Part of: National Bank Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs McCartney Kessler
National Bank Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs McCartney Kessler
This prediction market tracks whether Anna Kalinskaya or McCartney Kessler advances in their National Bank Open tennis match, scheduled for August 4, 2026. The page provides Polymarket odds and smart-money activity, including recent trading signals tied to both players; the market is set to resolve by August 11, 2026 under its stated rules.
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $72,783.
Categories: Sports, Games, Tennis
Notable Trades
Volume-spike tennis bettor
A $4.6K Anna Kalinskaya bet entered at 63¢ amid a massive volume spike and was followed by a move to 78¢, though the trader's long-term record is only modestly predictive.
- A $4,609 bet bought Anna Kalinskaya at 63¢ before the market climbed to 78¢.
- The market saw a 1,705× volume spike versus its normal 24-hour activity, signaling unusually concentrated interest.
- This trader has a 55% win rate across 73,787 resolved bets and is up $7.4M, but does not show a strong odds-adjusted edge here.
$1,063 on Anna Kalinskaya | Wallet win rate: 56%
Sharp bettor joins 21-wallet Kessler flow
A proven 82% bettor is adding to a McCartney Kessler position amid a 21-wallet, $85,099 one-sided flow and a major volume spike.
- This bettor wins 82% of 831 resolved trades and is up $87,839 lifetime.
- Twenty-one wallets bought McCartney Kessler for a combined $85,099 during a 252x volume surge.
- The wallet is adding to an existing Kessler position, though the latest 59¢ entry is now priced around 55¢.
$2,290 on McCartney Kessler | Wallet win rate: 82%
Sharp bettor joins 21-wallet Kessler surge
A highly profitable bettor is adding to a Kessler position amid a 21-wallet, $85,099 one-sided surge and an exceptional volume spike.
- This bettor wins 81% of 1,129 resolved trades and is up $80,459 lifetime.
- Twenty-one wallets bought McCartney Kessler for a combined $85,099, while volume ran 252.8 times its historical average.
- The bettor is adding to an existing Kessler position, buying $2,135 at 59¢ after previously investing $4,608 at 61¢.
$2,135 on McCartney Kessler | Wallet win rate: 80%
21-wallet Kessler buying cluster
A $44.5K Kessler purchase is reinforced by 21 wallets, a 252.8x volume spike, and a 19-point price move despite the trader’s only moderate edge-adjusted record.
- Twenty-one wallets bought McCartney Kessler for a combined $85,099, showing strong one-sided conviction.
- Trading volume was 252.8 times its historical average, while Kessler’s price rose 19 percentage points.
- The lead bettor placed $44,488 and has won 73% of 406 resolved trades, though the record is not clearly above its average 79¢ winning price.
$44,488 on McCartney Kessler | Wallet win rate: 74%
Volume-spike tennis bettor
A $4.6K Anna Kalinskaya bet entered at 63¢ amid a massive volume spike and was followed by a move to 78¢, though the trader's long-term record is only modestly predictive.
- A $4,609 bet bought Anna Kalinskaya at 63¢ before the market climbed to 78¢.
- The market saw a 1,705× volume spike versus its normal 24-hour activity, signaling unusually concentrated interest.
- This trader has a 55% win rate across 73,787 resolved bets and is up $7.4M, but does not show a strong odds-adjusted edge here.
$1,178 on Anna Kalinskaya | Wallet win rate: 56%
Coordinated Kessler dip buyers
Three wallets added nearly $6,000 to Kessler amid a major volume spike and sharp price decline, though existing positions and an opposing linked cluster weaken the copy signal.
- Three wallets bought nearly $6,000 of McCartney Kessler around 37–40¢ as the market moved sharply against them to 26¢.
- The trades came during a 54x volume surge, suggesting a concentrated pre-match thesis rather than routine liquidity activity.
- This is a conflicted signal: a linked three-wallet group also bought $12,100 of Anna Kalinskaya, and the Kessler buyers already held positions.
$5,978 on McCartney Kessler
Linked wallets scaling into Kalinskaya
Three linked wallets concentrated nearly $18,000 on Anna Kalinskaya around 60-63%, followed by a 33.5-point daily price increase.
- Three wallets sharing a funder bought nearly $17,900 on Kalinskaya at 60-63%, a strong coordinated position.
- The market moved from their entry range to 78%, with an unusually large 81x volume spike.
- The wallets have substantial lifetime profits, though their win rates do not independently establish a sharp edge.
$11,042 on Anna Kalinskaya
Volume-spike tennis bettor
A $4.6K Anna Kalinskaya bet entered at 63¢ amid a massive volume spike and was followed by a move to 78¢, though the trader's long-term record is only modestly predictive.
- A $4,609 bet bought Anna Kalinskaya at 63¢ before the market climbed to 78¢.
- The market saw a 1,705× volume spike versus its normal 24-hour activity, signaling unusually concentrated interest.
- This trader has a 55% win rate across 73,787 resolved bets and is up $7.4M, but does not show a strong odds-adjusted edge here.
$4,609 on Anna Kalinskaya | Wallet win rate: 56%
Top Holders
- 0xab82...abe5 — Outcome 15013934, $120,968 (59% win rate)
- 0x1a2f...647a — Outcome 15013934, $27,977 (67% win rate)
- 0x9d8a...5201 — Outcome 15013934, $20,000 (36% win rate)
- 0x3679...492e — Outcome 15013934, $12,206 (82% win rate)
- 0x41b4...10da — Outcome 15013934, $9,746 (58% win rate)
- 0x6982...a165 — Outcome 15013934, $5,515 (99% win rate)
- 0xdeb6...32b5 — Outcome 15013934, $5,026 (79% win rate)
- 0x8888...3d5c — Outcome 15013934, $4,949 (79% win rate)
- 0x1a3e...cd83 — Outcome 15013934, $4,903 (81% win rate)
- 0xc8f4...6794 — Outcome 15013934, $4,902 (79% win rate)
Related Theses
Claverie defeats Matias Soto
Covers 1 related market
Heidenheim will beat Köln
Covers 3 related markets
Matej Dodig beats Henri Squire
Covers 1 related market
Manchester City beats Chelsea
Covers 3 related markets
Falcons win a long series
Covers 7 related markets
Algeria Austria stays low-scoring
Covers 6 related markets
Brazil and Morocco draw
Covers 3 related markets
Twins win nine-run game
Covers 6 related markets
Varillas beats Nicolas Mejia
Covers 1 related market
Tunisia will not beat Japan
Covers 3 related markets
