Part of: National Bank Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Arthur Rinderknech
National Bank Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Arthur Rinderknech
This prediction market covers the National Bank Open tennis match between Miomir Kecmanovic and Arthur Rinderknech, scheduled for August 6, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances, with resolution activity currently including smart money signals for both Kecmanovic and Rinderknech; the market resolves by August 13, 2026 if the match is not completed.
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $69,085.
Categories: Games, Tennis, Sports
Notable Trades
Linked cluster backs Rinderknech
A large five-funder-linked cluster concentrated nearly $49,500 on Arthur Rinderknech, supported by several highly profitable bettors and a major price move.
- 18 linked wallets concentrated nearly $49,500 on Arthur Rinderknech, including bettors with 85% and 92% win rates.
- The market moved sharply toward Rinderknech, rising 32 percentage points as the coordinated buying arrived.
- Several wallets had already profited from earlier Rinderknech positions, indicating repeated conviction rather than a one-off small wager.
$49,485 on Arthur Rinderknech
91% win-rate bettor adds to underdog
A highly profitable bettor with a 91% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an Arthur Rinderknech position despite adverse price movement.
- This bettor has won 91% of 22 resolved positions and is up $12,814.
- They buy at an average 41% price, far below their 91% win rate, indicating a strong historical edge.
- The $4,000 purchase adds to an existing Arthur Rinderknech position even after the price fell from 48% to 32%.
$5,572 on Arthur Rinderknech | Wallet win rate: 94%
91% win-rate bettor adds to underdog
A highly profitable bettor with a 91% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an Arthur Rinderknech position despite adverse price movement.
- This bettor has won 91% of 22 resolved positions and is up $12,814.
- They buy at an average 41% price, far below their 91% win rate, indicating a strong historical edge.
- The $4,000 purchase adds to an existing Arthur Rinderknech position even after the price fell from 48% to 32%.
$4,000 on Arthur Rinderknech | Wallet win rate: 94%
Serial sharp backing Kecmanovic
A highly active serial bettor with a strong 74% win rate and $106,672 profit is buying Kecmanovic at 53 cents.
- This bettor wins 74% of 157 resolved trades and is up $106,672.
- The wallet has traded 140 events and 156 markets, providing a substantial track record rather than a one-off signal.
- A $1,396 buy at 53¢ backs Kecmanovic despite the market being close to evenly priced.
$1,396 on Miomir Kecmanovic | Wallet win rate: 74%
Sharp bettor scaling into Kecmanovic
A proven tennis-oriented bettor with an 82% win rate and substantial positive edge added another $5,021 to Miomir Kecmanovic at 52%.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $85,555 lifetime.
- Their wins came at an average 41% entry price, indicating a meaningful edge beyond simply backing favorites.
- They added $5,021 to an existing $9,656 Kecmanovic position at 52%, showing sustained conviction.
$5,021 on Miomir Kecmanovic | Wallet win rate: 82%
97% win-rate serial bettor adds
A highly proven bettor with a 97% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding to an Arthur Rinderknech position at 48%.
- This bettor has won 97% of 799 resolved positions and is up $169,838.
- The wallet is adding $1,500 to an existing Arthur Rinderknech position at 48%, signaling continued conviction.
- The trader has positioned across 100 markets in 89 events, with a documented 36-point edge over implied odds.
$1,500 on Arthur Rinderknech | Wallet win rate: 97%
83% win-rate tennis bettor
A highly profitable serial bettor with an 83% win rate and substantial edge placed a fresh $2,112 bet on Kecmanovic at even odds.
- This bettor has won 83% of 361 resolved positions and is up $4.2 million.
- The $2,112 position is a fresh, concentrated bet on Kecmanovic at 50¢ in a near-even matchup.
- The wallet has traded 715 markets across 637 events, indicating extensive experience rather than a one-off result.
$2,112 on Miomir Kecmanovic | Wallet win rate: 84%
Top Holders
- 0xf519...906b — Outcome 81282593, $21,774 (72% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 81282593, $19,211 (63% win rate)
- 0x8a3a...eb9a — Outcome 81282593, $12,000 (57% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Outcome 81282593, $10,663 (81% win rate)
- 0x461d...db9e — Outcome 81282593, $10,000 (83% win rate)
- 0xa7a4...e371 — Outcome 81282593, $9,656 (82% win rate)
- 0xac86...985b — Outcome 81282593, $7,870 (83% win rate)
- 0xfae1...fdc1 — Outcome 81282593, $6,600 (56% win rate)
- 0x9c3c...e8c9 — Outcome 81282593, $4,808 (95% win rate)
- 0xdb85...152f — Outcome 81282593, $4,677 (84% win rate)
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