Part of: LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In
Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)
This Polymarket handicap market covers the LPL Play-In League of Legends match between Invictus Gaming and ThunderTalk Gaming, with IG needing to win by at least 2 games for the Invictus Gaming side to resolve Yes. Otherwise, including a closer match covered by the +1.5 handicap, the market resolves to ThunderTalk Gaming. Resolution is scheduled for May 23, 2026, with $3,230 in smart money tracked and 1 smart money signal reported.
This market refers to the LoL match between Invictus Gaming and ThunderTalk Gaming in the LPL Play-In, initially scheduled for May 23 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming wins 2 or more games than ThunderTalk Gaming in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,576.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
New wallet esports whale
A brand-new wallet made a $3.2k fresh buy on Invictus Gaming in a niche esports handicap market, but it has almost no proven track record yet.
- A 1-day-old wallet put $3.2k on Invictus Gaming at 65¢.
- The bet is about 8% of available liquidity, meaningful size for this esports market.
- Track record is still thin: only 2 resolved wins and $1 profit so far.
$3,231 on Invictus Gaming | Wallet win rate: 100%
81% win-rate sharp
Sharp high-volume bettor with an 81% win rate and strong cross-market record bought Invictus Gaming -1.5 at 65¢.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved bets across 1,731 positions and is up $332K lifetime.
- They have a strong cross-market track record, trading 36 events with the same 81% hit rate.
- Entry at 65¢ implies confidence that Invictus Gaming covers the -1.5 handicap.
$2,404 on Invictus Gaming | Wallet win rate: 81%
88% winner esports sharp
Sharp esports bettor with an 88% win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying Invictus Gaming -1.5 at 65¢, with serial cross-market history adding conviction.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved bets and is up $217K lifetime.
- They have traded across 34 events with the same 88% win rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
- Entry at 65¢ implies they see Invictus Gaming -1.5 as underpriced despite modest recent drift lower.
$1,435 on Invictus Gaming | Wallet win rate: 88%
88% winner buying handicap
Surface despite the weak low-activity signal because this is a proven sharp wallet with an 88% resolved win rate and $217k lifetime profit buying into a relatively quiet esports handicap market.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $217k lifetime.
- They bought Invictus Gaming at 66¢ in a quiet market with only about $5k traded in 24 hours.
- The $1.5k buy is meaningful relative to the market’s $6.3k liquidity.
$1,506 on Invictus Gaming | Wallet win rate: 88%
Top Holders
- 0xa7df...5eee — ThunderTalk Gaming, $19,972 (49% win rate)
- 0x74a8...df59 — Invictus Gaming, $14,390 (46% win rate)
- 0x183f...85e3 — ThunderTalk Gaming, $10,000 (59% win rate)
- 0x616f...e14c — Invictus Gaming, $6,385 (74% win rate)
- 0x4b59...3aa6 — ThunderTalk Gaming, $6,000 (63% win rate)
- 0x7645...3117 — ThunderTalk Gaming, $6,000 (50% win rate)
- 0x6b97...8d30 — ThunderTalk Gaming, $5,149 (86% win rate)
- 0x7462...3ac3 — Invictus Gaming, $5,077 (51% win rate)
- 0x8725...eb10 — Invictus Gaming, $5,028 (81% win rate)
- 0x4a7a...69c9 — Invictus Gaming, $4,970 (100% win rate)
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