Part of: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?
14 smart money signals detected, totaling $67,618.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, La Liga
Notable Trades
Sharp bettors fading spike
Multiple high-volume, profitable sports wallets are reducing Yes exposure / effectively taking No after a huge Yes price spike, though some trades look like profit-taking rather than fresh shorts.
- Several proven bettors with 76–80% win records and $28K–$39K profits are effectively taking the No side.
- The market just surged hard, with Yes up 49 points in 24 hours and volume running 57x above normal.
- Some trades are profit-taking from earlier Yes positions, so this is a weaker copy signal than a clean new bet.
$10,960 on No
Proven bettor caught move
Proven profitable soccer bettor with a 76% long-term win rate bought Rayo Yes before a major market move from 70% to 90%, alongside a large volume spike.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved bets and is up $37k lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 70¢ before the market jumped to 90¢.
- Market volume spiked 57x while the price moved sharply in the same direction.
$1,149 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%
Proven soccer sharp at 70¢
Sharp profitable wallet bought Rayo Yes at 70¢ before a major volume spike and 19-point move to 90¢.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $32.5K lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 70¢ before the market jumped to 90¢.
- Market activity spiked 57x above normal with heavy one-way momentum.
$1,149 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%
Profitable last-minute sports timer
Highly profitable serial last-minute sports trader bought Rayo Yes just 1.6 minutes before resolution, backed by a large historical sample and $3.4M lifetime P&L.
- This bettor is up $3.4M lifetime across more than 14,000 resolved bets.
- They specialize in late bets, with 68 near-resolution trades across 47 markets.
- This was placed 1.6 minutes before resolution, suggesting a live-game information edge.
$2,905 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 64%
Profitable last-minute sports bettor
A highly profitable serial last-minute sports bettor bought $6.2k of Yes at 48¢ just 1.6 minutes before resolution, with supporting volume spike and long cross-market track record.
- This bettor is up $3.4M lifetime across more than 14,000 resolved bets.
- They bought $6.2k of Yes at 48¢ just 1.6 minutes before resolution.
- This wallet has made 67 near-resolution bets across 47 markets and shows a strong timing edge.
$6,152 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 64%
Profitable last-minute sports timer
Profitable serial live-sports timer bought Rayo Yes minutes before resolution, with strong near-resolution history and a major volume spike corroborating the move.
- This bettor is up $186,799 lifetime across nearly $11.8M traded.
- They placed this 2 minutes before resolution and have made 57 similar last-minute bets across 49 markets.
- Market volume spiked 95x above normal, and Rayo’s price is already up 5 points today.
$1,969 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 55%
Elite last-minute sports sharp
Elite profitable sports bettor bought No minutes before resolution, backed by an 89% win record, major lifetime profit, serial cross-market edge, and linked-wallet activity.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $1.83M lifetime.
- They placed $6.1K on No just 3.5 minutes before resolution in a live soccer market.
- This wallet has traded 43 events for $2.38M total, with linked wallets also active from the same funder.
$6,062 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%
$3.4M winner-led cluster
Four wallets, including highly profitable high-volume bettors, bought $17.3k of Yes into a sharp pre-event volume spike and rising odds.
- A bettor up $3.4M lifetime joined this Yes buy, alongside another wallet up $102k.
- Four wallets bought $17.3k of Yes within minutes, all in the same direction.
- Market volume spiked 87x and Yes has already moved up 7 points today.
$17,341 on Yes
99% win-rate sports whale
Elite sports bettor with a 99% resolved win rate and $13.1M lifetime profit bought Rayo Yes at 48¢ amid rising market odds.
- This bettor has won 99% of 1,019 resolved positions and is up $13.1M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 30 events, with a near-perfect historical record.
- Entry at 48¢ comes as the market has moved up 7 points in the past day.
$3,598 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 99%
99% win-rate sports bettor
Elite profitable wallet with a 99% resolved-bet win rate is buying Rayo Yes at 46%, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite the market’s high liquidity.
- This bettor has won 99% of 1,019 resolved positions and is up $13.1M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 30 events with a 99% hit rate.
- Entry at 46¢ implies they see Rayo as underpriced relative to the market.
$1,405 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 99%
Top Holders
- 0x3fd9...1ef0 — Outcome 73687373, $101,482 (97% win rate)
- 0x1610...ae49 — Outcome 52429433, $35,637 (100% win rate)
- 0x7ea5...de7b — Outcome 73687373, $27,290 (64% win rate)
- 0x5351...9b3c — Outcome 52429433, $27,100 (53% win rate)
- 0x5966...f804 — Outcome 52429433, $26,151 (89% win rate)
- 0xd776...ffeb — Outcome 52429433, $12,500 (90% win rate)
- 0x04b9...79e0 — Outcome 52429433, $7,500 (64% win rate)
- 0x198f...c419 — Outcome 52429433, $6,897 (48% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Outcome 52429433, $6,528 (56% win rate)
- 0x52d9...fb1a — Outcome 52429433, $3,507
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