Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 13 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 14 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 13 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 14 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,534.

Categories: Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Bitcoin, Up or Down, Today 🚀, Daily, Daily-Close

Notable Trades

New crypto wallet winning early

A 2-day-old wallet with a perfect early record and positive P&L is repeatedly making sizable BTC direction bets, now buying Up after a large 1-day odds move.

This new wallet is 6-for-6 so far and up $1,122 on $6,501 invested.
It has already been flagged 4 times in under 2 days, with $5,218 in notable bets.
The market has moved 27 percentage points toward Up, and this wallet is still buying at 77¢.

$1,512 on Up | Wallet win rate: 77%

Profitable serial cross-market trader

Serial cross-market trader with a large profitable history bought Up on a BTC daily market after a strong 1-day price move, though the individual trade is modest.

This bettor has a long track record: 1,483 resolved trades, 60% wins, and about $364K lifetime profit.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 46 events and $609K flagged flow, suggesting a repeatable event-based strategy.
They bought Up at 70¢ after the market moved +19.5 points in the past day, aligning with strong momentum.

$1,064 on Up | Wallet win rate: 59%

Profitable new BTC wallet

A 6-day-old wallet with early profits is effectively buying Up on a BTC daily market after building 8 positions and a 75% resolved record.

This 6-day-old wallet is already up $1,883 with 6 wins in 8 resolved bets.
Selling Down at 30¢ is equivalent to buying Up at 70¢, matching the market’s strong move toward Up.
The wallet has deployed nearly $12K across early positions, suggesting more than a one-off small bet.

$1,243 on Up | Wallet win rate: 75%

84% winner buying thin market

Sharp-wallet override: despite only a weak low-activity signal, this wallet has a strong 84% record across 1,214 resolved bets and bought a large Up position exceeding the market’s 24h volume.

This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades across 1,214 bets and is up about $14k lifetime.
Their $4.7k Up buy was larger than the entire market’s 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a quiet market.
Entry at 51¢ implies they see Bitcoin Up as underpriced versus a near-even market.

$4,716 on Up | Wallet win rate: 85%