Part of: Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $47,491.

Notable Trades

96% winner backs Musetti

A highly proven bettor with a 96% win rate and $5.84M profit made a fresh $13,000 wager on Musetti amid a 232x volume spike.

This bettor has won 155 of 162 resolved positions, with $5.84 million in lifetime profit.
They placed a fresh $13,000 bet on Lorenzo Musetti at 62¢, close to the current 60% market price.
Trading activity was 232 times above its historical average, adding support to the directional move.

$17,116 on Lorenzo Musetti | Wallet win rate: 90%

Profitable bettor scales into Musetti

A profitable serial cross-market bettor added $12.9K to an existing Musetti position at 64%, and the outcome has since risen to 78%.

This bettor is up $116,565 across 27 resolved bets, with a 63% win rate and 47-event trading history.
They added $12,893 to an existing Musetti position at 64%, showing increased conviction before the price rose to 78%.
The market has moved 19.5 percentage points in a day, confirming strong momentum toward Musetti.

$12,893 on Lorenzo Musetti | Wallet win rate: 69%

96% winner backs Musetti

A highly proven bettor with a 96% win rate and $5.84M profit made a fresh $13,000 wager on Musetti amid a 232x volume spike.

This bettor has won 155 of 162 resolved positions, with $5.84 million in lifetime profit.
They placed a fresh $13,000 bet on Lorenzo Musetti at 62¢, close to the current 60% market price.
Trading activity was 232 times above its historical average, adding support to the directional move.

$13,000 on Lorenzo Musetti | Wallet win rate: 90%

94% win-rate tennis bettor

A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial positive edge is buying Musetti at 60%.

This bettor has won 199 of 211 resolved positions, with $120,451 in reported profit.
Their average win price is just 45%, making a 60% entry on Musetti a notably confident position.
The wallet has traded across 57 events, suggesting a broad and repeatable sports-selection process rather than a one-off bet.

$1,181 on Lorenzo Musetti | Wallet win rate: 95%

97% winner adds to Musetti

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 97% win rate is adding to an existing Lorenzo Musetti position at near-market odds.

This bettor has won 126 of 130 resolved trades and is up $41,096 lifetime.
The wallet has traded across 39 markets and 38 events with a consistent 97% win rate.
This is an add to an existing Musetti position, signaling continued conviction rather than routine profit-taking.

$1,250 on Lorenzo Musetti | Wallet win rate: 97%

99% win-rate serial trader buys Arnaldi

An exceptionally consistent bettor with a 99% win rate and substantial positive edge is taking a fresh $2,050 position on Arnaldi at 41¢.

This bettor has won 1,493 of 1,504 resolved positions, with $16.2M in reported profit.
The trade is priced at 41¢ despite Arnaldi being a 40% current-market outcome, suggesting the bettor sees meaningful value.
The wallet has traded across 528 events and 552 markets, providing an unusually large sample behind the track record.

$2,050 on Matteo Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 99%

Top Holders

0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 23744812, $54,982 (65% win rate)
0xef53...4591 — Outcome 23744812, $22,013 (94% win rate)
0xcf6c...7e66 — Outcome 23744812, $10,400 (81% win rate)
0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 23744812, $8,900 (57% win rate)
0x9c76...c926 — Outcome 23744812, $8,020 (92% win rate)
0x9f15...bdb3 — Outcome 23744812, $6,118 (75% win rate)
0xf83b...44a2 — Outcome 23744812, $5,336 (85% win rate)
0xc3c3...eec8 — Outcome 23744812, $5,000 (99% win rate)
0xe8c4...395d — Outcome 23744812, $4,880 (94% win rate)
0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 23744812, $4,598 (71% win rate)

Related Theses

Canada Qatar first-half shootout

Covers 5 related markets

Germany wins high-scoring rout

Covers 4 related markets

France Northern Ireland goals galore

Covers 3 related markets

USA Australia goalfest starts early

Covers 3 related markets

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti

ResolvedMubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti$47,491 tracked6 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Arnaldi and Lorenzo Musetti in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Lorenzo Musetti. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Musetti' if Lorenzo Musetti advances against Matteo Arnaldi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Lorenzo Musetti”

99¢

78¢

56¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction