Part of: Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma

Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma end in a draw?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $59,465.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, UCL, UCL Matchday

Notable Trades

Six-wallet draw cluster

Six wallets coordinated nearly $13,000 into Yes, driving the draw market from roughly 28% to 80%, with several highly profitable participants involved.

  • Six wallets bought Yes for nearly $13,000, creating a strong one-sided position in the draw outcome.
  • The market rose 52 percentage points to 80% after the coordinated buying, far above the cluster’s roughly 61¢ average entry.
  • One participant has a 70% win rate and $6.7M lifetime profit, while another is up $9.2M across extensive trading history.

$12,990 on Yes

Three-wallet cluster backs No

Three wallets committed $19.6K to No during an extreme volume spike, including a highly profitable 70% win-rate bettor.

  • Three wallets bought No for $19,575 during a 3,985x historical volume spike.
  • One participant wins 70% of 71,129 resolved bets and is up $6.7M lifetime.
  • The trades entered around 73¢, while No is now priced near 72%, showing concentrated conviction despite a liquid market.

$19,575 on No

Perfect-record serial sports bettor adds No

A highly successful serial sports trader with a 100% win rate is adding $25,900 to an existing No position in a thin market.

  • This bettor has won 45 of 45 resolved trades, earning $368,004 on $1.45 million invested.
  • The $25,900 purchase is an addition to an existing $35,000 No position, showing strong conviction that the match will not end in a draw.
  • The trade represented over 26 times the flagged 24-hour volume, while the wallet has traded across 52 events with a perfect record.

$25,900 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

92% win-rate serial bettor

A highly profitable serial trader with a 92% win rate and substantial edge is adding $1,000 to No at 73%.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $46,846 lifetime.
  • The wallet has demonstrated a 34-percentage-point edge over its average entry odds across 62 resolved positions.
  • It is adding $1,000 to No at 73%, reinforcing an existing No position on the draw market.

$1,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfd67...ef90 Outcome 54454396, $35,000 (100% win rate)
  2. 0x5351...9b3c Outcome 54454396, $25,000 (52% win rate)
  3. 0xd06a...101d Outcome 54454396, $18,230 (92% win rate)
  4. 0x2759...2b38 Outcome 54454396, $17,455 (65% win rate)
  5. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 54454396, $8,279
  6. 0x7249...f5da Outcome 54454396, $5,474
  7. 0xa0e7...9461 Outcome 54454396, $2,330 (56% win rate)
  8. 0xcc2a...9563 Outcome 54454396, $1,500
  9. 0x5af4...183c Outcome 54454396, $1,370 (92% win rate)
  10. 0x52d9...fb1a Outcome 54454396, $1,116 (70% win rate)

Related Theses

Genoa-Frosinone will not draw

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Fenerbahçe-Roma will not draw

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Napoli-Arsenal will not draw

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Napoli-Arsenal will be low-scoring

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Chelsea will not win

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Leeds–Brentford will not draw

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Newcastle United will not win

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Newcastle-Liverpool will not draw

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Málaga-Deportivo will be low-scoring

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DR Congo keeps it close

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Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma end in a draw?

ResolvedFenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma$59,465 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesSoccerUCLUCL Matchday

In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 10, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “No
76¢
73¢
71¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma end in a draw?

1d ago

$12,990 on Yes at 61¢

Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma end in a draw?

1d ago

$19,575 on No at 73¢

Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma end in a draw?

1d ago

$25,900 on No at 74¢

Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma end in a draw?

1d ago

$1,000 on No at 73¢

Related Theses