Part of: Geneva Open, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Miguel Damas
Geneva Open, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Miguel Damas
This prediction market covers the Geneva Open qualifying match between James Duckworth and Miguel Damas, scheduled for May 16, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by May 23, 2026; PolySpotter is tracking $1,043 in smart money and 1 recent signal on this market.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $15,043.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable high-volume sports bettor
A massively active, profitable cross-market bettor bought Miguel Damas as the market rapidly moved up, though the stake is modest and price has since pulled back.
- This bettor is up $2.4M lifetime across more than 29,000 resolved bets.
- They are a very active cross-market trader, with $10.5M flagged across 1,791 markets.
- Damas moved up 14 percentage points in about 4 minutes around this buy, suggesting fast momentum.
$1,043 on Miguel Damas | Wallet win rate: 55%
Serial bettor chasing Damas move
Surface as a momentum/flow trade: a high-volume serial sports trader put $10k on Miguel Damas during a 155x volume spike and rapid 14-point price move, though the wallet is not lifetime profitable.
- A serial sports trader put $10k on Miguel Damas after trading $1.9M across 182 events.
- This market saw a 155x volume spike and Damas moved up 14 points in about 4 minutes.
- The wallet wins 65% of resolved bets, but is down lifetime, so the signal is more about market momentum than proven profit.
$10,000 on Miguel Damas | Wallet win rate: 65%
Repeat wallet sparks line move
Repeat sports bettor bought $4k of Miguel Damas amid a 155x pre-event volume spike and a rapid 14-point move in his favor.
- A repeat bettor with $1.2M traded is backing Miguel Damas at 64¢.
- Market activity spiked 155x above normal, with Damas moving up 14 points in about 4 minutes.
- The wallet is modestly profitable lifetime, up $14k across 117 resolved bets.
$4,000 on Miguel Damas | Wallet win rate: 50%
Top Holders
- 0x26b4...b8a9 — Outcome 62953282, $6,250 (50% win rate)
- 0xce9f...26e8 — Outcome 62953282, $5,150 (96% win rate)
- 0xfb85...8464 — Outcome 62953282, $4,021 (78% win rate)
- 0x0828...a1a6 — Outcome 62953282, $2,863 (56% win rate)
- 0xb8ff...ed99 — Outcome 18187085, $2,573
- 0x363c...4463 — Outcome 62953282, $2,000 (43% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Outcome 62953282, $1,630 (55% win rate)
- 0x7812...6c87 — Outcome 62953282, $1,100
- 0xb347...5166 — Outcome 62953282, $1,075
- 0xa664...f849 — Outcome 62953282, $1,000 (94% win rate)
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