Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?

This market predicts whether Bitcoin’s BTC/USDT close on Binance at 12:00 PM ET on May 14, 2026 will be higher or lower than the 12:00 PM ET close on May 13. It resolves on May 14, 2026 at 16:00 UTC based on the final close prices of those 1-minute candles. PolySpotter is tracking $4,716 in smart money activity, with 1 signal including an alert that an 84% winner was buying in a thin market.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 13 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 14 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 13 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 14 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $4,716.

Categories: Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Bitcoin, Up or Down, Today 🚀, Daily, Daily-Close

Notable Trades

84% winner buying thin market

Sharp-wallet override: despite only a weak low-activity signal, this wallet has a strong 84% record across 1,214 resolved bets and bought a large Up position exceeding the market’s 24h volume.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades across 1,214 bets and is up about $14k lifetime.
  • Their $4.7k Up buy was larger than the entire market’s 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a quiet market.
  • Entry at 51¢ implies they see Bitcoin Up as underpriced versus a near-even market.

$4,716 on Up | Wallet win rate: 84%

Top Holders

  1. 0xbc9b...1b9c — Up, $12,710 (84% win rate)
  2. 0x6e1d...d0fa — Down, $11,319 (58% win rate)
  3. 0xfcbe...8f44 — Up, $10,036 (97% win rate)
  4. 0x0fe4...01b7 — Down, $8,733 (60% win rate)
  5. 0x4605...b773 — Up, $5,120 (50% win rate)
  6. 0xfdc0...e6a1 — Up, $4,236 (54% win rate)
  7. 0x37ec...3b7b — Down, $4,169
  8. 0x801d...d8e0 — Up, $2,500 (73% win rate)
  9. 0xeee9...7ecb — Down, $2,042
  10. 0xbf5f...c035 — Down, $1,531 (20% win rate)

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?

16hBitcoin Up or Down on May 14?$4,716 tracked1 signalCryptoCrypto PricesRecurringHide From NewBitcoinUp or DownToday 🚀DailyDaily-Close
Up
70¢
Down
31¢

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 13 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 14 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 13 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 14 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Price History — “Up”
71¢
60¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?

7h ago

$4,716 on Up at 51¢

51¢→70¢↑19¢