Part of: Mastercard (MA) Q2 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis)?

Mastercard (MA) Q2 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 10.5%-11.5%?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,523.

Categories: M&A, KPIs, Finance, Mastercard

Notable Trades

Large bettor scaling into No

A bettor added a large No position in an extremely thin market, and the market subsequently moved sharply toward No despite the wallet lacking a strong historical edge.

  • This trader added $1,390 to an existing No position worth over $2,000 in a market with only $2,342 of total volume.
  • The No price moved from 69¢ toward 94¢, corroborating the direction of the trade.
  • The wallet has a modest 47% win rate, so the signal comes from concentrated sizing and market impact rather than a proven track record.

$1,134 on No | Wallet win rate: 46%

Large bettor scaling into No

A bettor added a large No position in an extremely thin market, and the market subsequently moved sharply toward No despite the wallet lacking a strong historical edge.

  • This trader added $1,390 to an existing No position worth over $2,000 in a market with only $2,342 of total volume.
  • The No price moved from 69¢ toward 94¢, corroborating the direction of the trade.
  • The wallet has a modest 47% win rate, so the signal comes from concentrated sizing and market impact rather than a proven track record.

$1,390 on No | Wallet win rate: 46%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 51499786, $102
  2. 0xbe0e...d429 Outcome 46754436, $25
  3. 0xc2dd...61dc Outcome 46754436, $20
  4. 0x46b3...d3de Outcome 46754436, $5
  5. 0x50b9...4298 Outcome 46754436, $5
  6. 0x6678...144d Outcome 46754436, $5
  7. 0x66ec...3adf Outcome 46754436, $5

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Bending Spoons closes at $25B-$28B

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Glean valuation stays below $5.5B

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Anduril stays below $85B

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Kraken valuation tops $13B

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Epic avoids middle valuation

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Core CPI lands elsewhere

Covers 2 related markets

Mastercard (MA) Q2 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 10.5%-11.5%?

ResolvedMastercard (MA) Q2 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis)?$2,523 tracked2 signalsM&AKPIsFinanceMastercard

This market will resolve according to Mastercard's cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Price History — “No
75¢
58¢
40¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Mastercard (MA) Q2 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 10.5%-11.5%?

51d ago

$1,134 on No at 69¢

Mastercard (MA) Q2 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 10.5%-11.5%?

51d ago

$1,390 on No at 69¢

Related Theses