Part of: Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

This Polymarket NBA spread market asks whether the Spurs will beat the Timberwolves by 5 or more points in the game scheduled for May 15 at 12:00 AM ET. It resolves to “Spurs” if San Antonio covers -4.5, and to “Timberwolves” if Minnesota loses by 4 or fewer, wins outright, or the game ends tied. PolySpotter is tracking $2,813 in smart money across 2 signals, including recent alerts from an 88% sports winner and other NBA betting activity.

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 15 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,540.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

Serial sports bettor momentum

Serial cross-market sports bettor made a meaningful Spurs -4.5 buy on a very thin market, and the price has already moved sharply from 52% to 74%, despite weak lifetime P&L.

  • This bettor has traded 358 markets across 313 events, making this more than a one-off bet.
  • The $1.5K buy was over half of the market’s 24h volume, so it was a meaningful position in a thin book.
  • Entry at 52¢ has already moved to 74¢, suggesting the market followed this Spurs position.

$1,540 on Spurs | Wallet win rate: 63%

Top Holders

  1. 0x7702...9791 Spurs, $2,962 (63% win rate)
  2. 0xb946...2671 Timberwolves, $2,509 (50% win rate)
  3. 0x3704...0e84 Timberwolves, $568
  4. 0xd0c3...0230 Spurs, $540 (36% win rate)
  5. 0x09e3...48ac Spurs, $420
  6. 0x6d3c...d294 Timberwolves, $420 (51% win rate)
  7. 0x2d6a...8add Timberwolves, $210
  8. 0x5f08...5afb Timberwolves, $182 (40% win rate)
  9. 0xcf73...0215 Timberwolves, $180 (50% win rate)
  10. 0xa313...eb44 Timberwolves, $112 (73% win rate)

Related Theses

Spurs cover the spread

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Thunder dominate Lakers convincingly

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Spurs win and cover

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Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

1dSpurs vs. Timberwolves$1,540 tracked1 signalSportsNBAGamesBasketball
Spurs
52¢
Timberwolves
49¢

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 15 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

SAS
62-20
Target Center
MIN
49-33
Draft Kings
Spread: SA -4.5O/U: 218.5ML: -192/+160
Win Prob
Poly: 52¢
Last Play
Game hasn’t started
Price History — “Spurs
55¢
53¢
50¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

15h ago

$1,540 on Spurs at 52¢

52¢52¢

Related Theses