Part of: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 17, 2026 If Rayo Vallecano de Madrid wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

14 smart money signals detected, totaling $67,618.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, La Liga

Notable Trades

Sharp bettors fading spike

Multiple high-volume, profitable sports wallets are reducing Yes exposure / effectively taking No after a huge Yes price spike, though some trades look like profit-taking rather than fresh shorts.

  • Several proven bettors with 76–80% win records and $28K–$39K profits are effectively taking the No side.
  • The market just surged hard, with Yes up 49 points in 24 hours and volume running 57x above normal.
  • Some trades are profit-taking from earlier Yes positions, so this is a weaker copy signal than a clean new bet.

$10,960 on No

Proven bettor caught move

Proven profitable soccer bettor with a 76% long-term win rate bought Rayo Yes before a major market move from 70% to 90%, alongside a large volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved bets and is up $37k lifetime.
  • They bought Yes at 70¢ before the market jumped to 90¢.
  • Market volume spiked 57x while the price moved sharply in the same direction.

$1,149 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%

Proven soccer sharp at 70¢

Sharp profitable wallet bought Rayo Yes at 70¢ before a major volume spike and 19-point move to 90¢.

  • This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $32.5K lifetime.
  • They bought Yes at 70¢ before the market jumped to 90¢.
  • Market activity spiked 57x above normal with heavy one-way momentum.

$1,149 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%

Profitable last-minute sports timer

Highly profitable serial last-minute sports trader bought Rayo Yes just 1.6 minutes before resolution, backed by a large historical sample and $3.4M lifetime P&L.

  • This bettor is up $3.4M lifetime across more than 14,000 resolved bets.
  • They specialize in late bets, with 68 near-resolution trades across 47 markets.
  • This was placed 1.6 minutes before resolution, suggesting a live-game information edge.

$2,905 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 64%

Profitable last-minute sports bettor

A highly profitable serial last-minute sports bettor bought $6.2k of Yes at 48¢ just 1.6 minutes before resolution, with supporting volume spike and long cross-market track record.

  • This bettor is up $3.4M lifetime across more than 14,000 resolved bets.
  • They bought $6.2k of Yes at 48¢ just 1.6 minutes before resolution.
  • This wallet has made 67 near-resolution bets across 47 markets and shows a strong timing edge.

$6,152 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 64%

Profitable last-minute sports timer

Profitable serial live-sports timer bought Rayo Yes minutes before resolution, with strong near-resolution history and a major volume spike corroborating the move.

  • This bettor is up $186,799 lifetime across nearly $11.8M traded.
  • They placed this 2 minutes before resolution and have made 57 similar last-minute bets across 49 markets.
  • Market volume spiked 95x above normal, and Rayo’s price is already up 5 points today.

$1,969 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 55%

Elite last-minute sports sharp

Elite profitable sports bettor bought No minutes before resolution, backed by an 89% win record, major lifetime profit, serial cross-market edge, and linked-wallet activity.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $1.83M lifetime.
  • They placed $6.1K on No just 3.5 minutes before resolution in a live soccer market.
  • This wallet has traded 43 events for $2.38M total, with linked wallets also active from the same funder.

$6,062 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%

$3.4M winner-led cluster

Four wallets, including highly profitable high-volume bettors, bought $17.3k of Yes into a sharp pre-event volume spike and rising odds.

  • A bettor up $3.4M lifetime joined this Yes buy, alongside another wallet up $102k.
  • Four wallets bought $17.3k of Yes within minutes, all in the same direction.
  • Market volume spiked 87x and Yes has already moved up 7 points today.

$17,341 on Yes

99% win-rate sports whale

Elite sports bettor with a 99% resolved win rate and $13.1M lifetime profit bought Rayo Yes at 48¢ amid rising market odds.

  • This bettor has won 99% of 1,019 resolved positions and is up $13.1M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 30 events, with a near-perfect historical record.
  • Entry at 48¢ comes as the market has moved up 7 points in the past day.

$3,598 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 99%

99% win-rate sports bettor

Elite profitable wallet with a 99% resolved-bet win rate is buying Rayo Yes at 46%, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite the market’s high liquidity.

  • This bettor has won 99% of 1,019 resolved positions and is up $13.1M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 30 events with a 99% hit rate.
  • Entry at 46¢ implies they see Rayo as underpriced relative to the market.

$1,405 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 99%

Top Holders

  1. 0x3fd9...1ef0 Yes, $101,482 (97% win rate)
  2. 0x1610...ae49 No, $35,637 (100% win rate)
  3. 0xc3c3...eec8 Yes, $35,000 (99% win rate)
  4. 0x204f...5e14 No, $27,466 (55% win rate)
  5. 0x7ea5...de7b Yes, $27,290 (64% win rate)
  6. 0x5351...9b3c No, $27,100 (53% win rate)
  7. 0x5966...f804 No, $26,151 (89% win rate)
  8. 0x1b47...d814 No, $22,807 (49% win rate)
  9. 0x0346...52a5 Yes, $17,278 (52% win rate)
  10. 0xfc25...1f7f Yes, $13,228 (95% win rate)

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Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?

ResolvedRayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF$67,618 tracked14 signalsSportsGamesSoccerLa Liga
Yes
100¢
No
0¢

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 17, 2026 If Rayo Vallecano de Madrid wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “Yes
102¢
70¢
38¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?

22h ago

$10,960 on No at 12¢

12¢0¢12¢

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?

21h ago

$1,149 on Yes at 70¢

70¢100¢30¢

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?

21h ago

$1,149 on Yes at 70¢

70¢100¢30¢

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?

22h ago

$2,905 on Yes at 48¢

48¢100¢52¢

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?

23h ago

$6,152 on Yes at 48¢

48¢100¢52¢

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?

22h ago

$1,969 on Yes at 48¢

48¢100¢52¢

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?

23h ago

$6,062 on No at 52¢

52¢0¢52¢

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?

23h ago

$17,341 on Yes at 48¢

48¢100¢52¢

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?

1d ago

$3,598 on Yes at 48¢

48¢100¢52¢

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?

1d ago

$1,405 on Yes at 46¢

46¢100¢54¢

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?

1d ago

$1,411 on Yes at 44¢

44¢100¢56¢

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?

1d ago

$7,496 on Yes at 43¢

43¢100¢57¢

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?

1d ago

$3,010 on Yes at 43¢

43¢100¢57¢

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?

1d ago

$3,010 on Yes at 43¢

43¢100¢57¢

Related Theses