Part of: Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner
This prediction market covers the Game 1 winner between Team Liquid and Xtreme Gaming in the DreamLeague Dota 2 Lower Bracket Round 1 match, scheduled for May 20 at 1:00 PM ET. It resolves to the team that wins Game 1, with resolution expected by May 21, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $4,165 in smart money activity across 3 signals, including sharp flow on both Team Liquid and Xtreme Gaming.
This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower Bracket Round 1 match between Team Liquid and Xtreme Gaming in the DreamLeague Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 20 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 1 against Xtreme Gaming. This market will resolve to "Xtreme Gaming" if Xtreme Gaming win Game 1 against Team Liquid. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
16 smart money signals detected, totaling $88,544.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable serial esports trader
Serial profitable cross-market esports trader bought Xtreme at 88¢ shortly before the market moved to 100¢, but the copy window is likely gone.
- This trader has placed across 98 markets and is up $132K lifetime.
- They bought Xtreme at 88¢ before it moved to 100¢, catching the final leg of the market.
- The wallet has a 60% record over 1,323 resolved bets, suggesting skill but not an elite hit rate.
$1,962 on Xtreme Gaming | Wallet win rate: 60%
89% win-rate sharp
A highly profitable 89% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history bought Xtreme Gaming despite the market later moving against the entry.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved bets and is up $209,666 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 63 events with the same 89% win rate.
- They bought Xtreme Gaming at 71¢, while the market is now around 64¢.
$1,018 on Xtreme Gaming | Wallet win rate: 89%
Perfect-record esports sharp
A highly profitable wallet with a perfect 41/41 resolved record bought Xtreme Gaming at 67%, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite modest size.
- This bettor has won 41 of 41 resolved trades and is up $157,846 lifetime.
- They bought Xtreme Gaming at 67%, backing the current favorite in a liquid esports market.
- The market has moved sharply today, so this looks like a sharp bettor stepping into volatile pricing.
$1,184 on Xtreme Gaming | Wallet win rate: 100%
75% serial sharp
Sharp serial cross-market wallet with a 75% record and $178k profit bought Xtreme, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $178k lifetime across $1.65M invested.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 80 events and 111 markets.
- They bought Xtreme at 79¢, and the price is now 59¢, offering a much cheaper entry than the sharp paid.
$3,248 on Xtreme Gaming | Wallet win rate: 75%
Profitable serial trader
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader is buying Xtreme Gaming amid a pre-event volume spike, though the edge is modest because the entry is near current market price.
- This bettor is up $131,718 across 1,323 resolved markets.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 77 events and 97 markets.
- They bought $3,749 of Xtreme Gaming at 84¢ as market volume spiked 10x before the match.
$3,749 on Xtreme Gaming | Wallet win rate: 60%
New profitable esports whale
A brand-new wallet is repeatedly placing sizable Dota bets, already 3-0 with positive P&L, and is backing Xtreme despite the market already moving heavily that way.
- This wallet is only 4 hours old but has already gone 3-for-3 and made about $2.1K profit.
- It has now placed $11.6K in flagged bets across 5 alerts, suggesting repeat conviction rather than a one-off punt.
- The bet backs Xtreme at 86¢ after a major market move, implying the bettor still sees value in the heavy favorite.
$1,900 on Xtreme Gaming | Wallet win rate: 100%
97% win sharp on esports
Sharp esports bettor with a 97% record and $53.9k profit bought Xtreme Gaming at 86¢ despite the market already moving heavily that way.
- This bettor has won 37 of 38 resolved positions and is up $53.9k lifetime.
- They bought Xtreme Gaming at 86¢ after a major 1-day move toward that side.
- The wallet’s average winning entry is 64¢, so this record is not just from buying huge favorites.
$1,944 on Xtreme Gaming | Wallet win rate: 97%
Elite wallets on Xtreme
Surface: multiple highly profitable wallets bought Xtreme in size and moved the price sharply, though opposing Team Liquid flow makes the market contested.
- Several proven bettors are on Xtreme, including wallets up $2.56M and $441k lifetime.
- Six wallets bought $28.3k on the same side, pushing Xtreme from about 38¢ to 59¢.
- Most sharp buying came at 36–39¢, so the current 59¢ price is already above a clean copy range.
$28,323 on Xtreme Gaming
Linked sharp cluster buying Liquid
A profitable serial cross-market bettor joined a linked 8-wallet cluster buying Team Liquid, with the position already moving sharply from an effective 15¢ entry to 41¢.
- This bettor has a long record: 742 resolved bets, 63% wins, and $273K in profit.
- Eight wallets are all betting Team Liquid, including seven linked wallets sharing the same funder.
- The effective entry was 15¢ and the market has already moved to 41¢, so the signal was strong but may be late to chase.
$1,010 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 63%
Sharp bettor in Liquid flow
Sharp profitable wallet made an effective 14¢ Team Liquid buy alongside 8-wallet one-sided flow, though the price has already moved far above entry.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $4.2k lifetime.
- 8 wallets all backed Team Liquid in the same window for $25.9k total.
- Their sell of Xtreme at 86¢ equals buying Team Liquid at 14¢, but the market is now around 41¢.
$1,204 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 75%
Top Holders
- 0xe16d...5e30 — Xtreme Gaming, $68,686 (96% win rate)
- 0xa16a...33a1 — Xtreme Gaming, $34,209 (99% win rate)
- 0x05a7...42e6 — Team Liquid, $26,811 (98% win rate)
- 0x67bb...b6ef — Team Liquid, $26,476 (62% win rate)
- 0xd3b0...329e — Team Liquid, $20,000 (61% win rate)
- 0x86e9...4cdf — Xtreme Gaming, $15,963 (100% win rate)
- 0xf070...ac55 — Team Liquid, $11,111 (91% win rate)
- 0x2146...d41b — Team Liquid, $10,010 (49% win rate)
- 0xf3ce...a57a — Xtreme Gaming, $9,616 (94% win rate)
- 0x500f...94bf — Team Liquid, $9,141 (70% win rate)
