Part of: Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
This Polymarket prediction market covers the Counter-Strike 2 best-of-three Round 3 match between Spirit and 9z at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2. It resolves to Spirit if Spirit win the match, to 9z if 9z win, and 50-50 if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond 7 days without a winner. PolySpotter is tracking $10,643 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal for this market ahead of its June 7, 2026 resolution.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between Spirit and 9z in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 7 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against 9z. This market will resolve to "9z" if 9z win the match against Spirit. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $22,484.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
79% serial cross-market bettor
Proven high-volume bettor with a 79% win rate and positive lifetime P&L placed a $10.6k buy on Spirit at 90¢.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades across 860 markets and is up $12.7k lifetime.
- They have traded 384 events with nearly $2.6M in cross-market volume, suggesting a repeatable betting process.
- The $10.6k entry at 90¢ is a high-confidence favorite bet with limited upside but strong implied conviction.
$10,643 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 79%
97% winner on favorite
Sharp wallet with a 97% historical win rate and positive P&L is buying Spirit at 90%, making the bettor’s track record the main signal despite a liquid market.
- This bettor has won 37 of 38 resolved trades and is up $7,185 lifetime.
- Their past wins came at average 59¢ odds, so the record is not just from betting heavy favorites.
- They put $1,400 on Spirit at 90¢ in a liquid esports market.
$1,400 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 97%
Profitable serial esports bettor
Serial esports cross-market bettor with a strong 116-bet record and $83k lifetime profit is buying Spirit at 90%.
- This bettor has won 69% of 116 resolved bets and is up $83k lifetime.
- They have traded across 65 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market sports/esports strategy.
- Buying Spirit at 90¢ is a high-confidence favorite bet rather than a long-shot punt.
$2,900 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 69%
99% winner backs favorite
Elite profitable wallet with a 99% record and serial cross-market success bought Spirit at 90% despite the favorite price.
- This bettor has won 947 of 959 resolved positions and is up $327,717 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 34 events with a 99% win record.
- Buying at 90¢ suggests confidence that Spirit is still underpriced despite already being a heavy favorite.
$1,800 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 99%
95% winner backs underdog
Sharp esports bettor with a 95% historical win rate and strong lifetime profit bought the 9z underdog at 11¢.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $142,889 lifetime.
- They bought the 10% underdog at 11¢, suggesting a high-conviction view against the market favorite.
- The track record is based on 229 resolved positions, not a small sample.
$4,299 on 9z | Wallet win rate: 95%
93% winner backing favorite
A highly profitable esports bettor with a 93% track record bought Spirit despite the short 88¢ price, making the wallet history the main signal.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $425K lifetime.
- Their $1.4K Spirit buy was larger than the market’s recent 24h volume, showing conviction in a quiet market.
- Entry at 88¢ is a favorite bet, but the trader’s record suggests they see low upset risk.
$1,442 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 94%
Top Holders
- 0xfc25...1f7f — Spirit, $103,292 (95% win rate)
- 0x1136...0c2e — Spirit, $70,696 (49% win rate)
- 0xf68a...5b1b — 9z, $45,000 (51% win rate)
- 0x0336...4bb0 — 9z, $44,889 (95% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — 9z, $36,293 (68% win rate)
- 0x29b5...cc6c — Spirit, $23,259 (58% win rate)
- 0xe40e...9770 — Spirit, $22,038 (94% win rate)
- 0x018c...9794 — Spirit, $21,557 (58% win rate)
- 0x183f...85e3 — 9z, $20,600 (56% win rate)
- 0x7e5e...7315 — Spirit, $20,000
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