Part of: Tiburon: Spencer Johnson vs Erik Arutiunian
Tiburon: Spencer Johnson vs Erik Arutiunian
This market refers to the tennis match between Spencer Johnson and Erik Arutiunian in the Tiburon, USA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 2:10PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Spencer Johnson' if Spencer Johnson advances against Erik Arutiunian. This market will resolve to 'Erik Arutiunian' if Erik Arutiunian advances against Spencer Johnson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $32,682.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
93% win-rate tennis sharp
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 93% win rate and substantial edge bought Spencer Johnson at 40% amid a volume spike and coordinated one-sided buying.
- This bettor has won 93% of 2,679 resolved positions and is up $2.37 million.
- They bought Spencer Johnson at 40%, far below the current 67% market price.
- Three wallets bought Spencer Johnson while market activity surged 59x above its recent average.
$3,100 on Spencer Johnson | Wallet win rate: 93%
Coordinated Spencer Johnson buying
Three wallets bought Spencer Johnson amid a 59x volume spike, with the featured serial trader entering at 34% before the market repriced to 67%.
- Three wallets bought Spencer Johnson for a combined $11,056, signaling concentrated directional conviction.
- Trading volume spiked 59x above its 24-hour average as the market moved from 34% to 67%.
- The featured serial trader has made 135 resolved bets and is up $84,663, though the 60% win rate is only moderate.
$2,500 on Spencer Johnson | Wallet win rate: 56%
Seven-wallet linked tennis cluster
Seven linked wallets deployed $20.5K on Erik Arutiunian amid a 75x volume spike, making this a strong coordinated positioning signal despite mixed individual track records.
- Seven wallets with two shared funders committed $20,532 to Erik Arutiunian, signaling concentrated conviction.
- The trades represented roughly 35% of the market's total volume and arrived during a 75x volume spike.
- Several participants have extensive profitable histories, including bettors with 66% and 70% win rates across tens of thousands of resolved bets.
$21,626 on Erik Arutiunian
Serial trader scaling into Spencer Johnson
A serial cross-market trader added $5.5K to an existing Spencer Johnson position during a 116x volume spike, though the wallet’s win rate does not clearly exceed its typical entry odds.
- This trader has placed bets across 143 markets and is up $164,791 lifetime after 783 resolved bets.
- They added $5,456 to an existing Spencer Johnson position, bringing total investment to about $44,000.
- The purchase at 36¢ coincided with a 116x volume spike and the outcome has since risen to 44¢.
$5,456 on Spencer Johnson | Wallet win rate: 69%
