market being liquid.
- This bettor wins 96% of their trades across 719 resolved markets and is up $23.7M lifetime
- Seven wallets piled into Natus Vincere in the same window for $42.7k total, with 2 wallets sharing a funder
- This trade sold FURIA at 48¢, which is equivalent to buying Natus Vincere at 52¢
$4,305 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 96%
7-wallet NaVi cluster
A proven high-volume sports trader with a 73% win rate joined a 7-wallet, partially linked cluster buying Natus Vincere during a major one-sided flow spike.
- This bettor has won 73% of 1,225 resolved markets and has traded $436k across 257 events
- Seven wallets all lined up on Natus Vincere for $42.7k total, with 2 wallets sharing a funder
- The trade converts to buying Natus Vincere at 52¢, close to the current ask in a deep market
$1,856 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 73%
7-wallet sharp cluster
A profitable high-volume bettor joined a 7-wallet one-sided cluster buying Natus Vincere during a major pre-match volume spike, signaling coordinated conviction rather than routine activity.
- 7 wallets put $42.7k on Natus Vincere in the same direction, and 2 of them share a funder
- This bettor has won 63% of 837 resolved markets and is up $564k lifetime
- The buy came at 53¢ during a 17.6x pre-match volume surge, suggesting strong conviction before the match starts
$15,676 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 62%
Top Holders
- 0x3993...cded — Outcome 54155307, $44,000 (70% win rate)
- 0x1341...0853 — Outcome 54155307, $40,000 (86% win rate)
- 0xd38a...8d26 — Outcome 54155307, $21,696 (80% win rate)
- 0x52ec...a6f3 — Outcome 54155307, $10,958 (74% win rate)
- 0xf917...bde0 — Outcome 54155307, $10,794 (98% win rate)
- 0x1d5c...4f26 — Outcome 54155307, $8,571 (68% win rate)
- 0x7d11...99ca — Outcome 54155307, $8,325 (89% win rate)
- 0xd572...c829 — Outcome 54155307, $7,106 (40% win rate)
- 0x063a...8382 — Outcome 54155307, $3,945 (72% win rate)
- 0xf559...f462 — Outcome 54155307, $3,524 (89% win rate)
Related Theses
Spirit wins after dropping Game 1
Covers 3 related markets
